Invest 94L moves west, not likely to become a tropical storm or hurricane
Last Updated 8/12/2014, 2:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 13.0 33.0W Movement W at 25 mph
Wind 25 MPH
Tropical wave 94L was located near 14°N, 35°W on Tuesday morning, but is no longer a threat to develop. Satellite loops show that the wave has lost nearly all of its heavy thunderstorms, and water vapor satellite images and the Saharan Air Layer analysis show that 94L is now embedded in a very dry environment. The wave should arrive in the Lesser Antilles Islands on Saturday, bringing gusty winds and heavy rain showers. None of the reliable computer models for predicting tropical storm formation (the GFS, European, and UKMET) develop 94L or anything else in the Atlantic during the coming five days. In their 8 am EDT Tuesday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 94L a 0% chance of developing. Like last year, the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean continue to be dominated by high pressure and dry, sinking air, which discourages tropical storm formation. The latest 2-week run of the GFS model shows this pattern continuing into at least the last week of August.
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