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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumStolen from Reddit: Bernie out preforming in key areas
Concord is a 30% Sanders sweep for the most part. Concord was supposed to be a stronger area for Clinton. Benchmarks put him outperforming even in his worst locations. I'm going to lean now towards a 30% Sanders victory.
Concord Ward 1 another 65-35 type split for Sanders. Concord is going to go en masse to Sanders. I'm really not seeing anywhere that Clinton will be strong given this. Sanders may very well break 70.
Concord
Most pro-Clinton Precinct, 2008: Concord Ward 9, 56.5%
Least pro-Clinton Precinct, 2008: Concord Ward 5, 34.1%
Population: 42k
Expected Spread: Clinton +8
Concord is a decent sized city in New Hampshire. Clinton did relatively poorly in 2008 vs Obama. This time around, there are some factors working in her favor. Concord is an old city - of all of the 10 largest cities, it is the second oldest in New Hampshire. It's got a non-negligible black population of 2.2%, third highest of the top 10 cities in New Hampshire. It is not home to a sizable university. The fact that Obama did so well in 2008 says something to me, though - this area may defy the expectations and go to Sanders. If so, watch out Clinton.
Source: https://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/44x10n/new_hampshire_primaries_megathread_february_9_2016/czu6144
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Stolen from Reddit: Bernie out preforming in key areas (Original Post)
Joe the Revelator
Feb 2016
OP
VulgarPoet
(2,872 posts)1. inb4 redditors are either compared to republicans, misogynists, or whatever the meme of the week is.
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)2. "They're all BernieBros!!!"
cali
(114,904 posts)3. I'm thinking it will be single digit win for bernie