The people who think about the demographics of the states are usually the wonks like us here who are following every turn and twist in the race. The reason the first two are so important is because of the momentum and press attention they provide which can and have completely changed races in the past.

The simple truth is that most voters don't closely follow politics. They pick up bits and pieces from the news or from conversations with people they know. If the news is blasting 'Sanders beats Clinton again!' or 'Clinton holds off Sanders!' headlines for weeks, those headlines have a strong effect on voting intentions.

you'll see this very interesting tidbit.

And carried that forward. Yeah he lost NH, but just like this race his expectations were different to Clintons.

It was basically a 3-way tie in terms of delegates.

both candidates throughout the 2008 primary season. Both were very attractive candidates for different reasons. Prez O's appeal carried the day then.

have her hat handed to her in NH and might very well lose Iowa, best to start a narrative where that doesn't mean anything.

Allen Clifton Whistles Past the Graveyard?


Just sayin'.

If she was leading, he'd say "New Hampshire and Iowa prove that Bernie is a joke".

...an Iowa or New Hampshire primary vote is greater than my California general election vote - but that's the system we have been given.