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bemildred

(90,061 posts)
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 12:20 PM Aug 2012

The world doesn't seem so worried by Netanyahu's threats to strike Iran

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak are threatening to attack Iran, and the world does not seem concerned. Israel warns that its face is turned in the direction of a war that will bump up the price of oil and cause many deaths and much damage, and the world does nothing to prevent the tragedy. No emergency meetings of the UN Security Council, no dramatic diplomatic delegations, no live coverage on CNN and Al-Jazeera. There aren't even any sharp fluctuations in the price of oil and natural gas. Or in Israel's credit rating. The scene is quiet. Even Iranian counter-threats to hit Israel don't seem to worry anybody.

What's happening here? All the signs show that the "international community," meaning the western powers and the U.S. in the lead, seem to have reconciled themselves with Israel's talk of a military strike – and now they are pushing Netanyahu to stand by his rhetoric and send his bombers to their targets in Iran. In general terms, the market has already accounted for the Israeli strike in its assessment of the risk of the undertaking, and it is now waiting for the expectation to be realized.

The international community created the ideological grounds for an Israeli operation against Iran. It has ceased to bother Netanyahu about issues related to the occupation, the settlements and the Palestinian state, which has made it possible for Netanyahu to focus on preparing the Israel Defense Forces and Israeli public opinion for a war with Iran. The "nuclear talks" between the powers and Iran were the epitome of diplomatic impotence. Economic sanctions on Iran did not stop the nuclear project, and maybe even caused its acceleration, but they are likely to limit Iran in a long-term war against Israel.

U.S. President Barack Obama is considered a sharp opponent to the idea of an Israeli strike against Iran. But his actions say the opposite. Obama once again is leading from behind, as he did in Libya and Syria. This is his doctrine: Instead of complicating America with a new Mideast war, he is outsourcing the fighting to an external agent. In Libya, it was the French, the British and the anti-Gadhafi rebels. In Syria, it is the Free Syrian Army. In Iran, it is the IDF.

http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/the-world-doesn-t-seem-so-worried-by-netanyahu-s-threats-to-strike-iran.premium-1.457476

19 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The world doesn't seem so worried by Netanyahu's threats to strike Iran (Original Post) bemildred Aug 2012 OP
Uh That's Because Iggy Aug 2012 #1
Honestly though... holdencaufield Aug 2012 #2
You do realize that it's possible to be deeply opposed to Ahmadinejad and hate his regime Ken Burch Aug 2012 #9
Actually... holdencaufield Aug 2012 #11
A strike on Iran would be nothing at all like the strikes on Iraq and Syria. Ken Burch Aug 2012 #12
I keep forgetting... holdencaufield Aug 2012 #13
well it could be because in reality 'talk is cheap' or perhaps it is this azurnoir Aug 2012 #3
I can think of lots of reasons. bemildred Aug 2012 #4
When it comes to Syria what I find is that there seems to be confusion azurnoir Aug 2012 #5
Well, everybody has their own enemies of choice, so to speak, bemildred Aug 2012 #6
Maybe because both sides do so much sabre-rattling that people end up ignoring it LeftishBrit Aug 2012 #7
The extremists don't miss an opportunity to scream and yell and claim the sky is falling. Behind the Aegis Aug 2012 #8
Your post title is a perfect character summary of Netanyahu Ken Burch Aug 2012 #10
I am worried oberliner Aug 2012 #14
I see where you made your mistake... holdencaufield Aug 2012 #15
Off course, Israel could stop making threats...... kayecy Aug 2012 #16
Could and should oberliner Aug 2012 #17
The strange thing is ....... kayecy Aug 2012 #18
Good questions oberliner Aug 2012 #19
 

Iggy

(1,418 posts)
1. Uh That's Because
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 12:25 PM
Aug 2012

how long has Bibi been rattling the sabres re: Iran??

6-8 years now?

PUT UP OR SHUT UP

 

holdencaufield

(2,927 posts)
2. Honestly though...
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 12:30 PM
Aug 2012

... what country DOESN'T want to strike Iran? Yes, we're looking at you, Saudi Arabia.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
9. You do realize that it's possible to be deeply opposed to Ahmadinejad and hate his regime
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 08:14 PM
Aug 2012

WITHOUT wanting to "strike Iran", don't you?

A human mind can hold the thoughts "this regime is horrible and needs to go" AND "the Iranian people shouldn't have to suffer because Ahmadinejad and the mullahs are total bastards" AT THE SAME TIME.

Striking Iran and killing thousands of innocent Iranian citizens, many of whom were and are opponents of Ahmadinejad, is not the only possible effective response to the Iranian regime.

Bibi needs to give the saber-rattling a rest. There's no excuse for him continuing to push this.

 

holdencaufield

(2,927 posts)
11. Actually...
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 08:19 PM
Aug 2012

... the only person I hear repeatedly going on about missile strikes and wiping out "thousands" or poor, innocent Iranians is you?

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
12. A strike on Iran would be nothing at all like the strikes on Iraq and Syria.
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 08:24 PM
Aug 2012

It's insanely reckless to assume otherwise.

A strike on Iran would HAVE to lead to heavy loss of human life. The Gaza and Second Lebanon conflicts proved that Israel is no longer capable of launching pinpoint surgical strikes.

 

holdencaufield

(2,927 posts)
13. I keep forgetting...
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 08:32 PM
Aug 2012

...about your awesome ability to know to a 100% certainty what will happen in the future.

"A strike on Iran would HAVE to lead to heavy loss of human life" -- and you're basing this on the fact that similar strikes never have before? Are you thinking "third time lucky"?

"The Gaza and Second Lebanon conflicts proved that Israel is no longer capable of launching pinpoint surgical strikes"

So, just to be clear, targeting small units of infantry in a high-density urban environment is exactly the same scenario as targeting a large building hell-and-gone in the desert? Is this based on your predictive capabilities or your extensive knowledge of ATG missile tactics?

azurnoir

(45,850 posts)
3. well it could be because in reality 'talk is cheap' or perhaps it is this
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 12:30 PM
Aug 2012
We'll pay heavy price for mistake in Iran

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made it clear this week that any decision regarding a strike in Iran will be made by the political echelon and will be executed by the military, adding that if an inquiry commission is eventually established, he will be held accountable.
.....................................................................................

The price of a possible mistake in Iran will be heavy, almost unbearable. It was nice of Netanyahu to declare that he will take responsibility (meaning that he will resign) in case a commission of inquiry is set up, but to the hundreds of thousands of people who may be harmed during a war that he is preaching for, it won't be worth much.

Furthermore, most experts have posited that a unilateral Israeli strike would allow Iran to advance even faster and with fewer obstacles towards a bomb. The final result of such a war would be a nuclear Iran that wants to take its revenge on Israel. Iran has already proven during the war with Iraq that is willing to pay a heavy price of hundreds of thousands of casualties to take its revenge on whoever attacked it. The tragic irony is that an Israeli strike driven by the memory of the Holocaust may eventually lead to an existential threat on Israel.


http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4266127,00.html

In recent years Israel especially since Lebanon 2006 has shown some hesitancy to make any move that could result in civilian causalities on a large scale

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
4. I can think of lots of reasons.
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 12:39 PM
Aug 2012

There are lots of other hot crises, for one thing, like Syria, and a great deal of "Wolf" has already been cried on this subject, and "why get involved?" comes to mind too, let them duke it out, just keep your distance, who cares?

But the OP makes the case that Obama wants the IDF to attack Iran, an argument I find specious.

Wow, Bibi as Truman. That's an inteeresting piece you linked there. Some interesting bits on the 6-day war too.

azurnoir

(45,850 posts)
5. When it comes to Syria what I find is that there seems to be confusion
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 01:01 PM
Aug 2012

simultaneously blaming al-Qaeda and Hezbollah/Iran and mention that the 'rebels' who ever they are being 'supported' what ever that means by the West, it could almost appear a proxy war of some sort, keeping it going as a means of keeping up one of Iran's allies busy just in case or something

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
6. Well, everybody has their own enemies of choice, so to speak,
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 01:18 PM
Aug 2012

and as I have said in the past, what good are enemies if you can't blame things on them? Whereas we ourselves, of course, are always reluctantly compelled by events.


Syria is centrally located, has many neighbors, and is internally quite complicated too, a post-colonial relic, so we have a messy situation to start with, and multiple competing narrators for what is going on, and legions of people employed in the business of pumping the spin out, so yeah.

I think there are many players in Syria, all with different agendas. That is sort of the point in my mind, once you destabilize the Assad regime, the fractures spread and multiply in unpredictable, indeterminate ways.

LeftishBrit

(41,210 posts)
7. Maybe because both sides do so much sabre-rattling that people end up ignoring it
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 03:24 PM
Aug 2012

One day, to mix metaphors a bit, there may be a real wolf; but people have been claiming that such an attack was imminent since at least 2004 if not earlier.

Behind the Aegis

(53,985 posts)
8. The extremists don't miss an opportunity to scream and yell and claim the sky is falling.
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 03:30 PM
Aug 2012

And, according to what I have found, this started back in 2002. Personally, donning a tinfoil chapeau, I believe there is something else really going on and Iran and Israel are nothing more than hammy (excuse the pun) actors. I have a few different theories, but at the very end is an actual confrontation. This is a power-struggle between Russia, China, the US, and the EU. Is another actor about to dance on to the stage? That may be what is really happening, and I doubt it is Iran.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
10. Your post title is a perfect character summary of Netanyahu
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 08:17 PM
Aug 2012

It has nothing to do, however, with those who oppose missile strikes on Iran.

It's pretzel logic to argue that it's extremism to oppose the use of force and the potential loss of thousands of innocent lives, but moderation to demand such things.

And if the "other actor" turns out to be China, we're all screwed. The world can't survive "world wars" any more. The era when it could ended the day that bomb hit Hiroshima. After that, it because clear that nothing could ever be worth risking what happened to that city being done to every city on the planet.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
14. I am worried
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 08:41 PM
Aug 2012

I think he could very well make good on this threat.

I hope I am wrong.

A great way to preempt any chance of this happening would be for Iran to take a bold step towards peace and dissolve its dictatorship and hold real elections.

Also they could stop helping the Assad regime crush dissent and could stop making various bellicose statements against the West (and the occasional random Holocaust-denial or antisemitic statement).

There are a lot of out-of-the-box things Iran could do that would move that part of the world that much closer to peace.

 

holdencaufield

(2,927 posts)
15. I see where you made your mistake...
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 08:50 PM
Aug 2012

... you're assuming that anyone other than Israel is or possibly could be responsible for all the woe and strife in the Middle East.

It's a common rookie mistake. I'll wait here while the others set you straight about this.

kayecy

(1,417 posts)
16. Off course, Israel could stop making threats......
Mon Aug 13, 2012, 06:32 AM
Aug 2012

Off course, Israel could stop making threats......We all know what happened when Egypt made similar threats in '67 even though it was incapable of carrying them out.

Iran has almost no defence against an IDF attack, so Israel's threats are much more serious.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
17. Could and should
Mon Aug 13, 2012, 08:39 AM
Aug 2012

Threatening comments, whether by Israel or Iran, do nothing but exacerbate tensions and increase the potential for conflict.

kayecy

(1,417 posts)
18. The strange thing is .......
Mon Aug 13, 2012, 09:24 AM
Aug 2012

The strange thing is .......I don't see what either of them have to gain by making public threats.

Iran is almost challenging Israel to bomb its facilities (Is it looking for a justification to retalliate?) and Netanyahu must know his threats have no effect on Iran, so who is he trying to influence by making them? (His standing with the Israeli public?....Forcing Obama's hand?)

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
19. Good questions
Mon Aug 13, 2012, 09:54 AM
Aug 2012

I am equally confused.

I do think that most every country in the world has a segment of their population that likes to rally itself against a foreign enemy as a show of patriotism.

Hopefully, cooler heads will prevail. There is a reasonably sizable movement - at least on the internet - of both Israelis and Iranians who are speaking out in favor of peace.

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