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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFree Beacon Poll: Clinton and Sanders Tied in Nevada
The poll shows Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders tied at 45 percent each among likely caucusgoers. Clinton narrowly edges Sanders among those who have completely made up their mind. But undecided caucusgoers and those who might change their mind say recent scandals involving Clinton make them significantly less likely to support her.
(snip)
The stakes for both candidates are high after Sanders drubbing of Clinton in New Hampshire and her razor-thin victory in the Iowa caucuses the week before. Once seen as inevitable, Clintons candidacy has been dogged by allegations of federal crimes, official misconduct, and corruption.
Those scandals could plague Clinton in Nevada as undecided or swing voters settle on a candidate in the days before the caucuses. In 2008, more than a quarter of Democratic caucusgoers in the state decided whom to support in the final 10 days.
Of the 10 percent of undecided respondents, 87 percent say that Clintons failure to disclose foreign government donations to her familys foundation make them less likely to support her. More than three-quarters say the same about her support for the 2008 Wall Street bailouts and subsequent paid speeches at investment banks.
In the past week, Clinton has come under fire for her refusal to release the transcripts of those speeches, and the Clinton Foundation has revealed that it was subpoenaed by the State Departments inspector general as part of its investigation into federal government support for its donors.
(snip)
http://freebeacon.com/politics/free-beacon-poll-clinton-and-sanders-tied-in-nevada/
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Free Beacon Poll: Clinton and Sanders Tied in Nevada (Original Post)
Uncle Joe
Feb 2016
OP
You may be correct it's too bad no one else has bothered to hold more and more recent polls
Uncle Joe
Feb 2016
#2
Even another Iowa would be an amazing turnaround for Bernie in that state
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
Feb 2016
#3
Bagsgroove
(231 posts)1. About that poll...
[link:
|Uncle Joe
(58,366 posts)2. You may be correct it's too bad no one else has bothered to hold more and more recent polls
in Nevada to substantiate what's going on.
Thanks for the video.
Bagsgroove
(231 posts)6. The problem with Nevada
Nevada has been holding it's caucuses for only 3 cycles now, and most polling organizations are unwilling to conduct polls in a place where, unlike Iowa or New Hampshire, they really have no way of knowing who the "likely voters" are. They'd rather do no polling at all than risk their reputations on trying to predict a contest that they have so little historical data to work with.
That being said -- I do hope Bernie is really doing that well
gyroscope
(1,443 posts)5. Simple explanation
the republican group wants to see who their potential competition is in the GE.
why would they skew the results for bernie? it isn't really skewing because it shows they are tied.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)3. Even another Iowa would be an amazing turnaround for Bernie in that state
but I am hoping he actually wins outright.
Uncle Joe
(58,366 posts)4. It sounds like this poll is flawed though per Bagsgroove post #1. n/t