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flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 02:05 PM Jul 2014

Having a Gun in the House Doesn't Make a Woman Safer


The gun industry has promoted their product as “the great equalizer” capable of making a 130 pound woman as powerful as any man. It seems reality doesn’t bear that out. I’m curious about people here make of this article from the Atlantic Monthly.

From the article:

‘Christy Salters Martin is a professional boxer and the owner of a concealed carry permit. But when she attempted to leave her husband, she was shot with her own gun. Today, she cautions other women against making the same mistake. “Just putting a weapon in the woman’s hand is not going to reduce the number of fatalities or gunshot victims that we have. Too many times, their male counterpart or spouse will be able to overpower them and take that gun away.” ‘

. . .

It has long been recognized that higher rates of gun availability correlate with higher rates of female homicide. Women in the United States account for 84 percent of all female firearm victims in the developed world, even though they make up only a third of the developed world’s female population. And within American borders, women die at higher rates from suicide, homicide, and accidental firearm deaths in states where guns are more widely available. This is true even after controlling for factors such as urbanization, alcohol use, education, poverty, and divorce rates.

. . .

Another large case-control study compared women who were murdered by their intimate partner with a control group of battered women. Only 16 percent of the women who had been abused, but not murdered, had guns in their homes, whereas 51 percent of the murder victims did. In fact, not a single study to date has shown that the risk of any crime including burglary, robbery, home invasion, or spousal abuse against a female is decreased through gun ownership. Though there are examples of women using a gun to defend themselves, they are few and far between, and not statistically significant.

http://www.theatlantic.com/national/archive/2014/02/having-a-gun-in-the-house-doesnt-make-a-woman-safer/284022/

links in the article to sources of data

47 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Having a Gun in the House Doesn't Make a Woman Safer (Original Post) flamin lib Jul 2014 OP
Having a violent person in the house seems to be the real issue. Nuclear Unicorn Jul 2014 #1
I saw a t-shirt that reminds me of my wife discntnt_irny_srcsm Jul 2014 #2
The problem is not the "firearm in the home". ManiacJoe Jul 2014 #3
Hmmmm, professional boxer with a cc permit. Yeah, it's never the gun. nt flamin lib Jul 2014 #5
Congrats on misreading the post regarding "in the home". ManiacJoe Jul 2014 #28
Congrats on the tortured logic. nt flamin lib Jul 2014 #29
OK. ManiacJoe Jul 2014 #30
"Pistol-packin' soccer mom shot dead in Lebanon, PA" Dems to Win Jul 2014 #4
the data, when you look at the sources, is actually questionable gejohnston Jul 2014 #7
Household ownership rates, data, do gun owners honestly self report? NYC_SKP Jul 2014 #6
There are literally reams of data showing that availability of guns results in flamin lib Jul 2014 #8
"So, with all due respect, which isn't much," NYC_SKP Jul 2014 #9
Consensus with someone who posts the things you do flamin lib Jul 2014 #10
Your junk claims of world-wide data, against a flawed study with battered women as a control group. NYC_SKP Jul 2014 #12
Still waiting for all this data to support what you "think", researcher. nt flamin lib Jul 2014 #14
$100/hour, plus expenses. That's my rate as a consultant. NYC_SKP Jul 2014 #15
So you get a walk by calling bullshit without actually saying why flamin lib Jul 2014 #16
Skip, I have to take you to task here Starboard Tack Jul 2014 #31
yes and no gejohnston Jul 2014 #32
So sad. You don't consider gun violence a public health issue. Starboard Tack Jul 2014 #33
no, and I have gejohnston Jul 2014 #34
Thanks, Starboard Tack. NYC_SKP Jul 2014 #37
I agree that all violence should be considered a public health issue, and it is by the CDC Starboard Tack Jul 2014 #44
it wasn't because they don't view it as a public health issue gejohnston Jul 2014 #45
Oh, PS: I grew up in a 3-generation all female household with guns, and happily! NYC_SKP Jul 2014 #13
158g > 220lb ileus Jul 2014 #11
Not according to data. Refute the sources. nt flamin lib Jul 2014 #17
Many millions of women decide for themselves. nt Eleanors38 Jul 2014 #18
And die for making the wrong choice because the gun lobby lid to them. nt flamin lib Jul 2014 #19
Adult women can decide whose lying.nt Eleanors38 Jul 2014 #20
Are you suggesting sarisataka Jul 2014 #21
No, I'm suggesting that because of the gun culture fomented by the industry, gun groups like flamin lib Jul 2014 #22
Then maybe some self reflection sarisataka Jul 2014 #23
I think we are more in agreement than not. flamin lib Jul 2014 #25
who said Kleck was discredited? gejohnston Jul 2014 #24
Who said? Me and about a dozen peer reviewers. Google is your friend. nt flamin lib Jul 2014 #26
Ixquick is a better friend gejohnston Jul 2014 #27
Here ya' go. A little light reading. flamin lib Jul 2014 #35
I have read them before gejohnston Jul 2014 #38
If you read them all you'd know the methodology, sources of data and all the rest that you choose to flamin lib Jul 2014 #40
Did you read the links? gejohnston Jul 2014 #42
unfamiliar with kleck's work jimmy the one Jul 2014 #46
I read his work gejohnston Jul 2014 #47
A compendium of agenda-driven shoddy research. NYC_SKP Jul 2014 #39
Oh, that's right! You're the professional researcher/statistician who prostitutes his skill flamin lib Jul 2014 #41
I simply have better things to do than respond to challenges of a perfect stranger. NYC_SKP Jul 2014 #43
They could always store their gun in the trunk of their car Jenoch Jul 2014 #36

Nuclear Unicorn

(19,497 posts)
1. Having a violent person in the house seems to be the real issue.
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 03:21 PM
Jul 2014

But the police have no obligation to protect you from a violent assailant even if you have a Restraining Order and the assailant is in violation of that RO. The police are literally entitled to ignore you to death.

ManiacJoe

(10,136 posts)
3. The problem is not the "firearm in the home".
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 05:12 PM
Jul 2014

The problem is the abuser's access to any firearm and the victims lack of self defense tools at the time of need.

The mere existence of a gun within the walls of the house does not make anyone more or less safe.


ManiacJoe

(10,136 posts)
28. Congrats on misreading the post regarding "in the home".
Fri Jul 4, 2014, 09:34 PM
Jul 2014

Having a gun "in the home" just makes you a gun owner. "In the home" is of no use to anyone. It is just as useful as having a chainsaw "in the garage".

Having the gun securely stored prevents it from being used by the wrong people, but that is well beyond "in the home".

Having the gun on you when you need it is what makes the gun useful. This, too, is well beyond "in the home".

A gun "in the home", meaning within the walls of the house, just gives you one more item to dust on house cleaning day.

 

Dems to Win

(2,161 posts)
4. "Pistol-packin' soccer mom shot dead in Lebanon, PA"
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 05:17 PM
Jul 2014
http://www.ldnews.com/ci_13506791

A Lebanon woman who gained national notoriety last year as a champion of Second Amendment rights after she brought her loaded handgun to her 5-year-old daughter's soccer game was shot and killed Wednesday night in an apparent murder-suicide.

Several neighbors said they heard or saw the couple's children run from the house screaming, "Daddy shot Mommy!" shortly before the 911 Center was called at 6:20 p.m.

The children, 2- and 6-year-old girls and a 10-year-old boy, were in the care of a neighbor and were unhurt, said Wright.

end quote

This story from 2009 is the classic, tragic illustration of the data in your OP.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
7. the data, when you look at the sources, is actually questionable
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 06:26 PM
Jul 2014

One incident doesn't illustrate anything, especially since there are no specifics. Assuming, of course, the media reported it correctly, which isn't very often.

 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
6. Household ownership rates, data, do gun owners honestly self report?
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 06:17 PM
Jul 2014

I think all of these studies have a reliability problem when trying to associate incidents with ownership.

And, women and men who use a gun to defend themselves don't all run out and report it, so really there is no valid data there.

That said, everyone needs to be responsible for safe caring of any firearm in their home, be it their own personal weapon, or spouse's, or roommates, etc.

Gotta hand it to the gun controllers, though, for trying to associate guns with gender and misogyny.

They tried and failed to do it with race and bigotry, failed over and over again.

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
8. There are literally reams of data showing that availability of guns results in
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 06:27 PM
Jul 2014

more women being killed. Research from countries world wide and from the US support this contention.

So, with all due respect, which isn't much, what you "think" and $5 will get you a cup of coffee at Starbucks.

Show me some studies that support your point of view. Follow the links and refute the sources for the article.

I could say that I "think" you're an idiot and it would hold as much credibility as what you "think" about all the studies that say you're wrong.

 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
9. "So, with all due respect, which isn't much,"
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 06:30 PM
Jul 2014


flamin lib
8. There are literally reams of data showing that availability of guns results in

View profile
more women being killed. Research from countries world wide and from the US support this contention.

So, with all due respect, which isn't much, what you "think" and $5 will get you a cup of coffee at Starbucks.

Show me some studies that support your point of view. Follow the links and refute the sources for the article.

I could say that I "think" you're an idiot and it would hold as much credibility as what you "think" about all the studies that say you're wrong.


Way to build consensus.

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
10. Consensus with someone who posts the things you do
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 06:41 PM
Jul 2014

simply isn't possible.

Someone who dismisses worldwide data because they "think" otherwise aren't worth courting for compromise. There can be none as long as what you "think" outweighs real data and research.

So yeah, with all DUE respect.

 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
12. Your junk claims of world-wide data, against a flawed study with battered women as a control group.
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 06:49 PM
Jul 2014

Last edited Thu Jul 3, 2014, 07:21 PM - Edit history (1)

I'll just say that research is a large part of my field, I've had to conduct research in the course of my work, and there are hundreds of ways to screw it up and even with good methodology there are always margins of error and degrees of unreliability.

So you post this article that exploits an anecdotal gun violence act, then ties it to a study of violence against women and then challenge me to produce studies to refute your article's claim.

AND THEN you go to the protected group to show off your special treat here to see if people will applaud your very productive and mature efforts today.

Well fuck that, I know my data, I know my clientele, and I am guessing that I know what good reliable research requires far beyond the average gun control fanatic, not that any of them post here, but they are busy writing articles that people here consider valid.

Y'all crack us up.

Carry on, it makes DU suck on the one hand but it's entertaining on the other, especially watching your side fail so frequently.

But the sad part is that there's a lot of common ground and room for consensus, but folks are too busy calling others names to actually communicate, a problem fundamental to your group's failure.

 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
15. $100/hour, plus expenses. That's my rate as a consultant.
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 07:26 PM
Jul 2014

I don't work for free, except that I don't mind calling out bullshit studies and posts for free, but in response to your OP, no, I'm not going to use any energy.

And I have no plans to, not for you and not for free.

The article and it's claim and it's "supporting" study are junk science and propaganda.

NRA has theirs, and their opponents use the same tactics.

One group is no better than the other.

Here, this will make you laugh:

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
16. So you get a walk by calling bullshit without actually saying why
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 07:37 PM
Jul 2014

the data is faulty or which of the several sources in the article are discredited? Really? That's the best ya got?

If so you're way overpaid.

Keep what you "think" to yourself unless you're willing to back it up.

Starboard Tack

(11,181 posts)
31. Skip, I have to take you to task here
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 07:11 AM
Jul 2014

The article has several links. This one is a meta-analysis of about 14 independent studies. The Annals of Internal Medicine is not a junk source, by any stretch of the imagination. There was no primary funding source for this report or analysis. I read it and find nothing biased or unscientific about the methods used.

http://annals.org/article.aspx?articleid=1814426

Don't let your personal feelings toward the OP distract from your desire to reach some common ground. You are one of the more reasonable voices on the pro2A side.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
32. yes and no
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 08:55 AM
Jul 2014

When it comes to internal medicine the Annals of Internal Medicine is very good. When it comes to criminology and guns medical journals do engage in junk science, especially in the public health field. While the meta analysis may be good, but the 14 studies it looked at are largely junk.
http://www.haciendapublishing.com/medicalsentinel/junk-science-public-health-and-gun-control

Starboard Tack

(11,181 posts)
33. So sad. You don't consider gun violence a public health issue.
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 09:09 AM
Jul 2014

Read the studies. Or are you saying that women are safer, overall, in homes with guns? Or that anyone, for that matter, is statistically safer in a home where guns are kept? And I'm not arguing for the removal of guns from homes, but facts are facts.
I also understand that many women who live in abusive relationships are trapped by their own insecurities and fears. It is easy for us to tell them to leave these violent men, but not always so easy for them, especially when kids are involved. Abusers also tend to be excellent manipulators. Guns do not help in these households.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
34. no, and I have
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 09:57 AM
Jul 2014

read the studies. Criminologists read the studies and like, like Lawrence Southwick, derided them as about as scientific as NRA propaganda. He told that to congress testifying why the CDC should not fund such studies.
Politics has no place in science because it generates junk science. Personal or political opinions is not the basis of science. Junk science has no place in public policy, especially if I'm paying for it. It is telling that the 1994 annual meeting of the American Society of Criminology spent its 1994 meeting discussing the "public health research" calling it
"advocacy based on political beliefs rather than scientific fact." I doubt much has changed in 20 years.

I'm saying that Author Kellerman's (number changed over the years) more likely was debunked when he finally released his data for peer review to criminologists, after years of telling them to pound sand.

I'm saying that the mere presence of a gun does not make more or less safe anymore than the toaster does. I do know of one specific case where a gun did help. In fact, its use put an abrupt end to the violence. That was a pretty shitty decision for a 12 year old kid to have to make. Watch drunken step dad beat his mom to death while waiting for the cops, or get a gun. I don't blame or praise the gun. I blame the 1960s and before mentality of "its a family matter, so let's ignore it" that infected New York as much as it did Wyoming.

 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
37. Thanks, Starboard Tack.
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 12:35 PM
Jul 2014

The feeling is mutual; I respect your opinions.

I'm quite critical of the way the press manipulates data, and of poorly designed and conducted research, and of tactics that are used by either side of any issue to persuade people to draw conclusions compatible with an agenda.

Examples include the gun industry's attempts to use fear to drive sales, especially to women. They would impress me more if they provided free safety trainings with each sale.

Another example is the gun control group's attempts to associate the RKBA with slavery and oppression, and now with misogyny.

Another angle is to call gun violence a public health issue. Well, yes, it's a public health issue as are many other problems, but the framing of it that way is a move, IMHO, by many to open the door to finding a workaround the second amendment. I mean that. "Well, since it's a public health matter we are compelled to make exceptions."

The honest and more effective way to address gun violence would be to consider and label as a public health matter "violence", all violence, not just gun violence.

Take away the guns and you still have the violent behaviors and intents.

Few people seem to be willing to address the root causes of violence and prefer the quick and easy gun control approach, make it hard or impossible for anyone to own one.

I will continue to fight that approach, but am happy to find common ground, close loopholes, remove guns from bad people, background checks and the rest.

In reality, we all have more in common than we seem to realize. (well, most of us, some really want to confiscate and destroy all guns, but let police and military keep them).

Starboard Tack

(11,181 posts)
44. I agree that all violence should be considered a public health issue, and it is by the CDC
Sun Jul 6, 2014, 05:27 AM
Jul 2014
http://vetoviolence.cdc.gov/stryve/

Unfortunately, our friends at the NRA have managed to defund the CDC's research into gun violence. They don't consider it a public health issue. They might want to spend some time in the ER's and morgues around the country and then see if they think it is still not a public health issue.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
45. it wasn't because they don't view it as a public health issue
Sun Jul 6, 2014, 09:36 AM
Jul 2014

it was because, as Lawrence Southwick and others pointed out, it was biased junk science. The CDC didn't actually do any research they gave grants to people like Author Kellerman who wrote shill studies for the prohibition lobby. Of course, they are under different management today.
One problem with public health studies, they show link, and try to sell it as cause and effect.
The DoJ and the Library of Congress still funded and conducted studies on gun violence and the effect of gun laws, including internationally. The DoJ ones were published in criminology journals. The LoC compared the laws and their effects of 27 countries. Their results were not to the prohibition lobby's liking. As I said before, there should be strings attached if the CDC is allowed to do gun research again:

Must be published in peer reviewed criminology journals
If it is refused publication, that rejection must also be made public
all raw data must be public and free for anyone
the study must be public and free for anyone
the critiques and counter studies must be available and free for anyone

I think that is reasonable. I doubt the likes of Author Kellerman or David Hemenway will.
 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
13. Oh, PS: I grew up in a 3-generation all female household with guns, and happily!
Thu Jul 3, 2014, 06:53 PM
Jul 2014

And know what? Nobody died or even was ever hurt.

My grandmother taught me to shoot my grandfathers rifle, which I still have.

Thanks for the article, which included this picture, which is actually heartwarming as a family fun activity.

BTW, I support mandatory gun safety training for owners, and in school, annually, for students and for parents.

Good dad with 14-year old daughter:



sarisataka

(18,663 posts)
21. Are you suggesting
Fri Jul 4, 2014, 01:53 PM
Jul 2014

Legislation is needed to control action because women are not capable of making correct choices or are somehow especially gullible?

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
22. No, I'm suggesting that because of the gun culture fomented by the industry, gun groups like
Fri Jul 4, 2014, 03:44 PM
Jul 2014

the NRA and other groups including pro gun activists like those posting here, many people, women included, feel the need to buy guns even though every study ( except discredited Kleck and Lott) shows that guns make people less safe.

sarisataka

(18,663 posts)
23. Then maybe some self reflection
Fri Jul 4, 2014, 04:04 PM
Jul 2014

Last edited Fri Jul 4, 2014, 04:42 PM - Edit history (1)

Is in order

Why is it that people are believing the NRA and two "discredited" studies more than the many gun control groups backed by all but two studies?

I deliberately avoided addressing the actions of activists who post here as i do not know what they do in real life.

I can only speak for myself to say I will more often discourage a person from buying a firearm until they have given the matter a good degree of thought and make themselves aware of positive, negative and legal issues that come with ownership of a firearm.

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
25. I think we are more in agreement than not.
Fri Jul 4, 2014, 04:45 PM
Jul 2014

Why do people prefer to believe the NRA et al? Because it is a natural instinct to want to believe what reinforces ours own predisposition. Put another way, when your livelihood depends on on burning fossil fuels its easy to believe that global warming is a hoax.

Advertising works. Otherwise Superbowl ads wouldn't cost so much. We've had 40 years of gun promotion that tells us guns make us safer when the inverse is true.

As for introspection, I've done a bit more than most since December 14, 2012. I'm not afraid of guns. I own rather a lot of them, most of them never fired. All designed in the 19th century. (Except one I use to hunt dove). I just have ceased to buy into the major arguments promoting owning guns for safety.

They demonstrably do not make us safer. Its what I believe and what I work to make known.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
24. who said Kleck was discredited?
Fri Jul 4, 2014, 04:36 PM
Jul 2014

when did he have to return his Michael J. Hindelang Award from the American Society of Criminology?
He hasn't.
Gun control groups like to claim that their shill David Hemenway did, but he didn't publish in a criminology journal and wasn't peer reviewed. In fact, all of those studies you cite are Brady shills that either published in medical journals if they were published at all.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
27. Ixquick is a better friend
Fri Jul 4, 2014, 05:10 PM
Jul 2014

who won't sell you out.
all of the peer reviewers that were criminologists and not shills for Brady Campaign like David Hemenway and ER doctor Author Kellerman support his conclusions. In fact, the award from the American Society of Criminologists mentioned above was for the study that was "debunked." Even Phil Cook who tried to "debunk" Kleck, if you read the study, verified his finding.
Do you mean Marvin Wolfgang, “What troubles me is the article by Gary Kleck and Marc Gertz. The reason I am troubled is that they have provided an almost clear-cut case of methodologically sound research in support of something I have theoretically opposed for years, namely, the use of a gun in defense against a criminal perpetrator…I do not like their conclusions that having a gun can be useful, but I cannot fault their methodology.”

Hemenway's "counter" was best described as:

"It is obvious to us that David Hemenway had no intention of producing a balanced, intellectually serious assessment of our estimates of defensive gun use (DGU). Instead, his critique serves the narrow political purpose of 'getting the estimate down,' for the sake of advancing the gun control cause."

The nearest thing to an award Hemenway received was a free dinner and a plaque from the Brady Campaign for his activism.

You have to look at the quality of the counter studies too, and where they get their money.

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
35. Here ya' go. A little light reading.
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 12:20 PM
Jul 2014

Guns in America: National Survey on Private Ownership and Use of Firearms

Philip J. Cook and Jens Ludwig

https://www.ncjrs.gov/pdffiles/165476.pdf

.

The Gun Debate’s New Mythical Number: How Many Defensive Uses Per Year?

Philip J. Cook; Jens Ludwig; David Hemenway

http://home.uchicago.edu/~ludwigj/papers/JPAM_Cook_Ludwig_Hemenway_2007.pdf

.

Gun use in the United States: results from two national surveys

D Hemenway, D Azrael, and M Miller

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1730664/

.

Defensive Gun Uses: New Evidence from a National Survey

Philip J. Cook and Jens Ludwig

http://home.uchicago.edu/~ludwigj/papers/JQC-CookLudwig-DefensiveGunUses-1998.pdf

.

Survey Research and Self-Defense Gun Use: An Explanation of Extreme Overestimates

David Hemenway

http://www.saf.org/lawreviews/hemenway1.htm

.

The Myth of Millions of Annual Self-Defense Gun Uses: A Case Study of Survey Overestimates of Rare Events

David Hemenway

http://www.stat.duke.edu/~dalene/chance/chanceweb/103.myth0.pdf

.

The relative frequency of offensive and defensive gun uses: results from a national survey

Hemenway D, Azrael D

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11200101

.

‘In the safety of your own home’: results from a national survey on gun use at home

Azrael D, Hemenway D

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10619696

.

Gun threats against and self-defense gun use by California adolescents

Hemenway D, Miller M

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15066882

.

Reality check: using newspapers, police reports, and court records to assess defensive gun use

J Denton and W Fabricius

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1730063/

.

When criminals are shot: A survey of Washington, DC, jail detainees

May JP, Hemenway D, Oen R, Pitts K

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11104447

.

Medical care solicitation by criminals with gunshot wound injuries: a survey of Washington, DC, jail detainees

May JP, Hemenway D, Oen R, Pitts KR

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10647578

.

Do criminals go to the hospital when they are shot?

J P May, D Hemenway, A Hall

http://injuryprevention.bmj.com/content/8/3/236.full

.

The effect of nondiscretionary concealed weapon carrying laws on homicide

Hepburn L, Miller M, Azrael D, Hemenway D

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15128143

.

The Impact of Right-To-Carry Laws and the NRC Report: Lessons for the Empirical Evaluation of Law and Policy

Abhay Aneja, John J. Donohue III, Alexandria Zhang

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1632599

.

Two Guns, Four Guns, Six Guns, More Guns: Does Arming the Public Reduce Crime?

Albert W. Alschuler

http://scholar.valpo.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1854&context=vulr

.

Shooting Down the “More Guns, Less Crime” Hypothesis

Ian Ayres & John J. Donohue III

http://islandia.law.yale.edu/ayers/Ayres_Donohue_article.pdf

.

More Guns, Less Crime Fails Again: The Latest Evidence from 1977 – 2006

John Donohue and Ian Ayers

http://digitalcommons.law.yale.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1046&context=fss_papers

.

The Latest Misfires in Support of the “More Guns, Less Crime” Hypothesis

Ian Ayres & John J. Donohue III

http://islandia.law.yale.edu/ayers/Ayres_Donohue_comment.pdf

.

Yet Another Refutation of the More Guns, Less Crime Hypothesis – With Some Help From Moody and Marvell

Ian Ayres and John J. Donohue III

http://econjwatch.org/articles/yet-another-refutation-of-the-more-guns-less-crime-hypothesis-with-some-help-from-moody-and-marvell

.

Easing Concealed Firearms Laws: Effects on Homicide in Three States

David McDowall, Colin Loftin and Brian Wiersema

http://scholarlycommons.law.northwestern.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=6855&context=jclc

.

The Impact of “Shall-Issue” Concealed Handgun Laws on Violent Crime Rates: Evidence From Panel Data for Large Urban Cities

Tomislav V. Kovandzic, Thomas B. Marvell and Lynne M. Vieraitis

http://hsx.sagepub.com/content/9/4/292.abstract

.

Concealed Handguns: The Counterfeit Deterrent

Franklin Zimring and Gordon Hawkins

http://www.gwu.edu/~ccps/rcq/issues/7-2.pdf
(pg. 46)

.

Concealed-Gun-Carrying Laws and Violent Crime: Evidence from State Panel Data

Jens Ludwig

http://home.uchicago.edu/ludwigj/papers/IJLE-ConcealedGunLaws-1998.pdf

.

Do Right-to-Carry Laws Deter Violent Crime?

Dan A. Black and Daniel Nagin

http://www.jstor.org/discover/10.1086/468019?uid=3739848&uid=2&uid=4&uid=3739256&sid=21103225911223

.

More Guns, More Crime

Mark Duggan

http://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/faculty/dranove/htm/dranove/coursepages/Mgmt%20469/guns.pdf

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
38. I have read them before
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 12:44 PM
Jul 2014

most of them have not appeared in peer reviewed criminology journals. Hemenway's isn't even peer reviewed. Many of them were funded by Joyce Foundation.
Kleck still has his award and Marvin Wolfgang's observation still stands. One actually came to the conclusion that it doesn't matter either way.
Thanks for playing.

Also, there isn't such a thing as "debunking". Some of these are counter studies, none of these have anything to do with peer review of Kleck's work. My question is how well received were these studies? What was the methodology?

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
40. If you read them all you'd know the methodology, sources of data and all the rest that you choose to
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 05:17 PM
Jul 2014

Ignore in order to maintain your blind allegiance to the gun industry lie.

So, having read them all (I haven't) what were the recurring criticisms of Kleck/Lott? Of the half dozen I've read there two recurring issues. BTW not all of the linked studies dealt with Kleck/Lott but were independent of them researching the base question of gun availability and violence. The most benign of them found no correlation between increased concealed carry and an increase or decrease in violence, but that was the only one.

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
42. Did you read the links?
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 05:51 PM
Jul 2014

Some are not actually studies. This one doesn't even provide evidence to back up his claims. He also did a study that verified Kleck's results. One didn't even have anything to do with guns at all.
All of them, like Hemenway and Kellerman, started with a preconceived conclusion and built the study to get that conclusion. None of these people are actually criminologists, nor are they taken seriously in the field.
Kleck never said gun ownership made crime rates down. He simply measured the number of defensive gun uses.
It seems that you are unfamiliar with Kleck's work.

The most benign of them found no correlation between increased concealed carry and an increase or decrease in violence, but that was the only one.
which does not conflict with Kleck at all because he never said it they did anything.
I have seen better high school term papers.
Oh this one:
the Hemenway's UFO nonsense that accused, without evidence, of Kleck's pollsters of dishonesty Here is Kleck's reply to this nonsense:
http://scholarlycommons.law.northwestern.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=6937&context=jclc

jimmy the one

(2,708 posts)
46. unfamiliar with kleck's work
Mon Jul 7, 2014, 02:32 PM
Jul 2014

Johnston: All of them {gun control studies}, like Hemenway and Kellerman, started with a preconceived conclusion and built the study to get that conclusion. None of these people are actually criminologists, nor are they taken seriously in the field.

An idiotic contention on both parts; They 'started with a preconceived conclusion' that states with lax gun laws would have higher guncrime or certain violent crime rates or firearm suicide rates?
Hemenway & Kellerman are indeed taken seriously in the field of gun control, but not in your nra gunculture world.

johnston: Kleck never said gun ownership made crime rates down. He simply measured the number of defensive gun uses. It seems that you are unfamiliar with Kleck's work.

He did not measure the number of defensive gun uses, which would be impossible; but granting you meant his survey of dgu's, he 'measured' just 5,000 people by phone & ended up with 55 dgus from all of them, about 11 woundings, 2 justifiable homicides (cough), & said that 55% of dgus started as 'verbal' dgus, like 'go away or I'll get my gun', and some verbals worked, perhaps a third of his 2.5 million dgus were verbals.
It seems that gjohnston is the one unfamiliar with kleck's work.

Times (rightwing rag tho): In an exhaustive analysis with data from 170 U.S. cities that did control for such factors, Mr. Kleck and fellow researcher E. Britt Patterson concluded that there was no general impact of gun-control laws on crime rates — with a few notable exceptions.
“There do appear to be some gun controls which work, all of them relatively moderate, popular and inexpensive,” the researchers wrote. “Thus, there is support for a gun-control policy organized around gun-owner licensing or purchase permits (or some other form of gun-buyer screening); stricter local dealer licensing; bans on possession of guns by criminals and mentally ill people; stronger controls over illegal carrying; and possibly discretionary add-on penalties for committing felonies with a gun.
“On the other hand, popular favorites such as waiting periods and gun registration do not appear to affect violence rates,” he said.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/jan/24/states-crime-rates-show-scant-linkage-to-gun-laws/#ixzz36oBK8KhN
Follow us: @washtimes on Twitter

gejohnston

(17,502 posts)
47. I read his work
Mon Jul 7, 2014, 04:07 PM
Jul 2014

if Watts can claim a gang hit two blocks away from a school as a "mini Newtown" then a verbal reference of a gun is a DGU. 2.5 million was the upper end of a margin of error.

Hemenway is rarely published in a peer reviewed journal and is funded by the same people who astro turfs Brady Campaign. Kellermann is best known for his study that refused to make his raw data public. When he finally did, he was ripped apart in peer review. His studies are also funded by the same plastic farmers. Not an idiotic contention at all. I didn't say anything that criminologists like Wright, Southwick and other criminologists didn't say about them.

 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
39. A compendium of agenda-driven shoddy research.
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 01:38 PM
Jul 2014

I'm not even going to bother with it.

It's impossible to gather valid data to show what their findings pretend to prove.

flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
41. Oh, that's right! You're the professional researcher/statistician who prostitutes his skill
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 05:27 PM
Jul 2014

with "I think". And now, as such an expensive consultant, you refuse to even look at data before condemning it as " shoddy". Most of the links lead to abstracts and require a paid subscription (like you they want to be paid for their work) but a number have the original publication available as well.

So, because you have shared with we the great wisdom of what you "think" and have no further useful input welcome to ignore.

 

NYC_SKP

(68,644 posts)
43. I simply have better things to do than respond to challenges of a perfect stranger.
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 06:49 PM
Jul 2014

And a person who is unlikely to accept valid studies that refute theirs.

I'm not going to waste my time. It's clear that absent a full search of every dwelling and vehicle and backyard and histories of peoples lives, gestapo style, that the raw data collected is going to be unreliable.

The N in these studies is too small and the selection of target and control groups mean the methodology invalidates most of the conclusions and findings that they present.

IOW, yawn.

 

Jenoch

(7,720 posts)
36. They could always store their gun in the trunk of their car
Sat Jul 5, 2014, 12:32 PM
Jul 2014

like Marissa Alexander did. Then they could leave the area of abuse, go to their car, and fire 'warning shots'.

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