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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum538: "Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton both have a 50% chance of winning the Nevada caucuses"
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538: "Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton both have a 50% chance of winning the Nevada caucuses" (Original Post)
Attorney in Texas
Feb 2016
OP
Here is Pollster's aggregate polling graph (it is a beautiful sight to behold!):
Attorney in Texas
Feb 2016
#1
South Carolina has a history of dirty political tricks; Clinton may win but it will be tighter than
Attorney in Texas
Feb 2016
#8
CBS SC poll in context: In November, Clinton led by 47%, dropping to 36% in December, 22% in January
Attorney in Texas
Feb 2016
#5
This progress in Nevada is reflected in many of the March 1 primary states, too.
Attorney in Texas
Feb 2016
#10
That's basically because nobody polls NV and the few fly by nights that do, poll it wrong.
MohRokTah
Feb 2016
#12
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)1. Here is Pollster's aggregate polling graph (it is a beautiful sight to behold!):
kgnu_fan
(3,021 posts)14. amazing
speaktruthtopower
(800 posts)2. But
Bernie is toast in SC and Michigan according to the site.
gyroscope
(1,443 posts)3. And a few weeks ago they were saying he was toast in Iowa and Nevada
eom
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)8. South Carolina has a history of dirty political tricks; Clinton may win but it will be tighter than
current forecasts suggest.
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)5. CBS SC poll in context: In November, Clinton led by 47%, dropping to 36% in December, 22% in January
Who knows how far and how fast Clinton's free fall will progress?
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)4. Firewall or Wall of Sound?
nt
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)11. Wall of Sound and Fury Signifying Nothing
Le Taz Hot
(22,271 posts)6. Right wing source!111!!!11
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)7. lol!
SoLeftIAmRight
(4,883 posts)9. zero to fifty in record time
...
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)10. This progress in Nevada is reflected in many of the March 1 primary states, too.
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)12. That's basically because nobody polls NV and the few fly by nights that do, poll it wrong.
In NV, it's all about delegates, not the number of votes. Somebody can lose by thousands of raw votes because of Vegas and Reno, but still win overwhelmingly in delegates through the rural districts.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)13. I said it yesterday
NV is in play, and I think SC will as well. It is an eternity in political terms between NH and NV