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bemildred

(90,061 posts)
Sat Sep 15, 2012, 11:10 AM Sep 2012

Obama lead over Romney grows among Jewish voters

President Barack Obama's lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney among Jewish voters is growing, according to recent unreleased Gallup daily tracking poll data reported on Buzzfeed.com.

According to the polling data taken between July 1 and September 10, 70 percent of registered Jewish voters plan to vote for President Obama. Only 25 percent of voters stated they were planning to vote for Mitt Romney, with 5 percent undecided. These results indicate a decline from earlier this spring, when 64 percent of registered Jewish voters said they would vote for Obama and 29 percent said they would support his Republican contender.

The data Buzzfeed.com obtained from Democratic sources has a margin of error of 4 percent. If the poll data faithfully predicts the real voting data, the Jewish support for Obama would be more or less equivalent to the support the Jewish community gave in 2008, when 69 percent of Jewish voters cast their votes for Obama and a mere 25 percent voted for John McCain.

The rise in Jewish support for Obama, seems to indicate that American Jews are less concerned with Israel than might be thought. Accusations Romney has been making, such as accusing Obama of "throwing allies like Israel under the bus," and with failure in dealing with Iran's nuclear program, don't seem to be helping garner Jewish support for the Republican candidate.

http://www.haaretz.com/jewish-world/jewish-world-news/obama-lead-over-romney-grows-among-jewish-voters-1.465107

Edit: i just want to say that what's puzzling here is that anybody finds this puzzling.

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Obama lead over Romney grows among Jewish voters (Original Post) bemildred Sep 2012 OP
good news n/t azurnoir Sep 2012 #1
The numbers in this article are not accurate oberliner Sep 2012 #2
Indeed, the whole thing seems like mere opinion based on statistical theory. nt bemildred Sep 2012 #3
I mean the statistic given is wrong oberliner Sep 2012 #4
And I'm saying that all such numbers are somewhat erroneous. bemildred Sep 2012 #5
Poll Shows Obama Getting Lowest Jewish Support Since Carter oberliner Sep 2012 #6
Piling it higher doesn't make it more accurate. nt bemildred Sep 2012 #7
well thanks for providing us the correct information azurnoir Sep 2012 #8
I think it's because of the economy oberliner Sep 2012 #9
Thank you I'm sure its the economy too azurnoir Sep 2012 #10
Seems pretty uniform oberliner Sep 2012 #11
Do you have stats to back that up? azurnoir Sep 2012 #12
Economic Fears Hurting Obama, Poll Indicates oberliner Sep 2012 #13
 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
2. The numbers in this article are not accurate
Sat Sep 15, 2012, 08:22 PM
Sep 2012

The Jewish vote for Obama in 2008 was 78 percent, not 69 percent.

A mistake like that sort of casts doubt on the rest of the article.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
4. I mean the statistic given is wrong
Sat Sep 15, 2012, 09:19 PM
Sep 2012

Not talking about the opinion, talking about the 69 percent number that is cited as fact.

78 is the actual number - so I think the article just has erroneous info.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
5. And I'm saying that all such numbers are somewhat erroneous.
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 09:44 AM
Sep 2012

That it is erroneous to think they are ever not erroneous.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
6. Poll Shows Obama Getting Lowest Jewish Support Since Carter
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 11:58 AM
Sep 2012

Last edited Sun Sep 16, 2012, 12:59 PM - Edit history (1)

President Obama may be enjoying a slight, if likely temporary, bounce in the polls this week. But one of the surveys showing him with a lead in a tight race over Mitt Romney also provides a breakdown of the data that confirms predictions that he is losing up to a quarter of the Jewish votes he got in 2008.

http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/09/10/poll-shows-obama-getting-lowest-jewish-support-since-jimmy-carter-vote/

For a different spin on the same figures.

azurnoir

(45,850 posts)
8. well thanks for providing us the correct information
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 05:35 PM
Sep 2012

why do you think that despite our current Democrat POTUS giving Israel more financial support than anyother POTUS in recent history his support among US Jews is almost as low as Carters what is it they might have in common how do you explain this?

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
9. I think it's because of the economy
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 08:21 PM
Sep 2012

That's the #1 issue for most Jewish American voters (and non-Jewish American voters for that matter).

I think if the economy improves right before the election (which it does show signs of doing), then his numbers in that community will be higher.

azurnoir

(45,850 posts)
10. Thank you I'm sure its the economy too
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 09:58 PM
Sep 2012

b ut it seems some groups are most satisfied with Obama's economic performance than others?

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
11. Seems pretty uniform
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 10:02 PM
Sep 2012

Haven't noticed some groups being more satisfied than others.

Also think there is a general lack of enthusiasm compared to last time around which could account for some lower numbers.

Still, with Romney being a real dud of a candidate, I am pretty confident that Obama will get re-elected - especially if there is some more positive economic news forthcoming.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
13. Economic Fears Hurting Obama, Poll Indicates
Sun Sep 16, 2012, 11:26 PM
Sep 2012

Declining confidence in the nation’s economic prospects appears to be the most powerful force influencing voters as the presidential election gears up, undercutting key areas of support for President Obama and helping give his Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, an advantage on the question of who would better handle the nation’s economic challenges, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News Poll.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/19/us/politics/poll-shows-economic-fears-undercutting-obama-support.html?pagewanted=all

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