Gun Control & RKBA
Related: About this forum5-year justifiable homicide levels remain steady
Year Total¹
2007 257
2008 265
2009 266
2010 285
2011 260
http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2011/crime-in-the-u.s.-2011/tables/expanded-homicide-data-table-15
¹Defined as " t)he killing of a felon, during the commission of a felony, by a private citizen"
And the murder rate, again, shows a steady decline, down 15% from 2007.
Year Rate²
2007 5.6
2008 5.4
2009 5.0
2010 4.8
2011 4.8
² per 100,000 per year
Comments?
glacierbay
(2,477 posts)there would be a lot more murders being classified as justifiable homicide, after all, I heard it here first.
On a serious note, this just proves that the police and prosecutors know what is and what isn't a justifiable homicide.
SYG laws are a non issue.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)I think they often disagree on this. Police are often frustrated by prosecutors who want a slam dunk before indicting anybody. SYG laws are a huge issue, as are the criteria used for classifying homicides. Ask the cops and prosecutors in Florida about the Martin case.
glacierbay
(2,477 posts)and it's, IMHO, not a case of SYG, but I'll let FL. iron that out, in Missouri we don't have a SYG law yet, just a Castle Doctrine law, however, if MO ever institutes an SYG law, I will have no problem with it.
I'm not your typical cop, am I?
We have a pretty good rapport with the DA's office, of course there will be the occasional spat, but far and away, we get along great.
I used to watch the show Law & Order, what utter bullshit, rarely are the cops and prosecutors at odds like the show portrays.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)And I don't have much argument with you, except for SYG, which I consider a little loose. In general, I think most PDs and DAs have a good rapport. The problems often occur with murder cases, especially high profile cases, when the cops think they have enough evidence, but the DA wants more. I can understand both sides, frustrated cops on one side, and career bent DAs who hate to lose, on the other.
The Jablin case in Virginia is a classic example, but it all worked out in the end. I recently read the excellent Kathryn Casey book "Die, My Love" which details the investigation, and highlights the frustration.
glacierbay
(2,477 posts)I'll look it up on Amazon, if you say it's a good read, then I'll buy it.
Eleanors38
(18,318 posts)Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)Definitive conclusions have not been arrived at yet, but so far it looks as though SYG laws have resulted in a 2 to 3 fold increase in "justifiable homicides". Unfortunately, most of the witnesses, who might contradict the shooters' contention of justification, are dead.
Here is one link on the subject, but there are lots more if you Google "SYG justifiable homicide increase"
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303404704577311873214574462.html
Here's another SYG poster boy
http://www.foxnews.com/us/2012/07/03/texas-justifiable-homicides-reportedly-rise-with-castle-doctrine/
Point is, there are a lot of morons out there who think SYG is a license to kill. It is not meant to be, but if only the shooter survives and there are no other witnesses, it ends up being exactly that. So, if you are going to piss someone off, make sure you have witnesses. It won't keep you alive, but your stat will go into a different column.
gejohnston
(17,502 posts)according to one of our leading gun control advocates, should get you banned or suspended. That statistic alone is actually meaningless.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1172&pid=84851
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)The way the law is written is wrong. Statistics are irrelevant. Dead victims can't defend themselves.
gejohnston
(17,502 posts)I forgot the
I didn't say I agreed with the idea.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)Thought maybe one of the Fla natives had stolen your computer or something.
gejohnston
(17,502 posts)just colonists from Queens and Long Island. I think the secret behind New York being dependably blue for the past 40 years is because all of their Republicans moved here. At least some of them drive Priuses. It has become the 98 Olds of 21st century. Me, I'm holding out for a Chevy Volt. Now if I can convert a Willeys CJ series to electric and get the same range as a Nissan Leaf or Tesla...........................
Eleanors38
(18,318 posts)The article re Texas seems to show the limits of using syg, "even" in that state.
Interesting, that "minorities" seem to be using syg defense pleas frequently, esp. where the attacker is also a "minority."
orpupilofnature57
(15,472 posts)rrneck
(17,671 posts)That's the entire country? Over three hundred million people? Didn't I see somewhere else There were about 14,000 murders?
This is a pretty safe place to be.
geckosfeet
(9,644 posts)5% is 50 murders per 100,000.
Not sure that is all firearms though.
BigAlanMac
(59 posts)5% is 5 per 100.
50 murders per 100,000 is 0.05%
Justifiable homicides is given as an actual number because 500 per 300,000,000 is .167 per 100,000 or 0.000167%
geckosfeet
(9,644 posts)the murder rate trend is somewhat encouraging. However your claim of justifiable homicide levels remaining steady contradicts the numbers you present.
An increase of 28 justifiable homicides from 2007 (257) to 2010 (285) represents a 10% increase using the 2010 number as the baseline. If you use the 2007 number which is probably the correct thing to do it's an 11% increase.
Based only on the 2011 (260) number alone one could make the claim that justifiable homicide rates are holding steady although it is a 1% increase.
krispos42
(49,445 posts)2010 was a bump.
The average for the 5 data points is 266.6, and only one data point was above that. Three were noticeably below, and one was pretty much right on the average.
PavePusher
(15,374 posts)Hmmmm.... Got stats for that?
Decoy of Fenris
(1,954 posts)He won't like the numbers, and will likely fall back on the word "Seem", wherein the media reports mass shootings more frequently, which is instead an increase in coverage with an overall decrease in mass shootings.
That is, if you get any response at all.
geckosfeet
(9,644 posts)Decoy of Fenris
(1,954 posts)See my post above.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)However, the "justifiable homicide" bar appears to be getting lower and lower, especially in states like Florida and Oklahoma.
Regarding the murder rate, factors to be considered are:
1. Response times by paramedics and ER room efficiency. The numbers only relate to those who died.
2. Community policing in major urban areas and resulting drop in gang violence.
3. Evolution of the criminal mind in the age of computers and technology, resulting in fewer criminals resorting to violence.
At the end of the day, the Justifiable Homicide rate in the US is about equal to the Total Homicide rate in the UK. So, we have a ways to go yet.
krispos42
(49,445 posts)In fact, budget contraints on police and other emergency responders might in fact argue that the quality of emergency care has declined slightly.
2. Again, a huge chunk of murder is gang-related. Legalize drugs, and those murders (gun and otherwise) vanish into the ether almost immediately.
The justifiable homicide rate would be about 0.86 per million people per year. The UK homicide rate is 12 per million per year. I think you're thinking total gun deaths, maybe?
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)58 Murders a year by Firearms in Britain, 8,775 in US
http://www.juancole.com/2012/07/58-murders-a-year-by-firearms-in-britain-8775-in-us.html
Those numbers equal approximately slightly less than 1 per million in the UK (population ca. 60 million)
Slightly less than 30 per million in the US (population ca. 300 million)
Another interesting trend in the UK. Overall homicides are down 50% since 2001.
551 homicides (includes murder, manslaughter and infanticide) were reported in 2011/12, a considerable drop on the previous year's total of 638. Homicides are now down to around half of the figure for 2001/2.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/jul/14/crime-statistics-england-wales
I agree that most murders in the US are gang related and ending the ridiculous so-called "war on drugs" is an essential first step to a less violent society.
discntnt_irny_srcsm
(18,479 posts)...irritating in both directions but the Spring change is more annoying than the Autumn.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)Autumn has the edge though, if there is a good party happening Saturday night.
discntnt_irny_srcsm
(18,479 posts)I just find the idea annoying. AZ has the right idea.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)Kids going to school in daylight, early morning joggers, summer and early fall harvests. Lots of energy savings. I like to get up early and check the news, weather. If it's still dark my batteries are probably pretty low and I have to wait for the sun to charge them a little. If I'm in a harbor where there are other boats around I can't run a generator before 8.00am, which is when I now get enough sun, thanks to the shift.
krispos42
(49,445 posts)It's even worse for this part of the country. New England should be on Atlantic time, not Eastern time. But because we're always an hour "behind" as the sun goes, it gets dark early, even with DST.
At this point, we're on "standard" time a minority of the time. Put New England on Atlantic time and toss DST in the trash bin. It will probably help with the horrible traffic on I-95 in the morning and evening, too.
Or just move all the time zones east one zone and call it done. Permanent DST. Fine.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)Think about it. Schools and all businesses would have to change their hours. Street lighting would cost more. But I agree that some places might be better shifting zones. Newfoundland and the southeastern tip of Labrador have a half hour difference (ahead of Atlantic), which is pretty bizarre.
discntnt_irny_srcsm
(18,479 posts)...Newfie jokes up there.
That's just a sick idea. We should switch to GMT bag the idea of Daylight time and just adjust.
So now that we're this far off topic, how soon is it that the US will be all metric? They told me what year in grade school but that was obviously BS.
We could pass a law banning certain AR-15s for no measurable effects but adopting a logical system of measures? That's too controversial.
discntnt_irny_srcsm
(18,479 posts)Most weeks I work from home. I'm basically a cave dweller and I like it better when it's dark.
When I win the lottery, I'm moving here: < http://www.silohome.com/ >.
The idea of a resilient blast door appeals to me.
Stay safe.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)Looks like there are some lots left. Ideal for preppers who want to dig in. Maybe we'll check it out on next year's road trip, if I can persuade my better half to journey that far north again.
discntnt_irny_srcsm
(18,479 posts)I want the main area, cabin and silo.
BTW, what type/brand of panels do you have?
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)They charge a bank of 6x6 volt golf cart batteries (Trojan 125s).
discntnt_irny_srcsm
(18,479 posts)gejohnston
(17,502 posts)How about Titan silos? Wait, Kansas was over rated.
discntnt_irny_srcsm
(18,479 posts)If your interested, I'm sure you can find something to suit your tastes.
< http://www.missilebases.com/properties >
gejohnston
(17,502 posts)just the burden of proof. BTW, what is with the quotation marks? justifiable homicide is a legal concept.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)Prosecutors have to walk the fine line of deciding to prosecute or classify killings as justifiable. The Martin case is a classic example and I'd wager there would never have been a prosecution had there been no public outcry. Prosecutors don't like to lose.
gejohnston
(17,502 posts)I do think if Martin were some kid from the trailer park, regardless of race, there would be no outcry. If Martin were white, Mike Savage and Glen Beck would be making a big deal out of Zimmerman being Hispanic, and questioning his citizenship and self defense claim.
Remember the lady that got 20 years for firing a warning shot at her asshole abusive husband? Same prosecutor.
Regardless of what the truth turns out to be, ideologues will ignore the reality and scream "good old boy" or "political correctness" depending on the verdict.
Atypical Liberal
(5,412 posts)Wouldn't that result in higher justifiable homicide numbers?
This was the claim by those against SYG laws - that suddenly we would be awash in justifiable homicides.
I don't think SYG laws increase justifiable homicides - they just make it so people don't have to spend thousands of dollars to defend themselves when it happens.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)The research is not complete, but the picture doesn't look good.
http://www.politifact.com/florida/statements/2012/mar/26/christopher-l-smith/sen-chris-smith-claimed-deaths-due-self-defense-fl/
Atypical Liberal
(5,412 posts)I am confused here.
If SYG laws make for increased numbers of self-defense shootings, why are the numbers for the last 5 years stable?
ManiacJoe
(10,136 posts)The Florida civilian (non-cop) stats are stable at 12/yr pre-SYG and 42/yr post-SYG. The levels are stable but they differ by 250%.
The problem here is that the numbers are so small that talking about percentage changes is misleading.
Interestingly, the stats for the Florida cops reflects similar stability and similar levels increase, while the law did not change for them.
Atypical Liberal
(5,412 posts)discntnt_irny_srcsm
(18,479 posts)...that silly pursuit of happiness thing. Ya think.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)The FBI figures are national.
The number in Texas went from 32 in2006 to 48 in 2010. That's a 50% increase.
27 were in Houston, which has become a veritable killing zone. You would probably love it. You can shoot folk there for stealing candy bars.
In Florida it is just as bad if not worse http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/stand-your-ground-laws-coincide-with-jump-in-justifiable-homicide-cases/2012/04/07/gIQAS2v51S_story.html
Point is, the numbers may seem relatively stable, but they are increasing in states like TX and FL and will probably do the same in the other 28 states that have been manipulated by ALEC and the gun lobby.
Meanwhile, the blue states are getting smarter. What a surprise.
gejohnston
(17,502 posts)They had it for over fifty years. As for the increase, IIRC, the same increase is also among cops. That makes any change in the law irrelevant. In all likelihood, what the change shows is there were just as many self defense killings earlier years, just that it was easier to send innocent, of murder, people to prison since the accused had to prove their innocence of a crime. There is also the probability that the rate is actually the same, keeping pace with population change.
The statistic by itself is meaningless because any ideologue can interpret anyway they want.
Of course, you don't actually believe people do or should defend themselves outside the home.
BTW, "blue" and "red" state only refers to how they voted for president in the last election, which may or may not have anything to do with their internal politics. The same with counties within the state. Out of California's 58 counties, less than half were blue in 2004. Wyoming had one, and two in 28. Wyoming also had three red counties, the remaining 18 counties were light purple. I am surprised that you would actually fall for the simplistic and superficial nonsense is usually reserved for lazy and dimwitted, and overpaid, pundits.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)Where did you get that idea? I believe people should defend themselves and be able to defend themselves wherever they are. I do not believe people should be able to kill others for stealing candy bars and other junk.
gejohnston
(17,502 posts)Last edited Tue Nov 6, 2012, 01:46 AM - Edit history (1)
but we agree that is a bad idea. I think every state should adopt Wyoming's Castle Doctrine,
§ 6-2-602. Use of force in self defense.
(a) A person is presumed to have held a reasonable fear of imminent peril of death or serious bodily injury to himself or another when using defensive force that is intended or likely to cause death or serious bodily injury to another if:
(i) The intruder against whom the defensive force was used was in the process of unlawfully and forcefully entering, or had unlawfully and forcibly entered, another's home or habitation or, if that intruder had removed or was attempting to remove another against his will from his home or habitation; and
(ii) The person who uses defensive force knew or had reason to believe that an unlawful and forcible entry or unlawful and forcible act was occurring.
(b) The presumption set forth in subsection (a) of this section does not apply if:
(i) The person against whom the defensive force is used has a right to be in or is a lawful resident of the home or habitation, such as an owner, lessee or titleholder, and there is not an injunction for protection from domestic violence or a written pretrial supervision order of no contact against that person;
(ii) The person sought to be removed is a child or grandchild, or is otherwise in the lawful custody or under the lawful guardianship of, the person against whom the defensive force is used; or
(iii) The person against whom the defensive force is used is a peace officer who enters or attempts to enter another's home or habitation in the performance of his official duties.
(c) A person who unlawfully and by force enters or attempts to enter another's home or habitation is presumed to be doing so with the intent to commit an unlawful act involving force or violence.
(d) As used in this section:
(i) "Habitation" means any structure which is designed or adapted for overnight accommodation, including, but not limited to, buildings, modular units, trailers, campers and tents;
(ii) "Home" means any occupied residential dwelling place.
HISTORY: (Laws 2008, ch. 109, § 1; 2011, ch. 142, § 1.)
A homeless person's tent or refrigerator box has the same protection as Dick Cheney's Mcmansion. From what I understand, the law required you to retreat from your home. While Wyoming does not have SYG, it does provide civil immunity if you prove your case outside of the home. It also provides battered woman syndrome as an affirmative defense for justifiable homicide.
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)Here's an interesting piece about a Texas A&M study
http://www.theblaze.com/stories/study-guns-dont-kill-people-stand-your-ground-laws-do/
gejohnston
(17,502 posts)a couple of economists that got some of the states wrong, and couldn't tell the difference between SYG and castle doctrine. Studies like these may show a correlation, but can't show cause. That is what makes them kind of hokey.
Besides, If you are going to knock Kleck and Wright for being in Florida public schools, don't show up with a Texas public school (Yet Harvard is OK, even though Bush was accepted and he could not get in U of T or any Florida school because his grades sucked. While private Ivy league are fine schools, the idea of affirmative action for legaceies and give them unearned and not worked for degrees, like Bush, are over rated.)
Atypical Liberal
(5,412 posts)...for defending themselves and their property.
Clames
(2,038 posts)...and their parrots. SYG laws do not generally increase homicide rates despite what is touted by some so-called studies. No Wild West it seems. Nothing suggesting that gun ownership and expanded CCW is influencing these tends but it certainly not hurting anything except wilting a few delicate flowers.
Atypical Liberal
(5,412 posts)4th law of robotics
(6,801 posts)If it weren't for the increase in guns and SYG laws and the like crime would have dropped to nil by now because of . . . I dunno . . . magic.
But all those guns prevented the natural drop in crime.
Because I said so.
Eleanors38
(18,318 posts)the fears of the "wild, wild west."
And nothing much happened.
Atypical Liberal
(5,412 posts)PavePusher
(15,374 posts)Wow, with my ignore list I'm seeing 16.
Am I missing anything good?
Starboard Tack
(11,181 posts)But in case you don't, the answer is no, you're missing nothing that might concern you. Atypical is taking care of business for you in typically good form.