2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton Denies Knowledge of App used to Calculate when to Prop MO'M
In a late telephone interview with MSNBC's Brian Williams and Rachael Maddow prior to her final speech on the eve of the Iowa Caucus, Hillary Clinton denied knowledge of the existence of a cellphone application that her campaign was earlier reported be using tomorrow to calculate if, when, and how many of her own caucusers to shift toward Martin O'Malley in the event that his caucus lacks the 15% viability threshold.
In response to Rachael's question regarding the existence of the App, Sec. Clinton proclaimed "This is the first I've heard if it" while describing the general tactic the app exploits as "a tradition". A curious set of remarks considering that the reported application is basically a technologically beefed-up version of the tactic used against her in 2008 by then Sen. Obama.
Why would she insist that she knows nothing about this application? Surly such a strategic tool would require the acceptance of an effective executive? It is not against the rules to shift your supporters to a rival's side to effect the earned delegate count of another rival. The ability to effectively organize is the purpose of the Iowa Caucus, and such innovations should be heralded as proof of a campaigns organizing prowess, unless...
This strange denial raises a few interesting questions.
1) Where and how exactly, does this "calculator" pull it's data? -or- Does this app pull data for the Microsoft Iowa Caucus Platform?
2) Was the coding in anyway developed with the assistance of or in consultation with Microsoft or it's corporate resources?
3) Was Microsoft involved in the development, and was such expertise offered to all candidates?
4) If Microsoft was involved, were they compensated for their services?
If you have the app, why fain ignorance of it's existence if there is no legal reason to deny it? Even before the 3 questions, her response to Maddow's questioning strains credulity. We all know it exists. This is no longer in doubt. Such a denial on it's face raises the honesty gap the Clinton Campaign has been dogged by for most of the campaign.
The moral of this story, if you're not comfortable with a tactic or a strategy, there's usually a reason. And if you can't even admit to the mildly acceptable, expect others to wonder why.
As i'm posting, the MSNBC Special is rebroadcasting on the East Coast.
elleng
(130,964 posts)They would have been fools to inform her.
Blue State Bandit
(2,122 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)elleng
(130,964 posts)DisgustipatedinCA
(12,530 posts)elleng
(130,964 posts)Appreciation is worth a lot.
HerbChestnut
(3,649 posts)Hillary has shown time and again that we shouldn't elect her as president. Her refusal to take any kind of responsibility is disturbing.
Punkingal
(9,522 posts)Blue_Adept
(6,399 posts)JimDandy
(7,318 posts)KingCharlemagne
(7,908 posts)ProudToBeLiberal
(3,964 posts)Fumesucker
(45,851 posts)Arazi
(6,829 posts)I'm shocked, shocked! to discover there's gambling going on in here!
Blue State Bandit
(2,122 posts)And the question is, what resources does the app use, and in the development of this version, was Microsoft involved. This question gains greater validity since Microsoft is running the official tabulation. Such activity would constitute a conflict of interest and possibly an illegal campaign contribution if it accesses the data-set created by the Microsoft tabulation system being use for the first time in 2016.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)tammywammy
(26,582 posts)A person counts the number of people in the room and inputs it to find out the margins for each candidate/delegates.
Bernie has an app as well. Both campaigns would have built the app in house, not using Microsoft. Microsoft built the app that each precinct captain uses.
Blue State Bandit
(2,122 posts)precludes this from being simply a calculator. The success of this app would require live feeds of all the caucus locations in real time.
I would like to know whether the Clinton campaign will be generating this data on there own, or are they accessing the Microsoft cloud service data-set.
Her refusal to admit the very existence of the app, which is common knowledge to those following the process, has only 2 explanations. She either thinks it is less distasteful to use this tactic than to lie about it, or there is something else involved that she finds it necessary to create some distance in case it blows up in her face.
tammywammy
(26,582 posts)To calculate the number of delegates based off the number of voters. Then it reports back to campaign headquarters. Both Sanders and Clinton have such apps.
Microsoft made the app that precinct captains will use to report the totals to the state political office. Only precinct captains will be able to input the totals.
With each campaign having their own apps they're both effectively backup counters to the Microsoft app. It helps preclude any mishaps like the 2012 Iowa caucus where Romney was declared the winner and two weeks later it was announced Santorum won. Iowa was only using telephone touchpads to send the results in.
I don't find it out of the realm of possibility that neither Sanders nor Clinton know about the app.
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,330 posts)This caucus thing has always been a mystery to me.
tammywammy
(26,582 posts)Like the end result will be sent back. But the delegates are determined at a precinct level. So for instance based off the number of people that show up, some Hillary supporters could go to MOM and give him a delegate number boost (+1 additional) without sacrificing any of her delegates.
Nanjeanne
(4,960 posts)It pulls data from other caucuses. Not just the room. They discussed it on MSNBC this afternoon and commented on the fact that wifi was needed and could be problematic in rural areas since signal strength wasn't a guarantee.
Fuddnik
(8,846 posts)Skwmom
(12,685 posts)Arazi
(6,829 posts)Karma13612
(4,552 posts)If she wins by some underhanded crap, I will be furious.
Does the Sanders team have good tactics in place for the caucuses?
Probably best if I go to sleep now and stop stressing.
Way past my bedtime.
Good luck Iowa-keep up the good fight!
JudyM
(29,251 posts)tammywammy
(26,582 posts)Blue State Bandit
(2,122 posts)Last edited Mon Feb 1, 2016, 01:39 AM - Edit history (1)
Are we denying the existence of scientific calculators now? I don't even think republicans could do that with a straight face.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)lots of technology that younger people take for granted.
She's saying that she's not aware of it. That seems perfectly plausible to me.
And that people are making a mountain out of a molehill, because the technology makes no difference. Horse trading with caucus votes and delegates is part of the standard process. That's part of why caucuses STINK -- including my own state's -- and should all be replaced with primaries.
There is no such thing as one-person-one-vote with caucuses.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)Sometimes, she's a geek carrying around multiple devices. She claimed to always travel with an iPhone, and iPad and a Kindle.
Other times, she's a luddite. "Like with a cloth?".
It depends on which personality best serves her at that particular moment.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)a tiny fraction of the features.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)this app too, I would be shocked. And it does nothing new. Whut?
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)anymore than Hillary.
And you're right, it does nothing new.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)frylock
(34,825 posts)FIFY
snooper2
(30,151 posts)your reply is so funny I had to actually type it out
On one hand Hillary is so fucking dreamy and intelligent and wise and on and on and on...
But then every once in a while...
Oh, she can't know or keep track of everything! She doesn't know servers, they are hard! Multiple email accounts, even more hard! Apps are so so so more hard
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)one of the workers who will be on the ground in the caucuses and might use one.
All they do is provide a convenient way of keeping track of an activity they routinely do anyway.
Big deal.
murielm99
(30,745 posts)blaming it on dirty tricks.
How like the Bernie campaign. Everything is a conspiracy.
Blue State Bandit
(2,122 posts)seems legit.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)How like the Weathervane camp. Whichever way the wind blows, she goes.
No problem...If there is something going on, it will come out.
murielm99
(30,745 posts)I think you are getting dizzy already.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)"she"
I think she, Hillary, is getting dizzy.
There you go. Bye now to the Weathervane camp
cherokeeprogressive
(24,853 posts)Al Gore didn't just pull that out of his ass. He had a good coach.
Blue State Bandit
(2,122 posts)saltpoint
(50,986 posts)just so new-fangled! My oh my, but I just wouldn't know where to begin with such things."
SheenaR
(2,052 posts)Explain how they were instructed how to teach others to use it? Seems like they got their orders from somebody above.
Let's just say it was campaign staff and not Hillary.... That sounds a lot like Nevada Union, LCV, and AARP that was such a big deal.
PatrickforO
(14,576 posts)TeamPooka
(24,229 posts)bettyellen
(47,209 posts)TeamPooka
(24,229 posts)bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Go figure! People use apps to count. Shoot us all.
zentrum
(9,865 posts).win by any means necessary.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)other voters to change their votes. If you can't get there at that time and stay for hours, tough luck -- no absentee ballots.
This is part of why I've been saying all along that caucuses SUCK (including my own state's caucuses) and should all be replaced by one-person-one-vote primaries.
DefenseLawyer
(11,101 posts)That the first time she'd even heard about her campaign strategy was when asked about it the night before the caucus on MSNBC? That's a little tough to believe. Sorry. Some might call foul on the whole thing, but I would say all's fair within the rules. But why not just say that instead of immediately lying trying to deflect the question?
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)the OP is about. She's not going to be on the ground in the caucuses, trying to keep track of the votes.
The strategy itself is routinely used in the Iowa caucuses, and Hillary acknowledged this: "while describing the general tactic the app exploits as 'a tradition'."
Of course the Bernie campaign will use the same strategy and the same app.
Jeff Weaver is just trying to throw a cloud of suspicion over Hillary's campaign, and obviously has succeeded with some gullible people who don't know how caucuses are run.
DefenseLawyer
(11,101 posts)They asked her about her campaign using the strategy. But for the sake of argument, they have developed this cutting edge technology for the campaign, worked with Microsoft and all that and she knew NOTHING about it? Come on. No. Her first reaction to something remotely negative was to lie. Is it the end of the world? No. But "I have no idea what my campaign is doing!" That dog won't hunt.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)In response to Rachael's question regarding the existence of the App, Sec. Clinton proclaimed "This is the first I've heard if it" while describing the general tactic the app exploits as "a tradition".
She didn't know there was an APP, but acknowledged that the strategy itself is a "tradition."
Which is perfectly true. The APP just puts the traditional practice into the techie realm. Big deal.
DefenseLawyer
(11,101 posts)Maddow didn't ask about the app specifically, she asked about the strategy and whether Secretary Clinton was "encouraging it". Go watch it.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)Which is the essential piece of the whole topic.
Who cares whether they're using an app to facilitate a practice that's always used in that caucus.
And is part of why I hate caucuses in general, Iowa's and my own state's.
Her initial response was to say it was "No, that's the first I've heard of this, Rachel. I have no additional information to add". She went on to talk about the tactic and that it was used against her etc etc. You can go watch it. It's not the end of the world, just silly to think she didn't already know about it before last night.
frylock
(34,825 posts)wasn't that the mantra used against Bernie last week when his campaign was alleged to misappropriate organizational logos? I'm running with it.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)frylock
(34,825 posts)Z_California
(650 posts)It's a caucus and you use tactics such as this to win, violates no rules. Probably not real complicated technology either, so I don't think the Microsoft angle is going anywhere, you could probably figure it out in your head if you're good at division.
Whether she's being truthful about her lack of knowledge? It wouldn't surprise me either way. Could be something her people are handling. Might be something she has intimate knowledge of. 50/50.
Not a scandal.
Response to Blue State Bandit (Original post)
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Nanjeanne
(4,960 posts)Why was Hillary so outraged in 2008 at the idea that Obama and Richardson had a supposed agreement to do this sort of thing -- in a much less scientific way without using a programmed app?
Blue State Bandit
(2,122 posts)ecstatic
(32,707 posts)There's no reason why anyone in Clinton's camp would feel it necessary to tell the media about the existence of such an app, as that would only hurt their efforts, not help. So now, both Hillary Clinton and Martin O'Malley supporters will already be on the defensive.
Is it possible that Bernie staff posed as Hillary volunteers to get this information? Or is it something Bernie's staff learned when they hacked Hillary's campaign data? Or, is it just made up bullshit?
And finally, regarding Clinton's denial of knowledge, if this app thing is even true, I doubt the candidates keep up with every technological aspect of their campaigns. If so, then we might need to revisit the crimes and deceptions committed by Bernie's camp.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)wrong with using the app to help with the practice that is a standard part of caucus haggling. And they also know that it is likely that Hillary herself is vague on the details of the app itself.
People who don't like this should fight, like I am, to end caucuses. They're inefficient, unrepresentative, non-inclusive, archaic events that preclude many voters from participating. And they involve non-secret ballots and horse trading. If you don't like all this, you should push your state to have a primary, like most modern states.
Blue State Bandit
(2,122 posts)pnwmom
(108,980 posts)She's not one of the people on the ground in the caucuses, haggling with the voters and the other campaigns.
Her staff -- and Bernie's and Martin's -- would be the ones to use the apps to help them with their jobs. And of course they all are.
This is so silly. It's would be like complaining that she was using a cell-phone calculator instead of a separate calculator.
But it's working because it's making gullible people think somehow Hillary is hiding something.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)even though we have a primary process! The Repubs are using the primary system, but WA State Dems refused to give it up.
tammywammy
(26,582 posts)This is all much ado over nothing.
DisgustipatedinCA
(12,530 posts)KittyWampus
(55,894 posts)wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)Strategy is now suspect in a political race.
frylock
(34,825 posts)Either she is lying, or she has no idea what is happening within her own campaign. Your choice.
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)randome
(34,845 posts)It's strange, like a tornado coming out of a blue sky.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Birds are territorial creatures.
The lyrics to the songbird's melodious trill go something like this:
"Stay out of my territory or I'll PECK YOUR GODDAMNED EYES OUT!"[/center][/font][hr]
Blue_Adept
(6,399 posts)FSogol
(45,488 posts)brooklynite
(94,591 posts)...Another conspiracy theory propagated by people who haven't studied the issue at all, and are simply rolling with "Microsoft=Bad"
The Microsoft App (which YOU can download in the Apple App Store or Android Store for free) isn't some mysterious data crunching tool. It's sole job is to accurately report the results from each precinct. The credentialed precinct leader signs in and tells the app how delegates the precinct is entitled to and how many registered voters show up, so it can check the math when the delegate allocation is reported at the end of the meeting. Anyone with a laptop and a spreadsheet could do the same thing.
DefenseLawyer
(11,101 posts)I just found it funny that when she was asked about something that might put her in a bad light her first instinct was to lie. "You know, that's the first I've heard of that, Rachel". Right. I'm sure it was.
Is that a huge deal? No. It's not.
brooklynite
(94,591 posts)It's not an app for the campaign; it's an app for the Iowa State Parties.
DefenseLawyer
(11,101 posts)Rachel asked her about her campaign using the tactic. Go watch it. It's front and center on MSNBC videos, about half way through.
Second, the campaign actual has its own app, which was developed to work with the Microsoft "Reporter" application being used by the Iowa Caucus. Sanders has one too, by the way.
brooklynite
(94,591 posts)DefenseLawyer
(11,101 posts)She was asked about her campaign using the tactic and whether she was "encouraging that". Of course the fact that they have an app makes her statement that its the first she's heard of it even less plausible. But, the OP has it wrong. Go watch it. Or don't. It's a pretty stupid issue.
Blue State Bandit
(2,122 posts)the development and use of this app would be "encouraging" the use.
DefenseLawyer
(11,101 posts)Last edited Mon Feb 1, 2016, 08:15 PM - Edit history (1)
But she wasn't specifically asked about the app in the interview. There's no possible way she doesn't know they plan to use the tactic just as there is no possible way she didn't know her campaign has an app. It was just disappointing that her first inclination was to lie.
tammywammy
(26,582 posts)The OP says it was about the app, which is what I've been going off of.
Thanks
DefenseLawyer
(11,101 posts)It's on that page under "Clinton make closing argument for Iowa". I couldn't figure out a direct link. It's about 3 minutes in.
tammywammy
(26,582 posts)I'll check it out. I don't normally watch cable news.
frylock
(34,825 posts)I'm so disappointingly disappointed.
riversedge
(70,242 posts)And Weaver in the Sanders Camp looks very foolish for whining to the press today. Have a good day
Iowa Starting Line ?@IAStartingLine 16h16 hours ago
In 08 out-of-state Clinton staff were at pcts, did not caucus. But I can name ones from other campaigns who did.....
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Iowa Starting Line ?@IAStartingLine 16h16 hours ago
Placeholders for pct captains is no big deal, nor would a staffer serving as pct captain - as long as they don't caucus
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Iowa Starting Line ?@IAStartingLine 17h17 hours ago
This is a hilariously bad argument from Weaver - staff are always at pct locations. Sanders staff will be too https://www.yahoo.com/politics/sanders-campaign-cites-alarming-signs-clinton-020552922.html
8:30 PM - 31 Jan 2016 · Details
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Amy Fried ?@ASFried 17h17 hours ago
@IAStartingLine Has Weaver has ever run a campaign outside of Vermont?
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Iowa Starting Line ?@IAStartingLine 16h16 hours ago
Placeholders for pct captains is no big deal, nor would a staffer serving as pct captain - as long as they don't caucus
frylock
(34,825 posts)Was there an unannounced evolution?
Skidmore
(37,364 posts)they would know that this was announce in local news here weeks ago, and both parties and all candidates have this app, including Sanders. What utter claptrap.
http://www.kcrg.com/content/news/Reporting-the-Results-Caucus-Leaders-Prepare-for-Caucus-Night-365698141.html
Nanjeanne
(4,960 posts)What I don't get is if there's nothing wrong with the tactic (even though Clinton denounced (her now good friend) Obama when he used it against her in 2008 . . . why not just admit its part of the Iowa caucus and everyone can do the same thing - including Sanders (although I have doubts he will).