2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumObama up 14 points in Wisconsin (Marquette Poll)
I don't believe this poll, but I thought I would throw it out there. I do think Obama wins Wisconsin by 6-8 points in November.
https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/MLSP11_Toplines.pdf
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)and was the closest pollster on the Wisconsin recall.
goclark
(30,404 posts)We have got to overcome the Suppresson that is going to take place.
JRLeft
(7,010 posts)LiberalFighter
(50,912 posts)TexasCPA
(527 posts)Thrill
(19,178 posts)without the Media demanding a horse race. They always mention their LV numbers and never the RV numbers
Blue Yorker
(436 posts)what! Walker ahead by 6! claptrap! a guy named Nichols says Marquette is full of shit!
Walker won by 7%.
Is this Obama +14 poll an outlier? November 6th will tell. Hopefull, we DU'ers will be wrong again.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/125139319
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)accurate and was right all the way up to the end.
Fingers crossed that the track record remains intact.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Our September poll makeup is about two points more Democratic and three points less Republican than average, which is within the margin of error, said Franklin. If the sample were adjusted to match the yearlong average partisan makeup, both margins would tighten, with Baldwin leading 48 to 43 percent and Obama leading 51 to 43 percent.
The poll of both landline and cell phone users was conducted September 13-16. The November matchups, based on a sample of 601 likely voters, have a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points. Other results are based on 705 registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.
Poiuyt
(18,123 posts)Wisconsin: Obama edges Romney 51 - 45 percent, compared to Obama at 49 - 47 percent August 23 after Romney selected Wisconsin U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan as his running mate.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1799