2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew SC Poll-Clinton 47% Bernie 28% Undecered 22% O'Malley 2%
https://www.docdroid.net/vOFfb2x/scnd-poll-11516-1.pdf.htmlThis has clinton with smallest lead ever In SC and was taken before sunday's debate.
TDale313
(7,820 posts)Then I think South Carolina could be very much in play. So much for the firewall.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)That helps Hillary's argument to build upon what we have.
Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)I'm saying, I don't lump myself in with the democrats that are satisfied with "not so bad, maybe we can work on it."
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)Still In Wisconsin
(4,450 posts)Tell me, how does that strategy usually work out?
PoliticalMalcontent
(449 posts)Am happy with where he has taken us (for the most part). I don't see Hillary as being Barack Obama, as much as she wants to be. Their personalities are wholly dissimilar. She'd likely do a good job of protecting his legacy, but I'm concerned about the rest of her job.
Would she continue showing hawkish tendencies that in my opinion don't solve nearly as many problems as they create? Most likely.
Would she do her best to get money out of politics? I doubt it.
Rein in wall street? That's not really a fight I trust her on.
Even though I'm satisfied with the general direction of the country, I don't think that makes Hillary a shoe-in. Plain and simple, she's not Obama. We can do better.
LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)Even then, it will be thin margins. Bernie needs Hillary to keep messing up, which is very possible considering her track record.
Robbins
(5,066 posts)the clintons desperate attacks on bernie including their lies have to be for a reason.
LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)But the way Hillary has botched things, and her almost total lack of tact and charisma, anything is possible at this point.
draa
(975 posts)SMC22307
(8,090 posts)WillyT
(72,631 posts)SMC22307
(8,090 posts)I mean, what the hell is going on in SC? Maybe Hillary's not as inevitable as many claim and folks are learning all they can about Sanders. Poor O'Malley. I'm surprised he's not polling better.
WillyT
(72,631 posts)KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)Sanders has heavily run up score with white voters to carry the state.
Stuckinthebush
(10,847 posts)Seriously?
Pass that pipe
Voice for Peace
(13,141 posts)This could happen easily.
Stuckinthebush
(10,847 posts)Lord
So all 22 goes to Sanders? It's that easy?
Like I said....pass the pipe
Voice for Peace
(13,141 posts)Just been watching the Senator's astonishing trajectory.
Stuckinthebush
(10,847 posts)All the way, eh?
Sorry. I'm a pragmatist and realist. Odds are closer for me to win the lottery. He won't win SC. Keep the hope alive though.
Voice for Peace
(13,141 posts)not the other way around.
"Hope and Change" is more relevant today than ever. There is a powerful hunger out there.
Stuckinthebush
(10,847 posts)I will stick with pragmatism.
Voice for Peace
(13,141 posts)Inspiration is more powerful than uninspired promises of compromise. "Yes we can" is far more motivating than "no we can't."
There is also nothing pragmatic about electing a candidate who can not win the GE. My opinion.
Stuckinthebush
(10,847 posts)And determining the odds regardless of which candidate one supports.
Sanders. Won't. Win. The. Primary.
Math, logic, pragmatism.
I support whatever dem wins. Why? Because that dem will appoint SC justices in the next 8 years. I don't care who it is. Why? Because I'm pragmatic.
At this point the clear favorite to win is Clinton. Sanders has an Everest climb to beat her. I say it won't happen. Why? Pragmatism.
It's not sexy or inspiring. I grant you that. But it's reality.
draa
(975 posts)The Status Quo must GO.
KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)It's fairly late in the season for there to be so many undecideds, so it's probably not that great of a poll.
Voice for Peace
(13,141 posts)There are at least 6 billion versions at any given monent.
DemocraticWing
(1,290 posts)22% of SC voters being undecided, including a large block of black voters, suggests that's not wrong. I don't think they're waiting to learn about who Bernie is, but as Clyburn suggested happened with Obama in 2008, they are waiting to see how Bernie performs within the context of a campaign.
Response to Robbins (Original post)
1000words This message was self-deleted by its author.
Ken Burch
(50,254 posts)I'm guessing it's mainly AA voters who are slipping away from HRC, but haven't quite settled on anyone else.
HRC probably can't get them back, they are open to other candidates, but I think they just need to hear a little from Bernie(or possibly M'oM, but his single-digit support levels would make him a harder sell on electability grounds.
merrily
(45,251 posts)Also, it's amusing how the South Carolina primary has become the be all and end all in the2016 Democratic primary, given Bill Clinton's "racially tinged" dismissal of the significance of South Carolina primary in 2008.
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demwing
(16,916 posts)but i can't find any confirmation of this poll, and your link goes to a PDF press release with no methodology.
Where do you find this?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)He cant win there with numbers like that. We need a candidate who connects with AA voters. They will be critical to winning the general election.