Environment & Energy
Related: About this forumIndia #3 In GHG Emissions, Will Double Coal Output By 2020, 1 New Mine/Month; So Have Fun In Paris
If any single country embodies the challenge of reaching an agreement at the huge United Nations climate conference that begins in Paris on Monday, it is India. India is already the world's third biggest emitter of greenhouse gases and it plans a massive increase, proposing to treble CO2 emissions within the next 15 years.
What is more, unlike virtually every other country attending the Paris conference - including the two biggest polluters, the US and China - India has not set a future cap on emissions, let alone proposed cuts. That's because, for India, economic growth comes first. And because India's energy policy is based on coal - the dirtiest fuel there is - the pace of economic growth sets the rate of emissions.
EDIT
And the numbers are as large as the machines. India plans to open a mine like this every single month until 2020 as part of its strategy to double coal output to a billion tonnes a year.
And, it can maintain that output for the next 300 years, if it so wishes, because according to the Indian coal ministry the country has 301 billion tonnes of accessible coal.
EDIT
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-34929578
BlueJazz
(25,348 posts)...this but (of course) their actions affect everybody.
NickB79
(19,258 posts)If we are going to force them to comply, we must do it now or it's simply too late.
BlueJazz
(25,348 posts)Past. (2 hides)
muriel_volestrangler
(101,355 posts)They currently produce one third of the world average per capita CO2, under a quarter of the European average, and a tenth of the US figure. We've built our lifestyle on cheap energy and plentiful CO2 emissions. If we're going to deny them that, we have to provide an alternative.
If India trebles its CO2 emissions in the next 15 years, it will still be, per capita, under half the USA figure (which is proposed to be 28% below its 2005 figure - which will be about 12.7 tonnes per person), and still below the EU figure (they propose 6 tonnes per person by 2030).
So it's up to the rich countries to provide the affordable renewable power generation for them.
BlueJazz
(25,348 posts)Nihil
(13,508 posts)>> India is already the world's third biggest emitter of greenhouse gases and
>> it plans a massive increase, proposing to treble CO2 emissions within the next 15 years.
> They currently produce one third of the world average per capita CO2,
So when "the rich countries" provide them with renewable power, all they need to do this
in order to maintain such handouts indefinitely is to keep breeding (as always) as this
will maintain their "per capita" figures while ignoring the "third biggest emitter" issue ...
Wonderful.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,355 posts)India's total fertility rate is about 2.5, down from 3.9 in 1990.
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN?page=5
and it's still dropping. Their population is already under 'control'. And phrases like 'breeding' are dehumanising.
in order to maintain such handouts indefinitely is to keep breeding (as always) as this
will maintain their "per capita" figures while ignoring the "third biggest emitter" issue ..
That doesn't even make sense.
We in the West, collectively, have used cheap, carbon-rich energy to get a better life. In the process, our population exploded (eg England went from 5.8 million in 1751 to 53 million in 2011, and that was with loads of emigration to the USA, Canada etc.). Our plans are still to emit significantly more greenhouse gases than India. Telling India that they must not use carbon-based energy to achieve a decent standard of living, while at the same time refusing to help with any alternative method - that we ourselves never managed while we were developing - until they 'control themselves' is the worst sort of patronising, selfish, and blinkered assumption of 'superiority' that we could make.
GliderGuider
(21,088 posts)In the case of both the Indian and total world populations, growth rates are falling significantly. Yet in spite of that, every year about the same number of additional consumption/destruction-units are being added, both in India and the world as a whole.
World population growth has been linear since 1980, at about 78 million new people per year. Indian population growth shows a similar pattern, though there has been a drop of about 2 million people per year since 1990 (that's a drop of 12% in the absolute number of people added per year since then.) However, they are still adding over 15 million people per year, so I think that's a problem - one that is not "under control" by any stretch of the imagination. Except of course in the imaginations of people who like to use percentages to obscure the real picture.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,355 posts)If you want to know what Indians are personally doing, the rate is what's 'real'. If you want to know how their lives produce CO2, compared to ours, you look at the per capita figures.
If your problem is that the political unit of India is too big, then you can advocate breaking it up into individual states. Then, their absolute population growth numbers will be far smaller. That would solve your problem, without anyone every changing anything, wouldn't it? It wouldn't do a thing to mitigate global warming, but that would get rid of the figure that you think is 'real'.
GliderGuider
(21,088 posts)In the last 35 years:
Their population has increased by 180%
Their total CO2 emissions have increased by 670%.
Like every rectangle, the area is the product of the length times the width.
India's biggest contribution to the World Problematique, like China's, is a rapid growth in per capita consumption.
Their population growth added to the problem by almost doubling it.
In order to "solve" the bigger problem, the human world needs to adjust both consumption and population levels.
We need to be forced back down the consumption curve, towards the average per-capita levels experienced around 1500.
Coincident with that, the world population needs to drop drastically - over the next few decades by half, over the next century by 90%, over the next 2-5 centuries by 99% or more.
Then we need to stay at those levels permanently.
When all that has happened - and not before - our species will have earned the label "sustainable."
There is, obviously, no way that will happen without a drastic, even catastrophic change in our physical circumstances - the change that we are now in the process of engineering.
The role of the human conceit of "justice" is simply to make the problem worse, as everyone scrambles and scratches for their "fair" share of the pie.
daleanime
(17,796 posts)as an excuse for further inaction.
kristopher
(29,798 posts)By Giles Parkinson on 21 October 2015
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The cost of large scale solar projects in India is expected to fall again in an upcoming auction, further undermining the case for new coal generators, and the economics of importing coal from mega projects such as the Galilee Basin.
New analysis from researchers at Deutsche Bank suggest that prices for large scale solar projects are likely to fall to around 4.70 rupees per kilowatt hour, well below the Rs5.05/kWh achieved in the last auction.
This will further undermine the case for imported coal, which requires prices of more than Rs6/kWh to make a return, and explains why the Indian government is so focused on solar, and domestic coal, to meet its power needs.
It also explains why groups such as Reliance Power are dumping their international coal mines to focus on domestic solar projects.
Adani is also committing to large domestic solar project...