2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe Single Payer Debate We Should Be Having (Vox)
http://www.vox.com/2016/1/15/10775050/single-payer-debateProbably the closest thing to my view that I've seen out there in the media
This doesn't mean single-payer advocates are wrong that such a system would be a good idea. But it does mean that their current rhetoric totally evades a central issue should the federal government massively slash payments to health care providers, and how on earth do they plan on winning the political fight to make that happen?
Single-payer skeptics tend to be simply incredulous that government-run systems, both in the United States and abroad, are more cost-effective. Isn't the government a legendary cesspool of waste and inefficiency? Why would a government-run system be more efficient?
Well, here's the answer: Foreign single-payer systems pay doctors less. They also pay pharmaceutical companies less. They pay less for medical devices, too.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Health insurance builds all of those fancy buildings and pays high dollar executive compensation.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)It's not where the real savings come from though.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)that is a very high cost for them.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)You're not going to cut 20% from reimbursements without actually making doctors take home a lot less money.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Big Corporations are not your friend.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Or, if it didn't, it wouldn't actually solve the problem.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Single payer can save a lot in terms of drug costs as well.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)That's the main point I've been trying to make for a long time here: Single Payer can save money but it doesn't have to. It all depends on how it's actually done.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)is a cultural shift that isn't even on the horizon ... as the OP indicated, Doctors like money, Pharma is in the business to make money, so are healthcare facilities.
While, we, in fact, can legislate out the profit motive; but, with that comes a loss of Doctors, Pharma, and healthcare facilities.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Doctors can make a little less money.
Big Pharma and health insurers are like giant leeches sucking money out of the system. Taking some of the profit motive out of the picture in those areas is a good thing.
Healthcare facilities will have even more customers than they do now, or at least business will be shifted away from their emergency rooms.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)But the question is: WILL the doctors accept "a little" less money.
I am not seeing any evidence that they will. Doctors currently are refusing to see medicare patients ... AND, Medical school admissions are way down, with the primary reason given by the would be students is not seeing the efficacy of spending 4 years in medical school, amassing huge debt, to work 12 hour days (at, perceived relatively, low wages) for another 3-7 years, only to enter the field to face wage limitations.
True. But taking the profit motive out of big pharma means less pharma research and fewer products to market.
I agree that health insurers are unnecessary intermediaries; but, as the OP notes, eliminating them only slightly affects the math. (that is NOT a reason to NOT do it, though ... it would be dollars saved ... until we account for the job losses, which is a whole 'nother discussion).
True ... more customers at lower compensation/revenue, i.e., fewer resources, including equipment, translational research, and medical staff; or, no cost savings.
This seems myopic, if not honestly and/or well thought through.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Doctors would accept "a little" less money, if student debt wasn't so burdensome,
Student debt is caused by many factors that have nothing to do with education, the explosion in administrative personnel in educational instutions and the enormous salaries paid, often coupled with extravagant spending and insider contracts with kickbacks. This needs to be addressed.
The problem with Big Pharma is that profit reigns supreme.
An easy example is AstraZeneca with Nexium and Prilosec.
When the patent for Prilosec expired they created Nexium, very similar but with 10 times the cost to the system than the now generic form of Prilosec. They spent hundreds of millions promoting the new version as superior. The reality....it wasn't....but they sucked Billions of dollars per year in by misleading everyone. This is not a rare occurrence. 10% of health care costs are the drugs prescribed .
This kind of behavior is mild, though when compared the spin and bribery that accompanies many "products" or when they ignore danger signs and kill you knowingly for profit.
One of the phrases that has become a political joke over the years is the notion of "eliminating waste, fraud and abuse"
Unfortunately it permeates all of our institutions and corporations. Uncoupling ourselves from the corrupt entities that value our money over our health is a good start.
more customers at lower compensation is not a given.....at the level of actual care .
You occasionally scoff at the idea that this is a revolution, but money has corrupted almost every aspect of our society. Without a revolutionary change in our thinking, our society will collapse from the weight of the corruption.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)While medical school student debt, certainly, is crushing ... we continue to live in a wealth obsessed society, where income equals status. This is the cultural shift, of which I speak.
True ... and this is not going to change anytime soon. Again ... the cultural shift.
Sadly, I scoff more than occasionally. It is more a wish, a hope, a dream than a reality.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Hoyt
(54,770 posts)I am for single payer, just not lying to people about how much cheaper it will supposedly be.
floriduck
(2,262 posts)drug companies to reduce their pricing to that of what other countries pay. Big Pharma is the driver in the high costs for healthcare, not doctors.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)The biggest part of the pie, the orange pac man in those charts downthread, is "services", which is overwhelmingly hospitals and physicians.
We actually spend less per capita than Canada on pharma (though Canada sees that as their biggest cirrent problem) and roughly the same on nursing care. Where we are spending a lot more than them is reimbursements to hospitals and physicians. And if we want to have health care as cheap as Canada's, those reimbursements will have to fall. A lot. While those same hospitals and doctors are treating tens of millions more people than they are now.
dsc
(52,166 posts)but even if we had the overhead of Medicare (3%) vs the overhead of insurance (20%) that is only a 17% savings. Yes, it is a lot of profit for insurance companies (hence the big buildings and compensation) but it is nowhere near the 40+ % savings that our next leading competator gets.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)or about 6% of the total spending.
dsc
(52,166 posts)that was a big mistake on my part.
djean111
(14,255 posts)Recursion
(56,582 posts)You really think the profits of a few outweigh healthcare for all? That's awful.
djean111
(14,255 posts)You seem to be bemoaning the fact that Single Payer would be cutting payments. So we should not go to Single Payer. The ACA will never cover everybody, premiums and co-pays and out-of-pockets and drugs will just keep going up. That is both unsustainable and not good for people. The logical outcome - profits, for some, are more important than health care.
I can't believe you misinterpreted my post so badly.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)it's not a misinterpretation; it's what you literally said.
How you think I agree with that, when I'm the one talking about how to actually lower payments to providers, is beyond me.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)that does not address the reality of the OP ... single-payer will not occur without a fundamental cultural shift in the healthcare industry, i.e., accept less (which doesn't appear to be on the horizon without seeing a mass exodus from the field), or, an acknowledgement that single-payer won't be cheaper, which defeats the central single-payer argument.
cosmicone
(11,014 posts)I both agree and disagree.
I think single payer is doable in increments which require less capital up front as would be required to create it overnight.
I'd say this is how it should be implemented:
Years 26-45 can be given Medicare immediately. this age group generally doesn't require all that health care and adding them to Medicare will not be catastrophic. A subsidy can be provided to health insurance companies to keep premiums low on the rest of the population (because 26-45 subsidize insurance for other groups anyway)
After 3 years, participants can be increased to 26-55 and in another 3-5 years, Medicare for all.
This will be the least disruptive way of doing it. Not Bernie's plan of doing it overnight.
Wilms
(26,795 posts)I hope that means you'll vote for him!
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)How many of the players would remain in the industry knowing that it means a guaranteed 20-40% reduction in revenue?
cosmicone
(11,014 posts)will result from amortizing up-front costs.
If the up-front costs are kept at a minimum, the fee reductions per patient will be modest and will be made up by increased volume.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)Its the American Way.
djean111
(14,255 posts)RiverLover
(7,830 posts)Poor thing.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)and then attribute them to me.
comradebillyboy
(10,175 posts)and congrats on starting a nice substantive discussion on the health care issue, aside from the silly folks trying to put words in your mouth.
Nay
(12,051 posts)system. The layers and layers of highly-paid suppliers don't want the gravy train to end, and the complexity of the system we have now makes it very hard to just get rid of it. Most other countries made the change many years ago when systems were much less complex and medicine was not such an enormous cash cow.
I don't know exactly how the govt should go about it, but one idea is to start up a totally parallel system of hospitals, doctors, small clinics, pharmacies, etc., that are geared toward saving on costs. Can the govt buy up a few bankrupt hospitals and staff it with doctors that will take the job to get their med school debts forgiven? Like that.
And most neighborhoods could use a simple clinic with a nurse practitioner for the most common afflictions -- that would keep people from having to go to the emergency rooms all the time.
As far as single-payer skeptics being incredulous that single-payer systems across the world save so much money -- well, if they had looked at actual healthcare systems and not had their minds clouded by 40 years of propaganda against anything govt does, they'd actually be able to evaluate systems instead of just do a knee-jerk reaction toward gubmint.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)It doesn't require a single switchover moment; we can ramp it up incrementally.
gwheezie
(3,580 posts)The move to single payer should include a shift in how we provide healthcare to everyone.
The aca is a very good start in placing the focus to shifting to prevention however the services for providing these services is not there.
gwheezie
(3,580 posts)There has to be a transition for employees of insurance co"s to new jobs as well. Insurance co's employee a lot of people.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)What I took from it is, before there can be any movement towards single-payer, there must be a fundamental cultural shift in the medical industry (from the doctor to hospitals/care facilities to Pharma) away from a money culture to a more altruistic culture.
I wonder if anyone has conducted a "values" survey comparing those of American medical professionals and "foreign" professionals?
earthside
(6,960 posts)To not even mention the role of private for-profit insurance companies is strange.
Frankly, I think that omission rather undercuts the entire piece.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Profit for insurance companies is 4% of our national healthcare spending (it was 7% before ACA).
It could be improved, but it's just not the big problem. The big problem is that US providers (physicians, hospitals, and drug and device manufacturers) make a lot more than their counterparts in foreign countries, even from Medicare.
PotatoChip
(3,186 posts)Here is a portion of a rebuttal to the OP's article written by 'Physicians For A National Health Program' (PNHP)
On the provider side, our highly inefficient multi-payer system also places a tremendous administrative burden on physicians, hospitals and other providers. In fact, administrative work consumes about one-sixth of U.S. physicians time (while eroding their morale, precipitating burnout). U.S. physician practices spend nearly four times as much money interacting with health plans and payers as do their Canadian counterparts.
Administrative costs consume about 31 percent of total U.S. health care spending. That is about twice that of Canada 16.7 percent. Much of that difference is due to the financing systems single payer in Canada and a dysfunctional multi-payer system in the U.S. and thus most of that portion would be recoverable if we switched to single payer.
Yglesias says that we would have to reduce physician payments by 20 percent to achieve the spending goals of a single payer system. But when Canada changed to single payer, not only were physicians incomes not harmed, they remain among the top earners in the country.
*SNIP*
We know what we know, but we dont know what we dont know. Although Hillary Clinton finds it politically expedient to leave out crucial facts in her critique of single payer, I would assume that Matt Yglesias, as a journalist of high integrity (and for whom I have great respect), would welcome a more thorough understanding of PNHPs single payer model. We hope he reads this. Then we can have that debate that we should be having.
http://pnhp.org/blog/2016/01/15/matthew-yglesias-needs-to-do-more-homework-on-single-payer/
Recursion
(56,582 posts)The highest overhead part of our health care spending is, oddly enough, workers' compensation, but Medicare and Medicaid overhead are fairly significant, viz:
That's services, overhead, and stuff (ie, pharma and devices, mostly) as percent of US healthcare spending
And that's the public-private breakdown of the overhead
And here's the public breakdown:
Here's the spending by source:
(For the curious, here is a breakdown of "stuff"
(And here is "services"
So, if we can replace the 1/3rd of our health care spending that is private insurance with public insurance, at the overhead public insurance currently has, we would cut the private overhead rate in half, which would save about 4% of our annual spending. We'd save an additional 2% if that same process reimbursed providers at the same rate Medicare does. But the point is, we're not talking about "removing 31% of spending".
And, as Yglesias points out, that Medicare rate has been inflated by 20% for two decades now, and Congress proved itself absolutely incapable of actually holding doctors to the legal limits set. This is probably why providers like the idea of single payer so much: they know that they can attack any attempt to lower their reimbursements as "cutting Medicare".
PotatoChip
(3,186 posts)Recursion
(56,582 posts)You can read the data there
http://theincidentaleconomist.com/
This site has a ton of articles with charts a lot like that one looking at healthcare spending.
PotatoChip
(3,186 posts)-let alone no explanation (that I can find at these sites) of how you arrived at your conclusion/opinion?
Can you at least show what part of these sites provide the info you used? TIA
Recursion
(56,582 posts)I linked them to you.
https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/Downloads/NHE2013.zip
There, you don't even have to use CMS's menu now.
Read them. This isn't something that can be answered by a meme; you have to actually look at the data I linked you.
PotatoChip
(3,186 posts)Even if I had the time or inclination to read that, (there are no pie-charts there btw) it still does not answer my question. How did you arrive at your conclusion/opinion?
In any event, none of this is germane to the article I posted from The Physicians For A National Health Program in rebuttal to the misinformation in your OP article.
But you know, at this point... just never mind. I'm sick of the shifts and evasions.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)You're joking!
Yes, it's an absolute shit ton of numbers, and if you aren't inclined to go through them then why do you care about the issue?
And it absolutely answered your question; I got the numbers from those spreadsheets.
PotatoChip
(3,186 posts)Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)The google search for the top image is hilarious, I choose to not try it on the others.
Here is an example of the kind of numbers I am used to seeing for Medicare. Keep in mind that Medicare Advantage has been eliminated under the ACA.
http://www.pnhp.org/news/2013/february/setting-the-record-straight-on-medicare%E2%80%99s-overhead-costs
^snip^
The traditional Medicare program allocates only 1 percent of total spending to overhead compared with 6 percent when the privatized portion of Medicare, known as Medicare Advantage, is included, according to a study in the June 2013 issue of the Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law.
The 1 percent figure includes all types of non-medical spending by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services plus other federal agencies, such as the IRS, that support the Medicare program, and is based on data contained in the latest report of the Medicare trustees. The 6 percent figure, on the other hand, is based on data contained in the latest National Health Expenditure Accounts (NHEA) report.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Medicare's overhead is about 6%, compared to private insurance's being 12%, by their count.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)Can you please link Directly to where you are getting those numbers?
Recursion
(56,582 posts)There. You don't even have to click through CMS's site. They're in that zip file.
Open them. Read them. I literally just copied and pasted 2013's numbers into my graphing program.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)Can you please provide numbers which prove that "Single-payer systems save money by squeezing health care providers"?
Thanks
Recursion
(56,582 posts)As the legacy of the doctor fix shows
Can you please provide numbers which prove that "Single-payer systems save money by squeezing health care providers"?
Umm... you're honestly unaware that the US pays nearly twice as much for health care as the rest of the world? If you really need that proven to you, I can find a definitive statement of it.
Warren Stupidity
(48,181 posts)Last edited Sat Jan 16, 2016, 10:17 PM - Edit history (1)
comprehensive public systems that deliver superior results at lower per capita costs. I guess, in the final analysis, we are just too stupid to get it right, and we are better off just sticking with our crappy ass expensive corrupt system.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)They have the political will to pay their providers less, and we so far don't. These countries have a wide array of health care financing structures (some of which are remarkably similar to ACA); that's not our problem. Switzerland's private insurance companies pay hospitals significantly less than Medicare does.