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DemzRock

(1,016 posts)
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 09:46 AM Sep 2012

What's up with Gallup?

They're about the only major poll that doesn't have Obama ahead. Checked out realclearpolitics and they're the only one that has a tie right now. I followed the link to their site and they haven't updated for a couple of days. I thought they were supposed to be a daily poll. Or am I confused?

http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx


Friday, September 21, 2012 Updated 04:00 AM ET

Obama Romney
09/13-19/2012 47% 47%
09/12-18/2012 47% 46%
09/11-17/2012 47% 46%
09/10-16/2012 48% 45%
09/9-15/2012 48% 45%
09/8-14/2012 49% 45%
09/7-13/2012 49% 44%
09/6-12/2012 50% 44%
09/5-11/2012 50% 43%
09/4-10/2012 50% 44%

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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What's up with Gallup? (Original Post) DemzRock Sep 2012 OP
nothing to obsess about it's a tracking poll. Look at all the other national and state WI_DEM Sep 2012 #1
Well, I don't think they're correct or anything... DemzRock Sep 2012 #2
They are posting every day. gcomeau Sep 2012 #6
Nate Silver makes a great point this morning on his blog. Jennicut Sep 2012 #3
Gallup does a 7-day rolling poll... brooklynite Sep 2012 #4
I think you're missing my point. DemzRock Sep 2012 #5
when they update today (in ~3hrs)... gcomeau Sep 2012 #7
Rassmussan has also been fudging his numbers bushisanidiot Sep 2012 #8
Try this link TroyD Sep 2012 #9
Still says... 9/19.... DemzRock Sep 2012 #11
FUCK NATIONAL POLLS!!!! smorkingapple Sep 2012 #10
Don't put Montana in with Idaho : ) TroyD Sep 2012 #12
Good point, I should have said MS, LA, etc.... smorkingapple Sep 2012 #13
Gallup is a right wing poll. progressivebydesign Sep 2012 #14

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
1. nothing to obsess about it's a tracking poll. Look at all the other national and state
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 09:48 AM
Sep 2012

polls that Obama leads in.

DemzRock

(1,016 posts)
2. Well, I don't think they're correct or anything...
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 09:51 AM
Sep 2012

I just think there is something wrong with them generally. Aren't they supposed to post every day, not be stuck on two or three days ago?

 

gcomeau

(5,764 posts)
6. They are posting every day.
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 10:16 AM
Sep 2012

You're reading the page wrong. The results update every day at 1pm EST

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
3. Nate Silver makes a great point this morning on his blog.
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 09:52 AM
Sep 2012

He says the 4 main tracking polls, Rasmussen, Gallup, Rand and Ipsos all combined are above 3% for Obama. They were the same the week before as well even though Gallup was better for Obama last week. Obama seems to have at least a 3% lead nationally and is ahead in major swing states right now.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/21/sept-20-obamas-convention-bounce-may-not-be-receding/#more-34814

brooklynite

(94,725 posts)
4. Gallup does a 7-day rolling poll...
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 09:55 AM
Sep 2012

...takes a longer time for major events (e.g. the 47% remark) to factor in

DemzRock

(1,016 posts)
5. I think you're missing my point.
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 09:56 AM
Sep 2012

Shouldn't they be showing...

09/15-21/2012 today the 21st?

Or at least

09/14-20/2012?

realclearpolitics has gallop's 19th data there for two days or more.

When does gallup update? Aren't they daily? Are they late?

That's what I'm asking.

 

gcomeau

(5,764 posts)
7. when they update today (in ~3hrs)...
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 10:18 AM
Sep 2012

.. *then* they will be showing up until 9/20. The 9/21 interviews get conducted through today then they'll show up tomorrow.

bushisanidiot

(8,064 posts)
8. Rassmussan has also been fudging his numbers
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 10:55 AM
Sep 2012

rass has had romney up for the majority of the last week and a half, but there is not record of it on realclearpolitics. there is a whole week of rassmassan's polling that is missing. they are fudging their numbers to make it look like they aren't the only ones out of step with all the other polls.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
9. Try this link
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 11:04 AM
Sep 2012

'DemzRock', this is the link to use every day at 1:00 pm. On the right-hand side is where the Daily Tracking poll is updated.

http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx

DemzRock

(1,016 posts)
11. Still says... 9/19....
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 11:10 AM
Sep 2012

Which it must've said yesterday too according to rcp. Oh, well, I will check it at 1pm. Thanks!

smorkingapple

(827 posts)
10. FUCK NATIONAL POLLS!!!!
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 11:09 AM
Sep 2012

Come on guys, we should know better.

They are polling people in the South and states like Montana, Idaho etc that Obama has no chance at winning and will lose by great margins. The fact that Obama is even when those are included is a great sign. It's all about the state polls and Obama is in a clear lead there. He'll wind up with a low popular vote %(51-52%) but I predict an electoral landslide, maybe the same as 2008.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
12. Don't put Montana in with Idaho : )
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 11:12 AM
Sep 2012

Montana came within 3 points of voting for Obama in 2008, and while that probably won't happen this year, it's nowhere near as red a state as Idaho. Bill Clinton won Montana in 1992 and almost did it again in 1996.

By contrast, Idaho hasn't voted Democratic since LBJ in 1964.

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