BOOM! Quinnipiac Feb 1 Poll IOWA: Sanders 49, Clinton 46, O'Malley 3
Turnout Turnout Turnout.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2320
February 1, 2016 - First-Timers Put Trump Ahead In Iowa GOP Caucus, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Sanders Needs First-Timers To Tie Clinton In Dem Caucus
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Also relying on first-time Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont has 49 percent, with 46 percent for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and 3 percent for former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley. Only 2 percent remain undecided and 14 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind.
The key for both Trump and Sanders is first-time caucus goers:
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Sanders tops Clinton 62 - 35 percent among Democratic first-timers, while Clinton leads 52 - 41 percent among voters who attended prior caucuses;
44 percent of Republicans and 38 percent of Democrats say this is their first caucus.
"The size of the turnout tonight will likely be the key factor, especially on the Democratic side," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "High turnouts with lots of new caucus participants likely would mean a good night for Sen. Bernie Sanders, and for Donald Trump."
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= new reply since forum marked as read
But those crowds I have been seeing tell the story I think. Go Bernie!
P.S. How did I get to be so geeky that Iowa Caucus Day ranks up there with Christmas? It's all W's fault. And MoveOn.org for sending me to a Bake Back Our Democracy event. And my son who told me about DU. 
