2016 Postmortem

Robbins

(5,066 posts) Fri Jan 22, 2016, 03:55 PM Jan 2016

Nevada Poll-Clinton 47%(-4) Bernie 43%(+4) O'Malley 3%

http://overtimepolitics.com/clinton-holds-slight-lead-over-sanders-in-nevada-47-43/

I guess we know why nevada isn't been mentioned much

Bernie's support comes from whites and voters 45 and younger.

Clinton's comes from Minorities over all and voters 46 and up

Even so Bernie right now is polling 21% on blacks 28% on Hispanics 37% on Asians,and 44% on Native Americans.It takes time
but even so he is only 4 points behind her before iowa and NH.

14 replies

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Nevada Poll-Clinton 47%(-4) Bernie 43%(+4) O'Malley 3% (Original Post) Robbins Jan 2016 OP

K&R nt Live and Learn Jan 2016 #1

Oh boy oh boy. And it's a caucus state too. Go Bernie go! nt thereismore Jan 2016 #2

Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2016 #3

I think that's more than a bit of a stretch Mufaddal Jan 2016 #10

Whoa! And after he wins Iowa and NH, those numbers are going to shoot through the roof! in_cog_ni_to Jan 2016 #4

I'd call that a surge - and one that would render South Carolina a lot less important. Betty Karlson Jan 2016 #5

Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2016 #6

Overtime? Okey dokey KingFlorez Jan 2016 #7

Wouldn't rely on Overtime Politics. HerbChestnut Jan 2016 #8

+1 Dawson Leery Jan 2016 #11

Yeah, well if Sanders doesn't win CONVINCINGLY in New Hampshire- I mean Iowa- I mean Nevada- Still In Wisconsin Jan 2016 #9

If you're depending on Overtime Politics polls, you're MineralMan Jan 2016 #12

To be consistent, at a glance, the demographics favor Sanders Jarqui Jan 2016 #13

Overtime Politics! OilemFirchen Jan 2016 #14

Live and Learn

(12,769 posts)

1. K&R nt

Reply to Robbins (Original post)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 03:56 PM

Jan 2016

thereismore

(13,326 posts)

2. Oh boy oh boy. And it's a caucus state too. Go Bernie go! nt

Reply to Robbins (Original post)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 03:58 PM

Jan 2016

Response to Robbins (Original post)

Name removed Message auto-removed

Mufaddal

(1,021 posts)

10. I think that's more than a bit of a stretch

Reply to Name removed (Reply #3)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 04:06 PM

Jan 2016

But I agree it doesn't look like a known or reliable polling agency, so as much as I might like its results, I'm not going to put any stock in it.

in_cog_ni_to

(41,600 posts)

4. Whoa! And after he wins Iowa and NH, those numbers are going to shoot through the roof!

Reply to Robbins (Original post)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 04:03 PM

Jan 2016

Clinton fatigue is setting in. People are tired of them. They need to just go away.

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)

5. I'd call that a surge - and one that would render South Carolina a lot less important.

Reply to Robbins (Original post)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 04:03 PM

Jan 2016

If Sanders wins 3 /4 of the first primaries...

Response to Betty Karlson (Reply #5)

Name removed Message auto-removed

KingFlorez

(12,689 posts)

7. Overtime? Okey dokey

Reply to Robbins (Original post)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 04:04 PM

Jan 2016

lol.

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)

8. Wouldn't rely on Overtime Politics.

Reply to Robbins (Original post)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 04:04 PM

Jan 2016

Their methodology is suspect at best.

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)

11. +1

Reply to HerbChestnut (Reply #8)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 04:09 PM

Jan 2016

Still In Wisconsin

(4,450 posts)

9. Yeah, well if Sanders doesn't win CONVINCINGLY in New Hampshire- I mean Iowa- I mean Nevada-

Reply to Robbins (Original post)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 04:06 PM

Jan 2016

then it doesn't really matter.

MineralMan

(146,338 posts)

12. If you're depending on Overtime Politics polls, you're

Reply to Robbins (Original post)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 04:10 PM

Jan 2016

going to be very disappointed. I'm sorry, but they're just guessing, really.

Jarqui

(10,131 posts)

13. To be consistent, at a glance, the demographics favor Sanders

Reply to Robbins (Original post)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 04:23 PM

Jan 2016

here both in sex (too many men, not enough women) and age(too much youth, not enough aged) and therefore, Clinton's lead in NV is likely significantly larger.

I expect Sanders would tighten it up but it's probably not nearly as tight as this poll suggests.

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)

14. Overtime Politics!

Reply to Robbins (Original post)

Fri Jan 22, 2016, 04:34 PM

Jan 2016

The HA HA Goodman of "pollsters"!

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