NASHUA, N.H.—A CNN/WMUR tracking poll released last night puts Bernie Sanders up 26 points over Hillary Clinton among likely Democratic voters in the New Hampshire primary. Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight says the Vermont senator has a “greater than 99 percent chance” of winning today.

Sanders spent Monday warning his supporters against complacency and trying to control expectations. “I think we’re going to do just fine tomorrow,” he said, before stressing the importance of turnout. Concluding his stump speech at Daniel Webster College here, Sanders framed the primary as being about much more than who wins New Hampshire. He described it as a test of whether the “political revolution” he’s running on is possible.

Meanwhile, the Clinton campaign aggressively pre-spun the expected loss. Her aides say it should not be surprising he would win a state that neighbors Vermont and that is overwhelmingly white. Highlighting polls that have her down more than 20 points, Clinton’s team is laying the groundwork to spin a storyline that she exceeded expectations and closed the gap in the final days. They’ll also talk about how she’s running “a national campaign” and cite her decision to spend Sunday in Flint, Mich.

Sanders supporters see what the other side is doing, and they’re mad about it. Several told me they are nervous that the corporate media and pundit class will not give Bernie the credit he deserves for a victory. They are already frustrated that much of the coverage does not recall how far he’s come since getting into the race and by how many stories dismiss his plans as unrealistic.