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CBS Poll-Bernie Edges Clinton In Iowa (Original Post) pinebox Jan 2016 OP
Yes!!!! The media has created a horse race. Sheepshank Jan 2016 #1
Think outside the box pinebox Jan 2016 #2
Thinking in the Bernie box is your specialty Sheepshank Jan 2016 #5
Speaking of inane, you really need to work on that. cali Jan 2016 #6
Precisely pinebox Jan 2016 #9
Sure sure.....whatever. Stock up on kleenex Sheepshank Jan 2016 #14
Why would I need Kleenex, dear? I've said consistently that cali Jan 2016 #23
I'm terrified Hillary will get the nom and Obama will have no choice but to prosecute.will JonLeibowitz Jan 2016 #28
When you have nothing but ad hominem pinebox Jan 2016 #8
Momentum Matters. libdem4life Jan 2016 #10
And Hillary has none pinebox Jan 2016 #12
I might suggest that she does...just not in the desired direction. libdem4life Jan 2016 #18
lol Downwards. pinebox Jan 2016 #22
Yes. libdem4life Jan 2016 #25
Apropos handle for your favored candidate's campaign. Sheepshank Jan 2016 #15
Here's a thought...both sides are happy when one of the possibly meaningless polls come out libdem4life Jan 2016 #19
They've mattered the same way all along... MrMickeysMom Jan 2016 #26
Where have I said that polls don't matter? pinebox Jan 2016 #33
It's the Bernie supporters mantra here on DU Sheepshank Jan 2016 #36
Widely rejected? pinebox Jan 2016 #38
Lol...I forgot about their precious "online only" polls. Thanks for the reminder. Nt Sheepshank Jan 2016 #39
anytime pinebox Jan 2016 #40
I don't know what they mean. I do know Bernie has run a very good campaign cali Jan 2016 #4
Must suck to be you Hillary FreakinDJ Jan 2016 #3
Psst. Fawke Em Jan 2016 #27
MOE of 9% is just pathetic. How many did they as? 100 people? thereismore Jan 2016 #7
As I said pinebox Jan 2016 #11
Go take it up with CNN. libdem4life Jan 2016 #13
I hope and cheer too! Go Bernie go! nt thereismore Jan 2016 #16
1753, but it's known to not be a probability sample Recursion Jan 2016 #20
OK, maybe they are just really honest about the MOE, that's refreshing. thereismore Jan 2016 #21
Intresting tibits here Robbins Jan 2016 #17
She is really cratering among the young. And indies, and women. Who's left??? thereismore Jan 2016 #24
Older women. Just look at the rally pictures. They'll never vote Bernie. JonLeibowitz Jan 2016 #29
I know a 93 year old women in Minnesota who supports Bernie. B Calm Jan 2016 #35
Fuck that! Le Taz Hot Jan 2016 #42
Whoa! younger Millennials, very Liberal (TRUE PROGRESSIVES) and Independents are going in_cog_ni_to Jan 2016 #32
Here we go! Up, up, up, up, up, up in_cog_ni_to Jan 2016 #30
Honestly, an 8.9% moe is embarrassing demwing Jan 2016 #31
It's a really unusual methodology, but a huge sample Recursion Jan 2016 #41
I'm beginning to think Bernie will end up winning Iowa. If B Calm Jan 2016 #34
Bernie stands a good chance to win Iowa. senz Jan 2016 #37
 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
1. Yes!!!! The media has created a horse race.
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:26 PM
Jan 2016

Polls mean nothing...remember? Within the margin of error, means jack shit,remember?

 

pinebox

(5,761 posts)
2. Think outside the box
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:33 PM
Jan 2016

Check it!
How does a candidate who has 99% name recognition lose a massive lead in IA to a candidate who had a 3% name recognition? The same way she lost to Obama. Bernie is going to take Iowa & when it happens Hillary supporters are going to freak out. Mark my words.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
5. Thinking in the Bernie box is your specialty
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:40 PM
Jan 2016

You ask inane questions as if you just landed on a gotcha moment.

I never expected Hillary to get 99% or 100% of any vote simply because of name recognition. How dumb is that premis?

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
6. Speaking of inane, you really need to work on that.
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:45 PM
Jan 2016

What could be more inane than this? Thinkin in the Bernie pine box is your specialty.

Hillary may get the nomination, but she is not likable enough to assure a win in November, even against a pig like tRump.

 

pinebox

(5,761 posts)
9. Precisely
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:47 PM
Jan 2016

God I wish this was twitter lol You know EXACTLY what I would say right now if it was lol

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
23. Why would I need Kleenex, dear? I've said consistently that
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:08 PM
Jan 2016

corrupt Hillary will be the nominee. And that she'll lose in November. That's when we'll all need Kleenex.

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
28. I'm terrified Hillary will get the nom and Obama will have no choice but to prosecute.will
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:23 PM
Jan 2016

That would destroy us in November, up and down the ticket.

 

pinebox

(5,761 posts)
8. When you have nothing but ad hominem
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:46 PM
Jan 2016

you've lost the argument.

I posed an actual question to you. You're unable to answer it. That's fine. I get it. You're candidate is underwater.
You miss the point. Hillary has a 99% name recognition. People know who she is. Bernie was at 3% name recognition. Much like Obama, people didn't know who he was. he's a fresh face in an otherwise stale political environment where people are sick and tired of politicians.

Hillary is a - 27. Bernie is a +26.

Enthusiasm gaps matter.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
15. Apropos handle for your favored candidate's campaign.
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:59 PM
Jan 2016

So how come polls matter to Bernie supporters today?

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
19. Here's a thought...both sides are happy when one of the possibly meaningless polls come out
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:04 PM
Jan 2016

in their candidate's favor. Why? Because that's all we have...inelegant as it seems. That's the way American politics roll.

MrMickeysMom

(20,453 posts)
26. They've mattered the same way all along...
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:14 PM
Jan 2016

They've always come with a margin of error. They've always been taken for the moment, and they never stopped supporters like me from engaging in our campaign. We continue to do what we do, because there are more and more who are understanding who Bernie Sanders is.

His message is consistent. He is not rude in delivering that message, nor his he threatened. Discussing the issues and what it takes removes any threat from everyone because we are at stake in the the center of all those issues.

 

pinebox

(5,761 posts)
33. Where have I said that polls don't matter?
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:48 PM
Jan 2016

I didn't. Nice try though. Project much? Should I bring some slides with my Kodak?

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
36. It's the Bernie supporters mantra here on DU
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:57 PM
Jan 2016

I find the hypocrisy of employing data, suddenly getting kudos and recs for any polling data, that has widely been rejected for months, truly fascinating.

 

pinebox

(5,761 posts)
38. Widely rejected?
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 02:48 PM
Jan 2016

You mean like those online polls all the Sanders supporters rejected? Oh wait....

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
4. I don't know what they mean. I do know Bernie has run a very good campaign
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:37 PM
Jan 2016

I will also repeat something I said years ago here: Her support is a mile wide, but not so deep.

 

FreakinDJ

(17,644 posts)
3. Must suck to be you Hillary
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:34 PM
Jan 2016

All your Wall St $Money and 1%er friends and still that little insignificant Jew from Connecticut is edging you out

Oh My ...

thereismore

(13,326 posts)
7. MOE of 9% is just pathetic. How many did they as? 100 people?
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:46 PM
Jan 2016

I am for Bernie but please enough of shit polls.
 

pinebox

(5,761 posts)
11. As I said
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:48 PM
Jan 2016

"Check it!
How does a candidate who has 99% name recognition lose a massive lead in IA to a candidate who had a 3% name recognition? The same way she lost to Obama. Bernie is going to take Iowa & when it happens Hillary supporters are going to freak out. Mark my words"

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
13. Go take it up with CNN.
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 12:52 PM
Jan 2016

Anyone who has been here for longer than a few hours knows the poll flip-flops. Both sides champion their "good news".

Glad you're for Bernie...every reaction is under a microscope, especially here. We can cheer the ones we like and ignore the ones we don't.

I choose to cheer...and hope.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
20. 1753, but it's known to not be a probability sample
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:05 PM
Jan 2016

It's one of the weirder methodologies I've seen, but that in itself doesn't make it bad.

thereismore

(13,326 posts)
21. OK, maybe they are just really honest about the MOE, that's refreshing.
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:07 PM
Jan 2016

Go Bernie go! The SC shifts are great.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
17. Intresting tibits here
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:02 PM
Jan 2016

Men-Bernie 51%(+4) Clinton 43%(-1)
women-Clinton 47%(-7) Bernie 44%

18-29-Bernie Bernie 74%(+3) Clinton 14%(-14)
30-44 -Clinton 50%(-4) Bernie 47%(+1)
45-64-Bernie 48%(+4) Clinton 46%(-4)
65+ Clinton 61%(+2) Bernie 28(-5)

Very Liberal-Bernie 64%(+9) Clinton 33%(-11)
Liberal-Bernie 47%(+1) Clinton 47%(-3)
Moderate-Clinton 55%(-5) Bernie 36%(+1)

Self identified dems-Clinton 52%(-1) Bernie 40%(-2)
Self indenified independents-Bernie 67%(+13) Clinton 24%(-16)

and this as well as NH and SC polls polled those who had been to caucus or voted in primary before.so it poential is leaving out some of bernie's supporters.

Le Taz Hot

(22,271 posts)
42. Fuck that!
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 05:23 AM
Jan 2016

The only "older women" I know who are voting for Shills are Yellow Dog Democrats who would vote for Trump if Das Party told them to. The rest of us have retained our minds and regularly engage in independent thought and are going' for Bernie.

in_cog_ni_to

(41,600 posts)
32. Whoa! younger Millennials, very Liberal (TRUE PROGRESSIVES) and Independents are going
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:42 PM
Jan 2016

to win this. Bernie is going to be our nominee.

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

in_cog_ni_to

(41,600 posts)
30. Here we go! Up, up, up, up, up, up
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:34 PM
Jan 2016

Now we know why the shitstorm has started. Internal polling must be in the toilet.

Be prepared for a massive onslaught of attacks on Bernie this week.

Go Bernie!

We're going to win! 99% > 1% ....

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
31. Honestly, an 8.9% moe is embarrassing
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:36 PM
Jan 2016

Last edited Sun Jan 24, 2016, 02:20 PM - Edit history (1)

I want Bernie to win, and believe he will, but this poll would get laughed at if it supported Clinton, and each of us knows it.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
41. It's a really unusual methodology, but a huge sample
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 05:19 AM
Jan 2016

If I'm reading this right it basically fell out of their screening process for a focus group series. So, over 1700 people, which would normally be great, but they don't come from a probability sample.

 

B Calm

(28,762 posts)
34. I'm beginning to think Bernie will end up winning Iowa. If
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:51 PM
Jan 2016

he wins the first two states I don't see anything stopping him!

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
37. Bernie stands a good chance to win Iowa.
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 02:35 PM
Jan 2016

Strong polls, weak polls, they all point that way.

Thanks for a good OP, pinebox!

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