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2016 Postmortem

Jarqui

(10,126 posts) Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:43 PM Jan 2016

14

New Hampshire CNN/WMUR Sanders +23 Boston Herald/FPU Sanders +20

https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/primary2016_demprimary013116.pdf

CNN/WMUR Sanders 57, Clinton 34, O'Malley 1 Sanders +23

http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2016/01/31/FPU-BH-Jan26-30-Dem.pdf

Boston Herald/FPU Sanders 57, Clinton 37, O'Malley 2 Sanders +20

Something is happening folks

Debate is there next week I think so Hillary can check it out for herself on live TV

9 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

New Hampshire CNN/WMUR Sanders +23 Boston Herald/FPU Sanders +20 (Original Post) Jarqui Jan 2016 OP

Boooriiiing! thereismore Jan 2016 #1

WOW! californiabernin Jan 2016 #2

It also shows Bloomberg at 30%. Gregorian Jan 2016 #3

Easy win for Bernie alcibiades_mystery Jan 2016 #4

Obama was +8.3 just before the vote and Hillary took it +2.5 Jarqui Jan 2016 #7

I trust nothing CNN is involved with. Skwmom Jan 2016 #5

Bernie is beating Hillary 72% - 15% with Independents Jarqui Jan 2016 #6

NH will be for Bernie no mater if Iowa goes to Hillary book_worm Jan 2016 #8

This has got to be giving some folks heartbern. AtomicKitten Jan 2016 #9

thereismore

(13,326 posts)

1. Boooriiiing!

Reply to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:46 PM

Jan 2016

It's getting to that point now. Go Bernie!

californiabernin

(421 posts)

2. WOW!

Reply to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:47 PM

Jan 2016

Can you say momentum???

Gregorian

(23,867 posts)

3. It also shows Bloomberg at 30%.

Reply to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:52 PM

Jan 2016

409 people with a possible 4-5% plus or minus error. I just don't put much faith in polls, but what the hell GO BERNIE!

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)

4. Easy win for Bernie

Reply to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:55 PM

Jan 2016

Better win, though.

Jarqui

(10,126 posts)

7. Obama was +8.3 just before the vote and Hillary took it +2.5

Reply to alcibiades_mystery (Reply #4)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 10:14 PM

Jan 2016

But Bernie is up +15.4 in poll of polls

He just has to avoid stepping in it - some catastrophe

Skwmom

(12,685 posts)

5. I trust nothing CNN is involved with.

Reply to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:57 PM

Jan 2016

Jarqui

(10,126 posts)

6. Bernie is beating Hillary 72% - 15% with Independents

Reply to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 10:10 PM

Jan 2016

It's been that way in a number of polls except the divide is getting bigger.

Those are brutal numbers for Hillary.

If that keeps up, Sanders will distance himself from her in matchup polls and the electability argument is over.

But we've been seeing that with independents for a long time. I don't know if anyone has a list of states that have independents that can vote in the primary. My guess is that Bernie would be starting to poll in those states pretty well.

book_worm

(15,951 posts)

8. NH will be for Bernie no mater if Iowa goes to Hillary

Reply to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 10:36 PM

Jan 2016

He's been leading there by solid margins for quite a while. He is the neighboring senator. If he lost NH that would be characterized as a major blow at this point--even a small victory there would be a blow--but I expect he will win NH solidly.

AtomicKitten

(46,585 posts)

9. This has got to be giving some folks heartbern.

Reply to Jarqui (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 11:27 PM

Jan 2016

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