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New SC Poll-Clinton 47% Bernie 28% Undecered 22% O'Malley 2% (Original Post) Robbins Jan 2016 OP
Really interesting. If Bernie actually wins Iowa and NH TDale313 Jan 2016 #1
Most Democrats are satisfied with the direction of the country. Dawson Leery Jan 2016 #2
I guess I'm not part of "most democrats" Ned_Devine Jan 2016 #5
You cannot select the parts of the poll you like. Dawson Leery Jan 2016 #9
Who says I'm trying to do that? I never said that Ned_Devine Jan 2016 #17
But Independents aren't and they can vote in South Carolina's opern primaries. eom Fawke Em Jan 2016 #12
Ah yes, the "everything is as good as it's going to get so vote for HRC" argument. Still In Wisconsin Jan 2016 #19
It's a funny thing. I have always liked Obama and... PoliticalMalcontent Jan 2016 #28
He must prevail in both Iowa and NH to have a hope LittleBlue Jan 2016 #3
I wouldn't be so sure it will be thin margins Robbins Jan 2016 #6
TBH I would normally consider that optimistic LittleBlue Jan 2016 #11
Ain't that the truth. draa Jan 2016 #27
22% undecided?! SMC22307 Jan 2016 #4
Yeah... That Caught My Eye As Well... WillyT Jan 2016 #10
Do you happen to know if there are that many undecideds in IA or NH? SMC22307 Jan 2016 #13
The Polls Are Tightening Nationally Too, Lookee Here: WillyT Jan 2016 #7
It's a polarized race KingFlorez Jan 2016 #8
You really believe sanders wins SC? Stuckinthebush Jan 2016 #14
28 + 22 = 50% Voice for Peace Jan 2016 #15
Easily? Stuckinthebush Jan 2016 #16
Accorig to trends, she's likely to lose some of that 47-% Voice for Peace Jan 2016 #18
Astonishing Stuckinthebush Jan 2016 #20
Actually it is Hope which keeps US alive and Voice for Peace Jan 2016 #21
More power to you Stuckinthebush Jan 2016 #22
There is nothing more pragmatic than harnessing the enthusiasm of voters. Voice for Peace Jan 2016 #23
There is nothing more pragmatic than looking at data Stuckinthebush Jan 2016 #24
Status Quo Pragmatism has gotten us 22% Childhood Poverty. No thanks. draa Jan 2016 #31
22% is a fairly high amount of undecideds KingFlorez Jan 2016 #32
No friend, it is only one version of 'reality. Voice for Peace Jan 2016 #35
Rep. Clyburn said a lot of people were holding off judgment until after IA/NH/NV DemocraticWing Jan 2016 #25
This message was self-deleted by its author 1000words Jan 2016 #26
The 22% undecided is the key number here. Ken Burch Jan 2016 #29
I'm waiting for next week's polls, after today's NBC story sinks in and the polls after Iowa and NH. merrily Jan 2016 #30
I don't like being the Killjoy demwing Jan 2016 #33
Bernie still struggling with African American voters... only 18%. DCBob Jan 2016 #34

TDale313

(7,820 posts)
1. Really interesting. If Bernie actually wins Iowa and NH
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 11:26 PM
Jan 2016

Then I think South Carolina could be very much in play. So much for the firewall.

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)
2. Most Democrats are satisfied with the direction of the country.
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 11:27 PM
Jan 2016

That helps Hillary's argument to build upon what we have.

 

Ned_Devine

(3,146 posts)
17. Who says I'm trying to do that? I never said that
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 12:12 AM
Jan 2016

I'm saying, I don't lump myself in with the democrats that are satisfied with "not so bad, maybe we can work on it."

 

Still In Wisconsin

(4,450 posts)
19. Ah yes, the "everything is as good as it's going to get so vote for HRC" argument.
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 12:16 AM
Jan 2016

Tell me, how does that strategy usually work out?

28. It's a funny thing. I have always liked Obama and...
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 01:27 AM
Jan 2016

Am happy with where he has taken us (for the most part). I don't see Hillary as being Barack Obama, as much as she wants to be. Their personalities are wholly dissimilar. She'd likely do a good job of protecting his legacy, but I'm concerned about the rest of her job.

Would she continue showing hawkish tendencies that in my opinion don't solve nearly as many problems as they create? Most likely.

Would she do her best to get money out of politics? I doubt it.

Rein in wall street? That's not really a fight I trust her on.

Even though I'm satisfied with the general direction of the country, I don't think that makes Hillary a shoe-in. Plain and simple, she's not Obama. We can do better.

 

LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
3. He must prevail in both Iowa and NH to have a hope
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 11:28 PM
Jan 2016

Even then, it will be thin margins. Bernie needs Hillary to keep messing up, which is very possible considering her track record.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
6. I wouldn't be so sure it will be thin margins
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 11:31 PM
Jan 2016

the clintons desperate attacks on bernie including their lies have to be for a reason.

 

LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
11. TBH I would normally consider that optimistic
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 11:35 PM
Jan 2016

But the way Hillary has botched things, and her almost total lack of tact and charisma, anything is possible at this point.

SMC22307

(8,090 posts)
13. Do you happen to know if there are that many undecideds in IA or NH?
Tue Jan 19, 2016, 11:38 PM
Jan 2016

I mean, what the hell is going on in SC? Maybe Hillary's not as inevitable as many claim and folks are learning all they can about Sanders. Poor O'Malley. I'm surprised he's not polling better.

 

Voice for Peace

(13,141 posts)
18. Accorig to trends, she's likely to lose some of that 47-%
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 12:12 AM
Jan 2016

Just been watching the Senator's astonishing trajectory.

Stuckinthebush

(10,847 posts)
20. Astonishing
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 12:16 AM
Jan 2016

All the way, eh?

Sorry. I'm a pragmatist and realist. Odds are closer for me to win the lottery. He won't win SC. Keep the hope alive though.

 

Voice for Peace

(13,141 posts)
21. Actually it is Hope which keeps US alive and
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 12:22 AM
Jan 2016

not the other way around.

"Hope and Change" is more relevant today than ever. There is a powerful hunger out there.

 

Voice for Peace

(13,141 posts)
23. There is nothing more pragmatic than harnessing the enthusiasm of voters.
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 12:41 AM
Jan 2016

Inspiration is more powerful than uninspired promises of compromise. "Yes we can" is far more motivating than "no we can't."

There is also nothing pragmatic about electing a candidate who can not win the GE. My opinion.



Stuckinthebush

(10,847 posts)
24. There is nothing more pragmatic than looking at data
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 12:47 AM
Jan 2016

And determining the odds regardless of which candidate one supports.

Sanders. Won't. Win. The. Primary.

Math, logic, pragmatism.

I support whatever dem wins. Why? Because that dem will appoint SC justices in the next 8 years. I don't care who it is. Why? Because I'm pragmatic.

At this point the clear favorite to win is Clinton. Sanders has an Everest climb to beat her. I say it won't happen. Why? Pragmatism.

It's not sexy or inspiring. I grant you that. But it's reality.

KingFlorez

(12,689 posts)
32. 22% is a fairly high amount of undecideds
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 01:40 AM
Jan 2016

It's fairly late in the season for there to be so many undecideds, so it's probably not that great of a poll.

 

Voice for Peace

(13,141 posts)
35. No friend, it is only one version of 'reality.
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 06:12 AM
Jan 2016

There are at least 6 billion versions at any given monent.

DemocraticWing

(1,290 posts)
25. Rep. Clyburn said a lot of people were holding off judgment until after IA/NH/NV
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 01:14 AM
Jan 2016

22% of SC voters being undecided, including a large block of black voters, suggests that's not wrong. I don't think they're waiting to learn about who Bernie is, but as Clyburn suggested happened with Obama in 2008, they are waiting to see how Bernie performs within the context of a campaign.

Response to Robbins (Original post)

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
29. The 22% undecided is the key number here.
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 01:34 AM
Jan 2016

I'm guessing it's mainly AA voters who are slipping away from HRC, but haven't quite settled on anyone else.

HRC probably can't get them back, they are open to other candidates, but I think they just need to hear a little from Bernie(or possibly M'oM, but his single-digit support levels would make him a harder sell on electability grounds.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
30. I'm waiting for next week's polls, after today's NBC story sinks in and the polls after Iowa and NH.
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 01:34 AM
Jan 2016
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1033656


Also, it's amusing how the South Carolina primary has become the be all and end all in the2016 Democratic primary, given Bill Clinton's "racially tinged" dismissal of the significance of South Carolina primary in 2008.

?w=728
 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
33. I don't like being the Killjoy
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 01:43 AM
Jan 2016

but i can't find any confirmation of this poll, and your link goes to a PDF press release with no methodology.

Where do you find this?

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
34. Bernie still struggling with African American voters... only 18%.
Wed Jan 20, 2016, 02:19 AM
Jan 2016

He cant win there with numbers like that. We need a candidate who connects with AA voters. They will be critical to winning the general election.

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