Israel/Palestine
Related: About this forumObama lead over Romney grows among Jewish voters
President Barack Obama's lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney among Jewish voters is growing, according to recent unreleased Gallup daily tracking poll data reported on Buzzfeed.com.
According to the polling data taken between July 1 and September 10, 70 percent of registered Jewish voters plan to vote for President Obama. Only 25 percent of voters stated they were planning to vote for Mitt Romney, with 5 percent undecided. These results indicate a decline from earlier this spring, when 64 percent of registered Jewish voters said they would vote for Obama and 29 percent said they would support his Republican contender.
The data Buzzfeed.com obtained from Democratic sources has a margin of error of 4 percent. If the poll data faithfully predicts the real voting data, the Jewish support for Obama would be more or less equivalent to the support the Jewish community gave in 2008, when 69 percent of Jewish voters cast their votes for Obama and a mere 25 percent voted for John McCain.
The rise in Jewish support for Obama, seems to indicate that American Jews are less concerned with Israel than might be thought. Accusations Romney has been making, such as accusing Obama of "throwing allies like Israel under the bus," and with failure in dealing with Iran's nuclear program, don't seem to be helping garner Jewish support for the Republican candidate.
http://www.haaretz.com/jewish-world/jewish-world-news/obama-lead-over-romney-grows-among-jewish-voters-1.465107
Edit: i just want to say that what's puzzling here is that anybody finds this puzzling.
azurnoir
(45,850 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)The Jewish vote for Obama in 2008 was 78 percent, not 69 percent.
A mistake like that sort of casts doubt on the rest of the article.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)Not talking about the opinion, talking about the 69 percent number that is cited as fact.
78 is the actual number - so I think the article just has erroneous info.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)That it is erroneous to think they are ever not erroneous.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Last edited Sun Sep 16, 2012, 12:59 PM - Edit history (1)
President Obama may be enjoying a slight, if likely temporary, bounce in the polls this week. But one of the surveys showing him with a lead in a tight race over Mitt Romney also provides a breakdown of the data that confirms predictions that he is losing up to a quarter of the Jewish votes he got in 2008.
http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/09/10/poll-shows-obama-getting-lowest-jewish-support-since-jimmy-carter-vote/
For a different spin on the same figures.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)azurnoir
(45,850 posts)why do you think that despite our current Democrat POTUS giving Israel more financial support than anyother POTUS in recent history his support among US Jews is almost as low as Carters what is it they might have in common how do you explain this?
oberliner
(58,724 posts)That's the #1 issue for most Jewish American voters (and non-Jewish American voters for that matter).
I think if the economy improves right before the election (which it does show signs of doing), then his numbers in that community will be higher.
azurnoir
(45,850 posts)b ut it seems some groups are most satisfied with Obama's economic performance than others?
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Haven't noticed some groups being more satisfied than others.
Also think there is a general lack of enthusiasm compared to last time around which could account for some lower numbers.
Still, with Romney being a real dud of a candidate, I am pretty confident that Obama will get re-elected - especially if there is some more positive economic news forthcoming.
azurnoir
(45,850 posts)I'm sure you wouldn't make such a statement otherwise
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Declining confidence in the nations economic prospects appears to be the most powerful force influencing voters as the presidential election gears up, undercutting key areas of support for President Obama and helping give his Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, an advantage on the question of who would better handle the nations economic challenges, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News Poll.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/19/us/politics/poll-shows-economic-fears-undercutting-obama-support.html?pagewanted=all