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KamaAina

(78,249 posts)
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 02:01 PM Sep 2012

Romney's Path To 270: No Margin For Error

Here's Romney's path to 270: Take New York Ave. out of the District, get on the outer loop of the Beltway, then pick up 270 around Rockville. At rush hour, there is indeed no margin for error.

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/power-players-abc-news/romney-path-270-no-margin-error-112835568.html

Obama or Romney needs 270 electoral votes to win the White House, and with the current state of the race, Obama only needs to pick up 33 electoral votes to achieve victory, while Romney still needs 64.

The eight battleground states heading into the election are Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, Virginia, New Hampshire, and Florida. The most important undecided states at play are Virginia with 13 electoral votes, Ohio with 18, and Florida with 29.

Assuming that Obama holds onto the states he is currently expected to win, he has a couple of paths that would secure the White House. In one scenario, if Obama wins Virginia and Ohio on election night, bumping his tally to 268 electoral votes, he would need to snatch just one other small state, such as New Hampshire or Colorado, to cross the victory line. In an alternative scenario, he could afford to lose Virginia and Ohio all together, so long as he wins Florida. With Florida's 29 votes, he'd be just 4 electoral votes from crossing the 270 threshold.

For Romney, on the other hand, there is no alternative path to victory so long as the current electoral projections hold true. It is essential that he win Florida, with its 29 electoral votes, plus Ohio or Virginia to bring the electoral vote tally into a dead heat with President Obama -- turning Election Day into a late night.





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Romney's Path To 270: No Margin For Error (Original Post) KamaAina Sep 2012 OP
Ohio andFlorida Desperado_6569 Sep 2012 #1
Ohio and Florida AGAIN?!?! AndyTiedye Sep 2012 #2

Desperado_6569

(14 posts)
1. Ohio andFlorida
Fri Sep 21, 2012, 03:08 PM
Sep 2012

Between Ohio and Florida, both with their amazing bad voting systems and attempts at voter suppression, I wouldn't be surprised if it was a late night no matter what. Something is bound to go wrong, just like in 2000.

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