2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumState of the Primary - February 13, 2016
[font color="blue"]Delegate Count
Total Delegates (AP): Clinton 394, Sanders 44.
Pledged Delegates: Sanders 36, Clinton 32.
Delegate Targets (Cook): Clinton +7, Sanders -7.
Next Primary
Nevada, February 20 (35 pledged delegates).
Latest Polls
Nevada (TargetPoint): Clinton 45, Sanders 45.
Current Polls-Plus Projections (538)
Nevada: Clinton/Sanders 50%.
South Carolina: Clinton 95%.
Michigan: Clinton 97%.
North Carolina: Clinton 96%.
Current Endorsement Score (538)
Clinton 467, Sanders 2.[/font]
[font color="brown"]Quick Glance at the GOP
Pledged Delegates: Trump 17, Cruz 11, Rubio 10.
Delegate Targets: Trump -4, Cruz -5, Rubio -10.
538 South Carolina Projection: Trump 64%, Rubio 15%.
Endorsement Score: Rubio 65, Bush 51, Kasich 20.[/font]
Comments
That TargetPoint poll is a pro-Sanders push poll conducted by the far-right Washington Free Beacon. 538's projection is based on it, however, because it's the only recent poll.
This is a daily sheet I started to compile a few days ago, just for my own reference. My qualifications for objectivity are a similar project I ran in the 2012 general election, as well as the fact that I relied on subjective information in 2004 and was completely blindsided when Kerry lost. I intended to post this in the Hillary Clinton group, but I'll give it a pilot test in GD-P, and we'll see if both sides deem it useful (and can keep it civil and stuff). If you have a suggestion for a scorecard or model not covered above, let me know.
[font color="purple"]Pun of the Day
I don't know why the calendar maker fired me. All I did was take a day off![/font]
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This information is useful, and belongs in GD:P. | |
8 (89%) |
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This information is useful, but belongs in the Hillary group (and I'll say why in the comments). | |
0 (0%) |
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This information is not useful (and I'll say why in the comments). | |
1 (11%) |
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll |
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)That Nevada poll is a Republican push poll and has a rating of about 0.42% of being accurate according to Nate Silver.
Bucky
(54,027 posts)I appreciate someone who takes the time to make their posting flow so effectively to the eye.
It looked better than red, and seems more appropriate.
kjones
(1,053 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)Lucinda
(31,170 posts)And also the Cook link. i wasn't aware of them.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)you'll probably have to move this entirely to a Group posting.
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)Maybe I'm naive, but I think that, in the end, they'd rather know than not know.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)you know where you'll always be welcome!
jillan
(39,451 posts)Chichiri
(4,667 posts)And there's no good reason to leave it out, so.
livetohike
(22,145 posts)Chichiri
(4,667 posts)olddots
(10,237 posts)" Compared To What "
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)JustAnotherGen
(31,828 posts)Thanks!