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New CNN New Hampshire Poll: Bernie 60, Hillary 33, Martin 1 (Original Post) HerbChestnut Jan 2016 OP
Sanders 91% favorable 7% unfavorable Jarqui Jan 2016 #1
Kicking ass! nt Logical Jan 2016 #12
They went with Clinton on the "who's best at handling ISIS". Other than that, it's pretty much Bern Gregorian Jan 2016 #2
This is a terrible pollster KingFlorez Jan 2016 #3
No, this is a bit of an outlier. kenfrequed Jan 2016 #7
Careful though kenfrequed Jan 2016 #4
Here we go! in_cog_ni_to Jan 2016 #5
Does anyone know if this poll changed it's methodology? HereSince1628 Jan 2016 #6
On the surface, don't seem like it: Jarqui Jan 2016 #8
Thanks! HereSince1628 Jan 2016 #9
There could be errors in demographics for example Jarqui Jan 2016 #10
Well that looks intriguing. Uncle Joe Jan 2016 #11

Jarqui

(10,130 posts)
1. Sanders 91% favorable 7% unfavorable
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 06:29 PM
Jan 2016

Holy sh*t!! That's flirting with unreal.

It climbs from June 66% favorable 11% unfavorable to the above.

Likewise, in June 35% Sanders, 43% Clinton flips to 60% Sanders 33% Clinton

"Which candidate is the least honest?" In June, Clinton leads handily with 28%. Today Clinton leads handily with 55%. Only 2% think Bernie is the least honest steadily over that time.

No wonder the Clinton campaign is scared. They'd already be seeing that in their internal polling.

I'm so happy for Bernie and his supporters. Win or lose, they should be proud of results like that given where they started and given what they've been up against (a DNC Clinton basically owns)

KingFlorez

(12,689 posts)
3. This is a terrible pollster
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 06:37 PM
Jan 2016

Scream, rant and call me all the names you want, but this is a terrible pollster who had all sorts of crazy fluctuations in numbers in the 2012 cycle. In a couple of weeks it wouldn't be surprising if they should something completely different.

kenfrequed

(7,865 posts)
4. Careful though
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 06:42 PM
Jan 2016

I love those numbers and I know Sanders is leading.

But the numbers probably aren't as solid or as big as that. It is probably Sanders high 50's and Clinton low 40's to be honest. We don't want to get lured into some silly expectations game.

in_cog_ni_to

(41,600 posts)
5. Here we go!
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 06:42 PM
Jan 2016

Bernie's got this!

You don't pull 7,000 people to a Birmingham, Alabama rally if you're an inconsequential candidate...sorry.

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
6. Does anyone know if this poll changed it's methodology?
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 06:42 PM
Jan 2016

Is there some structural reason, other than just the strangeness of chance, for this poll to look so different from the other recent polls in NH?

Jarqui

(10,130 posts)
8. On the surface, don't seem like it:
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 07:05 PM
Jan 2016

January poll

Conducted by the
University of New Hampshire
Survey Center
Interviews with 972 adults in New Hampshire conducted by
land line and cellular telephone on January 13-18, 2016
including 413 who say they plan to vote in the Republican
presidential primary and 420 respondents who say they plan
to vote in the Democratic presidential primary. The margin
of sampling error for results based on Republican primary
voters is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points and for results
based on Democratic primary voters is plus or minus 4.8
percentage points.


Dec pollhttp://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/12/09/nh.dems.pdf

Interviews with 954 adults in New Hampshire conducted by
land line and cellular telephone on November 30-December 7,
2015 including 402 who say they plan to vote in the
Republican presidential primary and 370 respondents who
say they plan to vote in the Democratic presidential primary.
The margin of sampling error for results based on
Republican primary voters is plus or minus 4.9 percentage
points and for results based on Democratic primary voters is
plus or minus 5.1 percentage points.


June poll
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/06/25/062515goppoll.pdf
Interviews with 1,010 adults in New Hampshire conducted by
land line and cellular telephone on June 18-24, 2015 including
402 who say they plan to vote in the Republican presidential
primary and 360 respondents who say they plan to vote in the
Democratic presidential primary. The margin of sampling
error for results based on Republican primary voters is plus
or minus 4.9 percentage points and for results based on
Democratic primary voters is plus or minus 5.2 percentage
points.

Jarqui

(10,130 posts)
10. There could be errors in demographics for example
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 07:10 PM
Jan 2016

that we cannot see

so my response is kind of like Hillary - not entirely trustworthy

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