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unhappycamper

(60,364 posts)
Fri Jun 13, 2014, 06:52 AM Jun 2014

Iraq: Looming War of Shiite, Kurdish, Extremist-Sunni Militias

http://www.juancole.com/2014/06/looming-extremist-militias.html

Iraq: Looming War of Shiite, Kurdish, Extremist-Sunni Militias
By Juan Cole | Jun. 12, 2014

The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) is apparently keeping control of Mosul, Iraq’s second largest city of 2 million, and advanced to take Tikrit, the birthplace of Saddam Hussein, where they held a huge Sunni prayer session.

It has been pointed out by a number of commentators that ISIS (also sometimes called the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant or ISIL) is probably too small an organization of cadre fighters actually to have accomplished all this by itself. Sunni tribes and townspeople appear to have joined in the attacks on the Iraqi military, which, ran away.

Since the military is largely Shiite and had been lording it over local Sunnis as though they were an occupied and humiliated population, it isn’t any wonder that they fled in the face of a popular uprising against them. They couldn’t have stood against so many hostile Sunnis. (There is a parallel to the Taliban withdrawal from Kabul in late 2001, long before they would have had to do so on purely military grounds As Pushtuns in a large hostile Tajik city, they had to worry about a popular massacre of the occupiers; this had happened in Mazar in 1997). But it is also the case that the new Iraqi army is green, whereas ISIS has been involved in fierce guerrilla war for two years and is way ahead on tactics.

Spokesman for the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria Adnan called for its fighters to advance on Baghdad. He addressed Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki as an incompetent screw-up who had squandered a historic opportunity for his “people” (the Shiites?) by his misrule of Iraq.

--

And the reason for this imbalance?



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_bremer

Governor of Iraq

Bremer was appointed by President Bush as Presidential Envoy to Iraq on May 9, 2003. His appointment declared him subject to the "authority, direction and control" of Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld.[8]

Bremer arrived in Iraq in May 2003.[9] On May 11 he replaced Lt. General Jay Garner as Director of the Office for Reconstruction and Humanitarian Assistance. In June, the Office was transformed into the Coalition Provisional Authority, and Bremer became the country's chief executive authority.[10][11] As the holder of the "most powerful foreign post held by any American since Gen. Douglas MacArthur in Japan",[12] he compared himself to MacArthur as well as General Lucius Clay, who was in charge of the American zone in Germany following its defeat in World War II.[13]

As the top civilian administrator of the former Coalition Provisional Authority, Bremer was permitted to rule by decree. Among his first and most notable decrees were Coalition Provisional Authority Order Number 1, which banned the Ba'ath party in all forms[14] and Coalition Provisional Authority Order Number 2 dismantled the Iraqi Army.[15]

On July 13, 2003, Bremer approved the creation of an Iraqi Interim Governing Council with the stated mission of "ensuring that the Iraqi people's interests are represented". The council members were chosen by Bremer from among groups and individuals which had supported the American invasion of Iraq. Bremer retained veto power over the council's proposals. The council was authorized to select a limited number of delegates to key Coalition Provisional Authority committees, like the Program Review Board.

Bremer also empowered the CPA to develop and implement of the Iraqi constitution. The constitution, however, turned into a controversial subject, when its first draft submitted by the CPA suggested banning political parties opposed to the U.S. occupation from participating in elections; privatizing much of Iraq's industries and natural resources; and allowing the unelected Iraqi Interim Governing Council to sign a binding Status of Forces Agreement between Iraq and the United States. On March 1, 2004, after several hours of negotiations, the Iraqi Interim Governing Council resolved the disagreements the council members had with clauses in the Constitution. A formal signing ceremony was scheduled for March 5, 2004. As the guests waited and the orchestra played, the signing was canceled due to mass demonstrations among Iraq's population. The official signing finally took place for an interim constitution, to be revised or replaced by a second constitution after Iraqi elections on March 8, 2004.

On June 28, 2004, at 10:26 am local time, the U.S.-led Coalition Provisional Authority formally transferred limited sovereignty of Iraqi territory to the Iraqi Interim Government, two days ahead of schedule. Bremer departed from the country on the same day. In his farewell speech broadcast on Iraqi television, he said, "I leave Iraq gladdened by what has been accomplished and confident that your future is full of hope. A piece of my heart will always remain here in the beautiful land between the two rivers, with its fertile valleys, its majestic mountains and its wonderful people".

Bremer's office was a division of the U.S. Department of Defense, and as Administrator he reported directly to the United States Secretary of Defense and the President of the United States. His senior adviser Dan Senor served as coalition spokesman, working with military spokesman Mark Kimmitt.

Bremer's role as the head of the CPA is notable for being the subject of much criticism. Large sums of money have been reported to have gone missing under Bremer's leadership.[16] Bremer's attempts at privatizing much of Iraq's infrastructure and mineral wealth were also highly criticized[17] and Bremer's decision to disband the Iraqi Army is widely credited for fueling the Iraqi insurgency against the American occupation.[18][19]

John Negroponte replaced Bremer as the highest-ranking American civilian in Iraq.
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Iraq: Looming War of Shiite, Kurdish, Extremist-Sunni Militias (Original Post) unhappycamper Jun 2014 OP
That is what worries me. bemildred Jun 2014 #1
After Mission Accomplished was declared by dubya, Bremer effectively pre-empted 1300 years unhappycamper Jun 2014 #2
Bremer is a classic example of the 1%-er bubble world, the elitist uber-paradise bemildred Jun 2014 #3
"Libanization" it was called in the 80s MisterP Jun 2014 #4

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
1. That is what worries me.
Fri Jun 13, 2014, 08:01 AM
Jun 2014

There are lots of interested parties that are unlikely to sit by while Iraq disintegrates, this war will have legs. Sh'iia, Sunni, Kurds, and all the neighbors will get involved, just to start: Iran, Turkey, Syria already is involved, and the Saudis. And then there are all the outside meddlers.

unhappycamper

(60,364 posts)
2. After Mission Accomplished was declared by dubya, Bremer effectively pre-empted 1300 years
Fri Jun 13, 2014, 08:16 AM
Jun 2014

of Sunni/Sh'iia relationships.

What could possibly go wrong?

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
3. Bremer is a classic example of the 1%-er bubble world, the elitist uber-paradise
Fri Jun 13, 2014, 10:38 AM
Jun 2014

where self-serving corporate PR hacks like Rumsfeld are the most important people in the world. They think "leadership" is about ordering people around. It's like the old days with Kings and their courts, that's what they long for.

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