This is going to be very very interesting!!

Warm up the coronation hall. It's over!!

Wholly crap, is right!!

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http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/


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Suffolk and Monmouth have it -9 and -10 respectively, and Nate gives them a B and an A- .

Even if he "wins" by just a few points, he's actually lost. This should have been a total BLOWOUT and RUNAWAY victory for him!!

Looks like people are starting to pay attention... looks like people TRUST HILLARY more and people LIKE HER PLANS more!

Honestly, I'm totally shocked! I wasn't expecting this at all!! Just like Iowa, New Hampshire is tailor made for Bernie's strengths! If he can't win there, it would be absolutely IMPOSSIBLE for him to win the general election!!

Go, Hillary! We love you!

More of the same bullshit that has us in the mess we're in today is what it is. I seriously doubt any of this is true, especially what you're saying.

Two months ago people hardly even heard of SBS in Iowa yet the Hill crew had to resort to all kinds of shenanigans to eck our a win of .02% . Not even convinced that was a win for her as it stands today.

yeah she's a force to be reckoned with, LOL, my aching ass she is

That was the Sanders workers who did that, nevermind.

Wonder why?

Some new polls count mostly landlines, others count "likely" voters - coincidence?

"Likely" and "landlines" slant old.

Again, the polls are weighted to ensure there is no difference in preference between cell phone and landline users, i.e., if cell phone users are breaking 65-35 for Sanders and landline users are breaking for 65-35 for Clinton, the pollsters are going back to check their work. That's math, social science, and statistics.

But don't take my word for it. I am just a random internet poster. Please contact the persons who conducted the poll:

He explained how easy it is to get any result you want by "weighting" - excuse me for calling bullshit on this perception campaign.

"Weighting" is part of polling but don't take the word of a random poster for it; contact the pollsters.

that can lead to one result or another? (Not that pollsters don't sometimes want to come up with an honest snapshot.)

But before I accuse anybody of dishonesty I need some kind of factual foundation.


Why would a pollster put out a poll that is "wrong" to favor a candidate?


They will look incompetent when the actual vote occurs.

Example:


This poll has Sanders winning by 7:

likely voters instead of registered, landlines disproportionally, etc. to come up with a poll that works as intended for perception campaigns.

This is American politics as usual.

Registered Voters scale.

influence whether or not they go to the polls

I am heartened to read articles about the younger generation totally distrusting traditional civic institutions - they should!

likely Democratic presidential primary voters.
The Demographics ????
407 Wow now that is scientific

how Sanders supposedly lost 14% of his lead over the last 7 days.

I think some of the polls are being rigged to show a mystery Clinton "surge" so the voting machines can work their black box magic on Tuesday without the fraud being completely obvious.

NT

Welcome to DU btw.

We may have ourselves a race. HILLARY!! HILLARY!!!

The lily white constituencies is NOT reflective of the Democratic Party.

More than likely, older voters are being oversampled. Bernie could be losing some women voters too thanks to Hillary playing up the gender card so hard since Iowa.

Hillary could actually win NH if the numbers keep moving her way.

Methinks some polls are being rigged to match the planned rigged voting machine results.

I see no narrative explanation whatsoever for why Clinton would be closing any gap with Sanders in New Hampshire.

He have a great speech about not looking back and trying harder going forward and took a little heat for it too as I recall.

of opsan machine ballot counting even though he won the hand counted precincts handily.

It's going to be close......

Pretty much the definition of momentum. it's important to know if this poll was the same one it's being measured against however. You have to measure the Gallup poll numbers against the prior Gallup poll numbers, for example.

When the polls were turning in Iowa and we were doing this you laughed at us.

Instead of wondering how Bernie (who still will win NH) is slipping, how about wondering how Hillary blew a 56 point lead in NH over the last year

http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files/new_hampshire_february_2015_annotated_questionnaire_nbc_news-marist_poll.pdf


That's what I thought.