2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCBS News Polling Trend (spoiler alert: "Sanders edges Clinton in Iowa, leads big in New Hampshire")
CBS just released their current polling:
Here is the CBS polling trend in Iowa:
Here is the CBS polling trend in New Hampshire:
Here is reporting on the internal and cross tab numbers:
There is a big gap between the two on who better understands what voters are feeling, and to whom each would listen as president. In Iowa, 91 percent of Democratic voters believe Sanders would pick regular people over big donors. But a majority -- 57 percent -- of Democrats feel that Hillary Clinton would do what big donors want instead of what regular people want, if forced to choose.
The race has seen more critical back-and-forth between the two in recent weeks, and Democratic voters marginally see Clinton's critiques are the more unfair of the two. Twenty-eight percent of Iowa Democrats feel Clinton's critiques on Sanders have been unfair, while 16 percent say the same of Sanders' critiques on Clinton.
Sanders is more widely seen in Iowa and New Hampshire as the candidate who "gets it" -- that is, understands how people feel. Eighty-five percent say that of Sanders in Iowa and an enormous 95 percent say that of him in New Hampshire. Sixty-five percent describe Clinton that way in Iowa and 60 percent in New Hampshire -- majorities, but nowhere near the numbers Sanders put up.
questionseverything
(9,655 posts)the people of iowa rejected hc before and i think her performance in the last 8 years will only make it worse
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)supporters in Iowa, but she has dumped a FORTUNE into Iowa which will enable her to get a high percentage of her supporters out to caucus in 8 days.
This is too close to call. Sanders' enthusiastic staff and volunteers in Iowa need to double their efforts to overcome Clinton's big-money advantage.
questionseverything
(9,655 posts)kenn3d
(486 posts)These and several of the other recent polls seem to reinforce the widely reported notion that Sanders may indeed win both Iowa and New Hampshire. The delegate counts may be just as important though.
What I found even more telling is the trend now showing up in South Carolina:
CBS News/YouGov 1/17 - 1/21 388 LV 9.4 60 38 0 Clinton +22
CBS News/YouGov 12/14 - 12/17 380 LV 9.7 67 31 2 Clinton +36
CBS News/YouGov 11/15 - 11/19 420 LV 8.7 72 25 2 Clinton +47
Is there still time to Bern down the firewall?