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NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:01 PM Feb 2016

THE WORM HAS TURNED: Barring unforeseeable events, Bernie Sanders will be the Democratic nominee



http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/2/7/1481253/-THE-WORM-HAD-TURNED-Barring-unforeseeable-events-Bernie-Sanders-will-be-the-Democratic-nominee

The Clinton campaign is collapsing. Built for an outdated presidential race from the past two decades, it underestimated the changing times, a unique opponent, and increasingly savvy voters.

The campaign's first mistake was to take the traditional approach of sitting on a lead. Certainly, it would have seemed a safe bet. The party's elected politicians would rally to her as the presumptive nominee—and they did. Donors were lined up for a big haul—and they gave. The media would willingly marginalize Sanders—and they tried. And the voters could be quickly frightened with specters of Republicans into sticking with the establishment candidate—but they weren't.

Despite every institutional advantage and a made-to-order GOP horror show, voters could not be scared away from Sanders. The more intently the machine insisted upon Clinton, the more suspect Clinton became. And now her campaign is out of options.

There are no more endorsements left to get. She's squandered her financial advantage by outspending Sanders by many times in Iowa, only to tie. Her big donors must be maxing out in direct contributions, leaving Super PACs as the only vehicle through which she can make up the losses (less than ideal optics). And the media has already stooped so low in its dismissal of Sanders that there is no credible room left to expand that endeavor. At this point, Chris Matthews would literally have to beg viewers to vote Clinton in order to outdo his current advocacy.

On unfamiliar territory and feeling desperate, the inflexible campaign made the second mistake of doubling down on its voter containment strategy


146 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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THE WORM HAS TURNED: Barring unforeseeable events, Bernie Sanders will be the Democratic nominee (Original Post) NorthCarolina Feb 2016 OP
Do Unforseeable events include election fraud or error? NowSam Feb 2016 #1
Gotta come out in overwhelming numbers gyroscope Feb 2016 #9
100% eom NowSam Feb 2016 #10
I agree with everything you said farleftlib Feb 2016 #39
And Hillary campaign is resorting to push polling again passiveporcupine Feb 2016 #85
Do unforeseeable events SCantiGOP Feb 2016 #95
Correct Dem on Feb 2016 #111
I did not write the OP. passiveporcupine Feb 2016 #113
This should be an OP here John Poet Feb 2016 #100
Definitely. nt Live and Learn Feb 2016 #72
This should be an OP MissDeeds Feb 2016 #77
A very good suggestioin is to take pictures of the final tallies Stevepol Feb 2016 #82
Exactly gyroscope Feb 2016 #89
imagine if at precinct x, 300 bernie supporters show up to film the machine output questionseverything Feb 2016 #93
So, so true!!! chervilant Feb 2016 #103
In MD, I asked why vido cameras were not allowed in the polling places ... eppur_se_muova Feb 2016 #112
They said that? caraher Feb 2016 #115
Yep. Try getting the people in charge to see it that way. nt eppur_se_muova Feb 2016 #121
I don't think they'll even let you take photos. Confidentiality issues. kerry-is-my-prez Feb 2016 #125
Oh boy, here come the conspiracy theories. Watch out. Big brother's gonna get ya! RBInMaine Feb 2016 #132
Yep, exactly. Helen Borg Feb 2016 #22
when Rachel said she couldn't see how Bernie would make it to July PatrynXX Feb 2016 #84
I just hope that he can beat the Republican nominee... mark67 Feb 2016 #116
Your fears are unfounded... humbled_opinion Feb 2016 #117
Thats what I'm afraid of too. People won't vote for a "Socialist" - the term freaks people out. kerry-is-my-prez Feb 2016 #124
If they won't vote for a "socialist", they deserve everything that happens to them imo VulgarPoet Feb 2016 #140
... used to freak people out. No longer. Alas for the neoloberal looters, Joe Chi Minh Feb 2016 #142
I just want a strong veto pen against the whacked out congress full of righwing loonies mdbl Feb 2016 #136
Delusional... FarPoint Feb 2016 #2
One state has had a say and it's all over, according to Sanders supporters. Ridiculous. Metric System Feb 2016 #3
Ya it's insane isn't it? pinebox Feb 2016 #17
states enid602 Feb 2016 #46
hey it is what it is pinebox Feb 2016 #49
New PPP poll has her ahead 21 points. n/t OhZone Feb 2016 #67
Yes, and PPP is the ONLY scientific poll out there. RoccoR5955 Feb 2016 #73
PPP had Clinton winning Iowa 48-40 Art_from_Ark Feb 2016 #131
PPP got their butt kicked by actual Iowa voters jfern Feb 2016 #135
Post removed Post removed Feb 2016 #18
I think I give Clinton more credit to drag it out than you do shawn703 Feb 2016 #20
In your dreams shenmue Feb 2016 #61
I agree she won't give up because Goldman-Sachs would ask for their $650,000 gift rhett o rick Feb 2016 #91
"right wing fueled Sanders supporters... malokvale77 Feb 2016 #59
Words born our of desperation lunatica Feb 2016 #83
I'm a Sanders supporter and I disagree with the opinion piece. JRLeft Feb 2016 #41
Clinton supporters were saying it's over months ago. That was even more ridiculous :) arcane1 Feb 2016 #78
Absolutely. Totally INSANE article. No sense at all of the process. RBInMaine Feb 2016 #133
Way too premature for that. Jarqui Feb 2016 #4
Hillary is solid.... FarPoint Feb 2016 #19
and then shaken to it's very core. nt Jarqui Feb 2016 #23
her foundation is not secure at all. She's sitting on an earthquake wordpix Feb 2016 #38
Are you joking? californiabernin Feb 2016 #79
Hillary is sold 406-Boz Feb 2016 #96
She is not a good post- Obama candidate loyalsister Feb 2016 #110
I wouldn't presume anything, work your area, work all areas you can. Jefferson23 Feb 2016 #5
^THIS^ lasttrip Feb 2016 #33
It ain't over til it's over GeoWilliam750 Feb 2016 #108
Yep - Hillary's campaign was designed to edge Bernie out early. Avalux Feb 2016 #6
No he will not! leftofcool Feb 2016 #7
Such a win wouldn't bother you? NorthCarolina Feb 2016 #11
The gatekeepers know what's best for its citizens. Plays right into the RW F. A. Hayek meme. TheBlackAdder Feb 2016 #15
That's what.. cannabis_flower Feb 2016 #21
It is about delegates. leftofcool Feb 2016 #104
And then losing the general election. jeff47 Feb 2016 #114
delegates are apportioned in every state restorefreedom Feb 2016 #12
they are chasing super delegates. subverting the will of roguevalley Feb 2016 #34
yup. and if they try to use supers, which i think they will, restorefreedom Feb 2016 #44
That would cause illegitimacy, an institutional disruption to the Democratic party... ill advised. TheBlackAdder Feb 2016 #13
It would make Chicago '68 look like a Sunday picnic. HooptieWagon Feb 2016 #24
I have been thinking that there might be a 68 rerun. LiberalArkie Feb 2016 #28
68 rerun, with talk safeinOhio Feb 2016 #47
That kind of schism has been seen at the convention before. HubertHeaver Feb 2016 #120
In which case Glamrock Feb 2016 #55
We'll see.. speaktruthtopower Feb 2016 #8
WTF greiner3 Feb 2016 #63
I guess I missed the updated delegate count . . . . what is it now? DrDan Feb 2016 #14
Don't worry about it FlatBaroque Feb 2016 #16
When We Stand Together - No Citizen Need Settle For The Lesser Of Two Corporate Evils - Go Bernie Go cantbeserious Feb 2016 #25
O...M...G! SoapBox Feb 2016 #26
They put far too much faith in the corporate media's ability to stop an insurgent Sanders NorthCarolina Feb 2016 #30
I am still laughing, and quote............ nolabels Feb 2016 #58
this is so true-- what else can they say about him now? Fast Walker 52 Feb 2016 #122
Oh my! That's incredibly amusing! NurseJackie Feb 2016 #27
Is this suppose to be a skit from SNL? Or something from the Comedy Channel? William769 Feb 2016 #45
No, it's what passes for intellectual political discourse...when one has nothing to offer. libdem4life Feb 2016 #69
No,I think this is Betty White laughing at the thought, wendylaroux Feb 2016 #101
Sanders will have to win enough states by large enough margins........... George II Feb 2016 #29
I think they're going by those "unskewed" internet polls again. These kids! They're wacky! Squinch Feb 2016 #31
If Hillary wins the nomination without popular support, then the GE is unwinnable. /nt JPnoodleman Feb 2016 #37
The term 'super delegate' is jargon, our Party calls them 'unpledged delegates' becasue that's what Bluenorthwest Feb 2016 #53
Don't jump the gun. 21st Century Poet Feb 2016 #32
"The American people are beginning to realize that they can elect someone they are not Dustlawyer Feb 2016 #35
+1 safeinOhio Feb 2016 #54
it may only be the spark that starts the real revolution. AlbertCat Feb 2016 #94
I agree. bvar22 Feb 2016 #99
Well threatening young women with hellfire and accusing them of being whores... JPnoodleman Feb 2016 #36
She didn't say that! Major Nikon Feb 2016 #43
Gloria did say that and is a supporter of Clinton... JPnoodleman Feb 2016 #48
Technically, she just said they were too horny and boy crazy to make a rational decision hueymahl Feb 2016 #70
So she called them sluts, not whores.... my mistake. /nt JPnoodleman Feb 2016 #71
Too bad he is alienating all the Hillary supporters for the GE. 33taw Feb 2016 #40
Supporters of the NorthCarolina Feb 2016 #42
That being the case, why did he not run as an indy? Of course he wants the establishment vote DrDan Feb 2016 #51
He's doing the Dems a favor... TTUBatfan2008 Feb 2016 #65
where did Bernie promise to support Hillary? nt grasswire Feb 2016 #127
Google is your friend. NT Bohunk68 Feb 2016 #137
At the end of every debate he came out for the Dems in the general. bettyellen Feb 2016 #146
I agree, but we can't afford to stand down. Beware of a potential October Surprise. avaistheone1 Feb 2016 #50
I support Bernie, I think it could happen, but an endzone dance may be early. marble falls Feb 2016 #52
LOL! OhZone Feb 2016 #56
K&R! Duval Feb 2016 #57
Hillary will still likely win... TTUBatfan2008 Feb 2016 #60
How is this going to happen? Stuckinthebush Feb 2016 #62
Well, according to "hootch", anyway...nt SidDithers Feb 2016 #64
Thank you Sid! According to Hootch indeed. catnhatnh Feb 2016 #87
Walking on dangerous ground Wibly Feb 2016 #66
I noticed this, too (from the linked blog post): tblue37 Feb 2016 #68
Unforeseeable events like losing? ucrdem Feb 2016 #74
NC has the cart before the horse 40RatRod Feb 2016 #75
These two paragraphs alone are worth a recommendation. Uncle Joe Feb 2016 #76
Awesome post! Fantastic article! KnR n/t 99th_Monkey Feb 2016 #80
Good find. Shared. Recommended! leftcoastmountains Feb 2016 #81
Wishful thinking treestar Feb 2016 #86
Just what I have said for weeks if not months: Clinton is stuck in the 20th century. Betty Karlson Feb 2016 #88
I certainly hope his momentum keeps building A Little Weird Feb 2016 #90
At this point, Chris Matthews would literally have to beg viewers to vote Clinton ... AlbertCat Feb 2016 #92
This message was self-deleted by its author stopbush Feb 2016 #97
You know what they say about assuming, don't you? Beacool Feb 2016 #98
You tie Iowa Lordquinton Feb 2016 #106
I thought that the throng of Sanders' Millenials were going to win it for him. Beacool Feb 2016 #107
I thought Sanders was going to drop out over the summer Lordquinton Feb 2016 #109
I guess we should just cancel all of the coming primaries then. NNadir Feb 2016 #102
Kicked and recommended! Enthusiast Feb 2016 #105
I'd say it's turning but not yet turned. nt thereismore Feb 2016 #118
LOL, I think that worm's going to roll over and die (eom) ThreeWayFanny Feb 2016 #119
I believe it's possible. LWolf Feb 2016 #123
Yes, the campaign that is leading 70-30 and more in most of the rest of the states... Tarc Feb 2016 #126
Yup, their campaign telling my nieces that they vote according to how slutty they are Bohunk68 Feb 2016 #138
"unfamiliar territory and feeling desperate" tazkcmo Feb 2016 #128
Good piece, NC, thanks. n/t bvf Feb 2016 #129
I like Bernie but he won't be nominated Sorry wss2001 Feb 2016 #130
Only time will tell who's right and who's wrong. NorthCarolina Feb 2016 #143
It's certainly possible, though the idea that it's a shoe-in is crazy talk Recursion Feb 2016 #134
bookmarking.... stonecutter357 Feb 2016 #139
Gonna bump this fantasy post after super tuesday....... workinclasszero Feb 2016 #141
What is this, a coronation?? randome Feb 2016 #144
Mistakes momentum for inevitability. Orsino Feb 2016 #145
 

gyroscope

(1,443 posts)
9. Gotta come out in overwhelming numbers
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:14 PM
Feb 2016

that it would be almost impossible for 'em to cheat and get away with it.
everyone bring your cellphones and cameras - record and document everything that goes on at the polls.

the empire won't give up their power easily and we have to assume they will do anything and everything to hold on to it including election fraud.

 

farleftlib

(2,125 posts)
39. I agree with everything you said
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:32 PM
Feb 2016

election fraud is a very real possibility and we'd be remiss not to prepare for it.

SCantiGOP

(13,871 posts)
95. Do unforeseeable events
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 03:52 PM
Feb 2016

Include the other 49 states that have yet to vote? In that case, the OP is correct. Otherwise, it is delusional.

Stevepol

(4,234 posts)
82. A very good suggestioin is to take pictures of the final tallies
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:57 PM
Feb 2016

at every precinct if possible and get it time-marked. If the so-called results don't match the probable outcome considering the composition of the precinct or the results of any exit polling, there's then something to serve as a guide as to which precincts are the most likely to have been red shifted the most.

 

gyroscope

(1,443 posts)
89. Exactly
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 03:17 PM
Feb 2016

Everyone working at the polls should be doing this, as well as the voters armed with their cellphone cameras.

The more recordings we have the better.

questionseverything

(9,656 posts)
93. imagine if at precinct x, 300 bernie supporters show up to film the machine output
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 03:39 PM
Feb 2016

and the machine reports only 200 votes

theoretically we have the power to do this, it cost nothing but a trip back to your precinct at closing time

chervilant

(8,267 posts)
103. So, so true!!!
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 04:15 PM
Feb 2016

And, you know what? I trust our technology-savvy younglings to continue to use social media, cell phones, and every other device to help insure that the corporate oligarchs' malfeasance is recorded and addressed.

Go, Bernie!!!!

#NotMeUs

eppur_se_muova

(36,269 posts)
112. In MD, I asked why vido cameras were not allowed in the polling places ...
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 05:40 PM
Feb 2016

... I was told they might cause interference with the digital voting machines.

caraher

(6,278 posts)
115. They said that?
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 05:56 PM
Feb 2016

What a joke! If digital voting machines were truly that delicate... well, that's another story!

PatrynXX

(5,668 posts)
84. when Rachel said she couldn't see how Bernie would make it to July
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 03:07 PM
Feb 2016

I actually disagreed with her on this. It's not Bernie's doing. Usually Dems sit back and watch Republicans shoot themselves in the foot. In this case watching Hillary supporters come out and say women who aren't rooting for hillary are going to Hell might have just shot the rest of her foot feet off. Basically They tried so hard to cheat in Iowa they failed. Ended up in a tie, margin of error tie. And when you start resorting to Tea Party tactics of your going to hell because you voted for so and so (my dad did it twice, yelled and screamed at mom and I for doing so) she basically made sure she can't win in November and that is a bigger problem than facing Bernie.. Bernie's has taken the hard route. The SLOW, and LONG hard route. I know I wasn't for Hillary at all but I did not expect people to root for Bernie the way it ended up being. She was pushing a debunked myth that Black Voters voted for Obama because he's black. Which is not and never was the case. Yes in some cases it is true some married women vote the way their husbands do. (relatives I know won't say who) But He came around and went Obama the final 2. Nevermind the absurd Hillary supporters here Banning DU members left and right for whatever reason. DU I think is a major site. Banning people and basically saying we don't want your vote was just dumb. I keep expecting the day I'll get banned from DU because Hillary controls the site. Except she doesn't , banning people from their little group really upset some of us and quickly backfired. True don't have a problem with being banned off the Atheist board. 70 % I get along with but there's this 30 % that are very loud and I get into trouble fast with the loud ones. Better for my health I don't see that stuff.

mark67

(196 posts)
116. I just hope that he can beat the Republican nominee...
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 06:16 PM
Feb 2016

I'll probably get "juried" by those with thin skins in 3-2-1 for this post but I hope that (1) if selected he can actually win and (2) if selected he can actually get something done in office...


Howard Dean...John Kerry...George McGovern...Al Gore (I know he was cheated in Florida but he basically just rolled over)


1. I'll vote Democrat whether Hillary or Bernie but if it is Bernie I hope he can actually win. They'll portray him as a Mr. McGoo/cranky uncle caricature supported by naïve $10 donation college age supporters vs. a "masters of the universe" guy like Trump. And for all those "my Republican uncle/neighbor/co-worker" now supports Sanders, I would take that with a grain of salt. These types are mostly motivated by a hatred of Clinton...doubt many of these will actually cross over to actually vote Democrat. Kind of like Democratic types who like Rand Paul but would never actually vote for him.

2. If actually elected, does he actually have a power base to get anything done...political allies...like FDR who was a political gangster/power player but for the right causes. Or will he receive the same type/or worse opposition than Obama has received.

3. Here's the secret...if you actually study Hillary's political career/college writings/etc...she's a progressive at heart...understands power...if elected to the highest office I can assure you the gloves will come off.

I want the next president to be a Democrat. I'm too old for 4-8 years of Trump, Rubio, or God forbid, Cruz. But if it's going to be Bernie I hope he can pull it off.




humbled_opinion

(4,423 posts)
117. Your fears are unfounded...
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 06:43 PM
Feb 2016

Bernie can absolutely get it done, listen to the message, it is a message of inclusion against special interest, against wall street fat cats, against the status quo, against the establishment... that means that nearly 99 percent of the American people are included in that side of the equation.... Hillary pretends like she cares about income inequality and she says we can see what she said to Goldman Sachs when she got paid more than half a million dollars for her speech, but will we really? Her trustworthiness is NIL in the GE that will hurt her extremely, Bernie brings no baggage, no cheating spouse, no emails, no failures in domestic or foreign policy.... so to me on the national stage he will win in a landslide and he will definitely get things done....

kerry-is-my-prez

(8,133 posts)
124. Thats what I'm afraid of too. People won't vote for a "Socialist" - the term freaks people out.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 10:52 PM
Feb 2016

I adore him (have for years) and agree with him almost 100 percent but I don't think he has a chance. Would be another McGovern situation..... Plus being a woman I would be pissed if we get another white male. Could he please have a sex change and be called a Democrat? I'd be all in.

VulgarPoet

(2,872 posts)
140. If they won't vote for a "socialist", they deserve everything that happens to them imo
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 09:08 AM
Feb 2016

the Cold War shouldn't be something that shapes our fears of people unless their last name is Reagan or Bush.

Joe Chi Minh

(15,229 posts)
142. ... used to freak people out. No longer. Alas for the neoloberal looters,
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 10:50 AM
Feb 2016

they have discovered there is a place called Europe, whose right wing would seem Marxist in the US. And Scandinavian paradises built on decades of Socialist policies.

mdbl

(4,973 posts)
136. I just want a strong veto pen against the whacked out congress full of righwing loonies
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 07:34 AM
Feb 2016
"3. Here's the secret...if you actually study Hillary's political career/college writings/etc...she's a progressive at heart...understands power...if elected to the highest office I can assure you the gloves will come off."

I miss that Hillary. When she was against the wall as Senator, she triangulated. Why would I trust the same won't happen when she is president?
 

pinebox

(5,761 posts)
17. Ya it's insane isn't it?
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:33 PM
Feb 2016

Wasn't Hillary leading by massive margins nationally just a few weeks ago nationally?
Kiss it good bye. It's now dead even.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSMTZSAPEC253J02S1

Response to Metric System (Reply #3)

shawn703

(2,702 posts)
20. I think I give Clinton more credit to drag it out than you do
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:48 PM
Feb 2016

But it won't be too long after that before she suspends her campaign.

malokvale77

(4,879 posts)
59. "right wing fueled Sanders supporters...
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:22 PM
Feb 2016

( The majority of them are clueless and I empathize sincerely)"

You're such a hoot.

lunatica

(53,410 posts)
83. Words born our of desperation
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 03:05 PM
Feb 2016

The media are doing it too. Trying to say Trump and Sanders are the same, and that we're all just soooooo angryyyyy!

 

JRLeft

(7,010 posts)
41. I'm a Sanders supporter and I disagree with the opinion piece.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:38 PM
Feb 2016

Right it's still more likely HRC is the nominee.

Jarqui

(10,126 posts)
4. Way too premature for that.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:07 PM
Feb 2016

Hillary's on shaky ground but still the favorite to win the nomination.

This thing is a long way from being over for either candidate (unless the FBI ask for a serious indictment)

loyalsister

(13,390 posts)
110. She is not a good post- Obama candidate
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 05:19 PM
Feb 2016

So many people want a candidate who throws out the red meat and validates their anger. They show up to hear the candidate who offers that.
Obama tapped hope, Bernie is tapping anger over that unrealized hope.
Hillary' campaign does not seem to understand what happened in 2008. Maybe they are assuming the enthusiasm stemmed from making history, thus the first woman president rhetoric. Even with the historical element, she does not inspire people.
I have gotten the impression from people who have seen her in different environments that she is accessible and can generate more enthusiasm in small groups. That is a quality that makes for a good senator or SOS. But, if that's all a candidate has got, they are not well suited for a national campaign.

Jefferson23

(30,099 posts)
5. I wouldn't presume anything, work your area, work all areas you can.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:09 PM
Feb 2016

This is far from over and she lost once before, don't think for a second
Clinton will not fight like hell to win. They're a very powerful political force
best not to underestimate.

Avalux

(35,015 posts)
6. Yep - Hillary's campaign was designed to edge Bernie out early.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:11 PM
Feb 2016

They weren't expecting any legitimate challenges to Hillary's questionable activities. When it became apparent that Bernie isn't going away and questions are being asked, they were backed into a corner and are now on the defensive. Desperation doesn't win votes, and using sexism to guilt women especially won't win votes.

leftofcool

(19,460 posts)
7. No he will not!
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:12 PM
Feb 2016

Bottom line, Hillary could come in 2nd place in all 50 states and still win the nomination. Do the math.

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
11. Such a win wouldn't bother you?
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:19 PM
Feb 2016

Clearly the 2nd choice of two candidates by the people but still crowned by the establishment as the winner?

That represents Democracy to you?

TheBlackAdder

(28,208 posts)
15. The gatekeepers know what's best for its citizens. Plays right into the RW F. A. Hayek meme.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:25 PM
Feb 2016

.


Those in power make the decisions, changing the rules and playing field, to meet the PLANNER'S Goals.


.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
114. And then losing the general election.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 05:56 PM
Feb 2016

So when the superdelegates overturn the popular vote, why would voters help them win the general election?

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
12. delegates are apportioned in every state
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:20 PM
Feb 2016

if hillary is second in every state, the delegstes will be fewer for her. please share the math that makes the lower number the winner, i would like to see it.

and if your math involves, the supers, don't bother. they will switch to the popular vote winner or risk the total destruction of the dem party.

roguevalley

(40,656 posts)
34. they are chasing super delegates. subverting the will of
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:24 PM
Feb 2016

The vote is so 2000 don't you think? What else has she got? Albright and steinem locked younger and older women to bernie by echoing her contemptuous talking points

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
44. yup. and if they try to use supers, which i think they will,
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:44 PM
Feb 2016

it will be the end of the dem party for decades, which is why i think they are going to try and pick off a few delegates in each state..less obvious that way.

TheBlackAdder

(28,208 posts)
13. That would cause illegitimacy, an institutional disruption to the Democratic party... ill advised.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:22 PM
Feb 2016

.


Sure, the math is there. But, with all of the speak of a "rigged system," this would cause a schism in the Democratic Party that has never been seen before.


.

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
24. It would make Chicago '68 look like a Sunday picnic.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:58 PM
Feb 2016

However, I doubt the special interests controlling the party will cede power without a scorched earth strategy. Will there be anything left worth saving?

LiberalArkie

(15,719 posts)
28. I have been thinking that there might be a 68 rerun.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:15 PM
Feb 2016

1968 - a lot of kids either going to viet nam, coming back from viet nam or out of work and pissed that the establishment was doing nothing, pissed about RFK and MLK and nothing being done. Pissed about being serfs in the great almighty Merica.

2016 - ditto, change a few names and events but the pissed off is still there.

And Hillary still has all those super delegates so even if O'Malley was still in the race and HRC was in third, she would still win.

It might be an interesting convention.

safeinOhio

(32,688 posts)
47. 68 rerun, with talk
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:50 PM
Feb 2016

of adding women to sign up for the draft in last nights debate......food for thought......makes the neocons look even more dangerous to the youth.

speaktruthtopower

(800 posts)
8. We'll see..
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:14 PM
Feb 2016

I think a lot of Democrats say they are favoring Bernie when called by pollsters because they don't want progressives taken for granted by the HRC campaign, or because it's fun to annoy the establishment. We'll know after Super Tuesday if Bernie is a serious contender.

He's still not attacking her directly or doing anything else to risk party unity.

He's gained a lot of respect either way.

 

greiner3

(5,214 posts)
63. WTF
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:27 PM
Feb 2016

Poor pollsters. They need to have an 'opposite' poll so as to catch all those sneaky Progressives. And good for Bernie but you know he had all those political handicaps and you can't barely see those crutches

SoapBox

(18,791 posts)
26. O...M...G!
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:14 PM
Feb 2016

This one sentence, says it all!

"Built for an outdated presidential race from the past two decades, it underestimated the changing times, a unique opponent, and increasingly savvy voters."

And very quickly, so many of us could see this. But...she and her Entrenched Cushy and Elite Establishment are so arrogant that they have been clueless.

Stupefying.

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
30. They put far too much faith in the corporate media's ability to stop an insurgent Sanders
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:18 PM
Feb 2016

in his tracks.

Times they are a chang'in.

Go Bernie!

nolabels

(13,133 posts)
58. I am still laughing, and quote............
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:21 PM
Feb 2016

In the text of the post :

" And the media has already stooped so low in its dismissal of Sanders that there is no credible room left to expand that endeavor"

Gives me somewhat of a vision of them underwater, like in a submarine with a bulldozer blade, all the while trying to figure out some way push away enough of the whale crap that is already down there in order to make extra room for all the new stuff that is coming in.

Nothing like a true ironic story to get your comedy from

 

Fast Walker 52

(7,723 posts)
122. this is so true-- what else can they say about him now?
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 08:54 PM
Feb 2016

maybe they will invent some scandal-- in fact, I'm sure something will come up if he really starts winning.

wendylaroux

(2,925 posts)
101. No,I think this is Betty White laughing at the thought,
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 04:12 PM
Feb 2016

that no one in America would remember Hillarys shady past.

So many questions,so few answers.

George II

(67,782 posts)
29. Sanders will have to win enough states by large enough margins...........
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:15 PM
Feb 2016

........to overcome her current 380 Super Delegate lead, and that's rising every day.

That means he'll need to get more than 55% of the remaining pledged delegates, and that simply is not going to happen, especially considering that he's leading in only one other state after Tuesday, and that state only has 15 delegates.

 

Bluenorthwest

(45,319 posts)
53. The term 'super delegate' is jargon, our Party calls them 'unpledged delegates' becasue that's what
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:13 PM
Feb 2016

they are. In 08, Hillary started with a 2 to one advantage over Obama in unpledged delegates. The largest number to switch to Obama in a 48 hour period was 50. The simple reason for that is that the vast majority of unpledged delegates hold that status because they are elected officials in office or in the Party. If elected officials scorn the will of their constituents to force their own will those elected officials might well pay the price for that by losing their elections, even being recalled. They are not so 'Super' they are simply not committed, and if you are not committed you can switch and that's the real key factor.

You really think there are many in Congress who would vote Hillary if their district voted Bernie or vice versa? I don't. A few, maybe.

21st Century Poet

(254 posts)
32. Don't jump the gun.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:20 PM
Feb 2016

I think Bernie Sanders has the potential to become the nominee but surely saying that Hillary's campaign is over is jumping the gun. It will be a hard slog throughout all the 50 states.

Dustlawyer

(10,495 posts)
35. "The American people are beginning to realize that they can elect someone they are not
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:25 PM
Feb 2016

supposed to elect."

I would not celebrate yet, as Iowa proved, they can steal close contests. People underestimate the power behind all of the forces and money aligned against Bernie winning.

We have a shadow government which has been in control of our country for decades. They will not give up, ever! We must stand behind Bernie every step of the way to first get Publicly Funded Elections, then bust up Wall Street banks and the media oligarchy. We will need to find candidates willing to take the plunge and give up the campaign bribes. We will have to be united to demonstrate that the bribes will not help them.

There is a lot of work to do to get this and a myriad of other things done to rid ourselves of this corrupt system. FDR did it once, but they kept working to reverse it and they succeeded. We must remain vigilant and involved to fight their attempts to enslave us again!

 

AlbertCat

(17,505 posts)
94. it may only be the spark that starts the real revolution.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 03:43 PM
Feb 2016

Yes. For the 1st time in aloooooong while, someone besides the GOP is creating the narrative.

If Hillary wins, we all know it's only because of name recognition.

And Sanders and his supporters will still be around to stir things up.

bvar22

(39,909 posts)
99. I agree.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 04:06 PM
Feb 2016
The Movement preceded Bernie, the latest manifestation was OWS.
Win or Lose this election, The Movement WILL continue and grow.
The Old Guard of the establishment Democratic party had better wake up,
or they WILL be kicked to the curb.

JPnoodleman

(454 posts)
36. Well threatening young women with hellfire and accusing them of being whores...
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:27 PM
Feb 2016

is apparently the new "winning," strategy.

Major Nikon

(36,827 posts)
43. She didn't say that!
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:42 PM
Feb 2016

Someone who wasn't speaking on her behalf, er was speaking at an event HRC didn't even attend, er was barely in the same room as HRC said that.

I'm sure HRC will denounce it just as soon as the next poll numbers are announced.

JPnoodleman

(454 posts)
48. Gloria did say that and is a supporter of Clinton...
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:51 PM
Feb 2016

Either way, Clinton is screwed. If she lets that ride she will enrage the youth vote and further shatter the progressive coalition against the DNC. If she does go against it, the Steinem supporters or those currently nodding their heads in agreement of her appraisal of young women's intelligence and sexual proclivities WILL be further confused and or feel betrayed.

Make no mistake, Gloria Steinem called every woman under 45 are slut, and doubly so if they are Bernie supporters. I wasn't aware calling women whores was part and parcel of the National Organization for Women's strategies but, there it is.

hueymahl

(2,497 posts)
70. Technically, she just said they were too horny and boy crazy to make a rational decision
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:37 PM
Feb 2016

In other words, stupid, unlike she and her learned colleagues. She did not actually say women under 45 were prostitutes.

Whatever credibility she had left - BYE!

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
42. Supporters of the
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 01:39 PM
Feb 2016

establishment likely would not support Bernie in any regard. I suspect many will gravitate to the GOP candidate in case of a Bernie win. That's why Bernie is bringing so many new folks into the process.

TTUBatfan2008

(3,623 posts)
65. He's doing the Dems a favor...
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:30 PM
Feb 2016

by running in their primary and promising to support Hillary if she's the nominee. He could have easily skipped the primary to run an Indy campaign and grabbed 10% of the very liberal vote required to beat the Republicans.

TTUBatfan2008

(3,623 posts)
60. Hillary will still likely win...
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:24 PM
Feb 2016

but I'm glad it's not a coronation and I'm glad liberals are getting a chance to vent their frustration at the banksters in this primary instead of just rolling over and accepting the inevitable.

Stuckinthebush

(10,845 posts)
62. How is this going to happen?
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:26 PM
Feb 2016

What is his path. AFter he wins 14 in NH and Hillary gets 10. He's still down 45 to 1 in superdelegates and the upcoming states are overwhelming Clinton strongholds. How does he do this? Show the math.

catnhatnh

(8,976 posts)
87. Thank you Sid! According to Hootch indeed.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 03:12 PM
Feb 2016

This seems incredibly well written and reasoned. If you get a chance you might drop a note to Kos that this is a writer well worth taking a look at for a paid position with a real name.

Wibly

(613 posts)
66. Walking on dangerous ground
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:30 PM
Feb 2016

Sanders is risking peeving off the big political machine in the US, one that believes it is destined to govern.
By doing so well he's going to find out he has enemies well beyond the ranks of the GOP. The very party he's running for may be out to get him.
I'll be very surprised if he makes it to the general election. These forces do not walk away from power easily.

tblue37

(65,403 posts)
68. I noticed this, too (from the linked blog post):
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:33 PM
Feb 2016
All that's left is jeering smack-talk of Bernie-Bros, pie-in-the-sky aspirations, and sexism—suggesting that anyone who still likes Sanders has been cut from the target audience.


They do seem to be totally dismissing Sanders voters as being unworthy of having their issues even considered. We are "outgroup," so there is no point in even speaking to us.

But I am a 65-year-old lifelong Democrat, someone who always votes *for our party's nominee*, not some nonvoting, smack-talking "Berniebro." (And I am a woman, not a "bro"!)

Uncle Joe

(58,365 posts)
76. These two paragraphs alone are worth a recommendation.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:43 PM
Feb 2016


In the last debate, Sanders addressed race on three occasions: 1) asked about the death penalty, he noted that innocent people of color are more likely to find their way to death row; 2) asked about our criminal justice system, he made sure to include in his answer the fact that we incarcerate mostly people of color; and 3) when responding to the Flint disaster, he asked a type of question rarely heard from a Presidential candidate: what would have happened if Flint's population was middle class and white?

Clinton said absolutely nothing about race. Well, almost nothing. At the debate's conclusion, with the last question answered, Clinton wondered aloud why there weren't opportunities to talk about race.





Thanks for the thread, NorthCarolina.
 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
88. Just what I have said for weeks if not months: Clinton is stuck in the 20th century.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 03:12 PM
Feb 2016

That bodes ill for her policies (IF she manages to be elected, which is a big of considering her unelectability in the GE).

But thank Goodness, it starting to bode ill for her chances of nomination as well; just in time.

A Little Weird

(1,754 posts)
90. I certainly hope his momentum keeps building
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 03:20 PM
Feb 2016

But I think it is way too early to say he will be the nominee. They are going to throw everything they have at him - I expect every single state to be a battle.

I do think that if Bernie wins the popular vote but she ends up winning the race because of superdelegates then it may be the end of the democratic party.

 

AlbertCat

(17,505 posts)
92. At this point, Chris Matthews would literally have to beg viewers to vote Clinton ...
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 03:29 PM
Feb 2016
... in order to outdo his current advocacy.


Hahahahaha!

So true.

Response to NorthCarolina (Original post)

NNadir

(33,525 posts)
102. I guess we should just cancel all of the coming primaries then.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 04:15 PM
Feb 2016

There's no sense in having them when a guy at Daily Kos has already declared the winner.

I don't even know why we have elections; we have great blogs to tell us everything we need to know.

LWolf

(46,179 posts)
123. I believe it's possible.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 10:03 PM
Feb 2016

At this point, I have hope, and more than hope as I see his campaign continuing to gain momentum while Clinton's campaign does not.

I see the increasingly vicious, and increasingly ludicrous, nonsensical, and hypocritical attacks as evidence that the status quo is deeply worried.

I believe the time is now for the change that we have been yearning for since the neo-liberals took over the bus.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
126. Yes, the campaign that is leading 70-30 and more in most of the rest of the states...
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 10:57 PM
Feb 2016

...sure is "collapsing".


Bohunk68

(1,364 posts)
138. Yup, their campaign telling my nieces that they vote according to how slutty they are
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 08:34 AM
Feb 2016

and that they will go to hell for not voting for Hillary, that is really going to work. You should see my various nieces, who all live below the Mason-Dixon line, fb posts the past two days. They are pissed off and will piss on a certain candidate. Now, share some laughing on the floor emoticons with them.

wss2001

(53 posts)
130. I like Bernie but he won't be nominated Sorry
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 02:32 AM
Feb 2016

All of you wonderful people feeling the Bern right now I feel for you. Bernie will win New Hampshire and you'll feel on top of the world. Then when he looses state after state starting with South Carolina
you'll be freaking out...it's not fair, Hillary with her PAC money and speaking fees winning. Politics Is About Winning. Period. Too many times Democrats
prefer the perfect for the good. Ideal vs. Reality.
Get real do you want a Democrat or a Republican in the White House? If Bernie wins you can kiss the White House goodbye. Like Claire McCaskill said
“The Republicans won’t touch him because they can’t wait to run an ad with a hammer and sickle.
That is Reality that is the Truth. I wished we lived in a Country where a Bernie Sanders could be President...leave the Revolution to the Sixties and get on with reality and elect a true leader who can win... Hillary Clinton!

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
134. It's certainly possible, though the idea that it's a shoe-in is crazy talk
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 06:13 AM
Feb 2016

I'd put his odds slightly higher than Silver does, maybe 33% or so.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
144. What is this, a coronation??
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 01:05 PM
Feb 2016

[hr][font color="blue"][center]"If you're bored then you're boring." -Harvey Danger[/center][/font][hr]

Orsino

(37,428 posts)
145. Mistakes momentum for inevitability.
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 02:04 PM
Feb 2016

I think we already know the dangers of such assumptions.

Sanders is doing great, but he had to, just to stay alive.

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