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hatrack

(59,593 posts)
Fri Mar 2, 2012, 02:08 PM Mar 2012

Half Of New South Wales Flooded Or Threatened By Flooding; Rains Head For Victoria

Hundreds of residents are being forced from their homes in New South Wales as floodwaters threaten as much as half of Australia’s most populous state and heavy rainfall spreads to neighboring Victoria.

About 50 percent of NSW, home to the nation’s biggest city Sydney, is flooded or under threat after 100 millimeters (3.9 inches) of rain fell in a 24-hour period in some areas, Julie Evans, a meteorologist at the Bureau of Meteorology, said by telephone today.

“We’ve broken a few records already and we expect to break some more,” Evans said today. “This event hasn’t finished. We’re expecting widespread falls of 50 to 100 millimeters and some over 100 millimeters today in parts of” the state’s southeast.

Areas of Cooma, a town of about 6,500 people 390 kilometers (240 miles) south of Sydney, and parts of Goulburn, with a population of more than 20,000, are being evacuated, the State Emergency Service said. Floodwaters in northern New South Wales last month damaged homes, ruined cotton crops and caused cattle sales to be canceled, one year after natural disasters cost the Australian economy A$9 billion ($9.7 billion).

EDIT

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-01/australia-towns-evacuated-as-floods-threaten.html

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Half Of New South Wales Flooded Or Threatened By Flooding; Rains Head For Victoria (Original Post) hatrack Mar 2012 OP
But climate change and major weather events are "debated" Vincardog Mar 2012 #1
It's very hard to take this as evidence for man-caused climate change. Yo_Mama Mar 2012 #2

Yo_Mama

(8,303 posts)
2. It's very hard to take this as evidence for man-caused climate change.
Fri Mar 2, 2012, 09:14 PM
Mar 2012

Australia's climate and rainfall seem to have very high natural variability
http://www.environment.gov.au/soe/2006/publications/integrative/climate/historical-rainfall.html
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/borehole/aus.html
http://www.aesc2010.gsa.org.au/PDF%20Documents/Media/6%20July%20Tues_Rainfall.pdf

In particular, look at this rainfall reconstruction for Queensland:
ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/coral/west_pacific/great_barrier/queensland-riverflow2007.txt

It goes from 1631, and it sure bounces around! Look at the difference between 1635 and 1638! Right at the beginning you see the very high variance and it continues throughout the period. That region hardly has any normal.

Sometimes, a banana is just a banana and a storm is just a storm, as Freud would say.

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