2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNevada Caucus in 10 days: Make predictions here!
Nevada, set for Feb. 20 caucus, has been woefully under-polled. The last poll in Nevada is from Dec. 23-27: H-50, B-27. Fivethirthyeight doesn't even have a forecast.
We know that is widely off the mark at this point.
So, going blind, essentially, what say you? Make your prediction here.
31 pledged delegates are up for grabs. Make you prediction by delegate allocation, or total percentage.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)daleanime
(17,796 posts)I will be 10 pounds lighter.
PonyUp
(1,680 posts)Godhumor
(6,437 posts)With the caveat that I am assuming the caucus will not be nearly as, well, "white" as it has been in the past in NV (I think the Latino outreach efforts are helping.).
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)SheenaR
(2,052 posts)But I think Hillary may give Nevada away.
What's 31 delegates when so many that could make or break her are on the horizon.
This scenario would not shock me
vdogg
(1,384 posts)She'll win it, but it'll be single digits. Bernie will get some late movement from the NH win.
Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)I base that on the scientific information I got from pulling it out of thin air.
Robbins
(5,066 posts)Bernie 50% Clinton 49%
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)SoLeftIAmRight
(4,883 posts)she will change right before our eyes
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)In fact, that's what I'll be doing from now until March 2.
I predicted 60-40 in NH a few days ago in some thread calling for predictions. I got it almost exactly right. But, I'm not going to make any more predictions. Instead, I'm going to wait and see how things turn out. On March 2, I'll return to predicting.
Here's the post with the prediction I mentioned above:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1172217
I caucus in Minnesota on March 1.
Anti-Establishment
(11 posts)The Establishment doesn't care what we Peons want.