2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumToday's Monmouth poll has it down to a 10 point lead for Sanders
Bernie Sanders currently holds a 52% to 42% lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshires
Democratic primary. This is a slightly tighter contest than the 53% to 39% lead Sanders held in
Monmouths January poll.
And another bit of good news for Clinton ...
Clinton (68%) supporters are slightly more likely than Sanders backers (60%) to
say their vote is locked in.
The trend continues ... the RCP average has Sanders's lead shrinking by 5 points in just a few days. Sanders is still clearly the favorite but it could be close.
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)Well I surely hope so
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Cheers!
treestar
(82,383 posts)riversedge
(70,242 posts)for the USA
NowSam
(1,252 posts)A fair statement considering Iowa Dem chair is a Clinton operative and won't allow an audit.
I predicted this narrowing gap meme and how it makes it easier for cheaters to rig the game.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)Democratic party officials in NH to rig the vote for Clinton.
NowSam
(1,252 posts)But my reasons for suspicion of this corrupt system are very valid. Starting with Florida in 2000 and Ohio in 2004. Election fraud is a reality in this country.
How can we not be suspicious when the Iowa Chair (Clinton Operative) won't allow an audit in such a tight race with widely reported errors statewide?
I take offense at your calling me a tin foil hat wearer as you imply that I am a conspiracy theorist. You are living with eyes closed if you don't see the rampant corruption.
riversedge
(70,242 posts)KittyWampus
(55,894 posts)if he does and keeps a viable, delegate count race going- all the more power to him.
HassleCat
(6,409 posts)Assuming the election is sometime in mid March. And her lead in a poll does not translate to a corresponding margin of victory, if Iowa is an indication.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Looks like Bernie will not be the nominee.
Go, Hillary! We love you!
Note to Jury: No candidate or candidate's fans were attacked, insulted or smeared. These are my opinions and guesses based solely on my observations of the news reports about recent polling.
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)Any Hillary license plates on the Dem party head person in NH.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)You forget that Clintons have a history of doing well in NH.
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)CorkySt.Clair
(1,507 posts)NowSam
(1,252 posts)I don't believe the results. Where does that leave me? No trust left at all in this theater of the absurd. Of course I don't believe WWE Wrestling is real either.
Metric System
(6,048 posts)Democratic Underground written by Sanders supporters.
tecelote
(5,122 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)jillan
(39,451 posts)gyroscope
(1,443 posts)this poll skew towards older voters, not very accurate.
whereas the Quinnipiac polled with cellphones, big difference.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)gyroscope
(1,443 posts)when their polling method is questionable
particularly when the results are much different from other recent polls.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)"U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders' once-formidable lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire has shrunk to just 7 points, putting another Clinton comeback within reach"
So the Monmouth poll is hardly an outlier, much as you would like it to be.
New poll link here.
gyroscope
(1,443 posts)UMASS 2/6 poll shows Sanders up 17
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-new-hampshire-presidential-democratic-primary
Persondem
(1,936 posts)And actually, that CNN poll is looking like an outlier, but even only considering that poll Clinton is gaining
" Sanders holds 58% among likely Democratic primary voters, well ahead of Clinton's 35%. That's a tighter race than right after Iowa, when the poll suggested Sanders led Clinton by a 2-to-1 margin."
gyroscope
(1,443 posts)ought to be ignored.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)And thanks for kicking the thread.
just the ones with questionable methods, regardless
Persondem
(1,936 posts)information on the age of its respondents in it's release of data. You are making the case that a poll that doesn't care about the age of its respondents is better than multiple polls that do.
Yeah, I just actually read the 6 pages of the CNN press release, and there is zero demographics included.
What a crock.
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)valerief
(53,235 posts)How likely is it that you could end up voting for [CANDIDATE NAME] on Tuesday very,
somewhat, not too, or not at all likely? [NAMES WERE ROTATED]
Hillary Clinton 42%
Bernie Sanders 52%
Very likely
Hillary Clinton 2%
Bernie Sanders 2%
Somewhat likely
Hillary Clinton 11%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Not too likely
Hillary Clinton 8%
Bernie Sanders 6%
Not at likely
Hillary Clinton 35%
Bernie Sanders 25%
(VOL) Dont know
Hillary Clinton 2%
Bernie Sanders 2%
Bernie Sanders currently holds a 52% to 42% lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshires
Democratic primary. This is a slightly tighter contest than the 53% to 39% lead Sanders held in
Monmouths January poll.
http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/2114e68d-b5a1-46c5-a375-2d112a71d050.pdf
Persondem
(1,936 posts)whatever it takes to make you feel good.
I'll do the same.