2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumjust heard a 'fact'...Hillary has never gone UP in the polls in any race...
and then Matthews came on and started making points that I couldn't follow because I didn't have a slide-rule, compass, and ever-sharp pencil...
thankfully, they cut to some kind of update that shut him off...
Bjornsdotter
(6,123 posts)Lawrence O'Donnell was very interesting, lots of information....I wish I had recorded it.
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)she's been in. This means whatever she has, that's it. Bernie will only go up and frankly, unless she can attract new voters each time, she has a ceiling.
JeffHead
(1,186 posts)Lucinda
(31,170 posts)The numbers always shift as the race goes on.
Gorgatron
(95 posts)Lucinda
(31,170 posts)Gorgatron
(95 posts)ucrdem
(15,512 posts)And for much the same reasons.
p.s. case in point: Iowa 2016. She was up, she was down, she was up, she was down, and then she won in a photo finish. And that's always been the Clinton way.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Once voters realize there's a viable option, Hillary's support drains.
Glamrock
(11,802 posts)Dead on, imho.
islandmkl
(5,275 posts)you had 70...
then you had 60...
then you had 50...
then you had 40...
see how it works?
she may come back up, but she has never, NEVER come back to where she fell from...and when you don't get back to 50...well, hope for a coin toss
Gorgatron
(95 posts)jfern
(5,204 posts)But tonight she's doing worse than the polling average.
islandmkl
(5,275 posts)jfern
(5,204 posts)HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)NightWatcher
(39,343 posts)dsc
(52,162 posts)She went up in her race for Senate. By one measure by 4 by another by 10 (depending if you take her high point before she started any effort toward her race, or count her announcement date. In either case, she went up, not down.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_York,_2000