2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhere is Bernie's Revolution?
So far, it looks like Bernie's call to storm the barricades isn't really happening. Bernie touts his ability to bring millions -- a veritable tidal wave -- of newly aroused voters into the political process. Where are they?
If he can't deliver the promised foot soldiers for the revolution in the democratic primary, how in heck does he propose to win a general election, or get anything done if he does win an election?
Between them last time, Clinton and Obama (and Edwards for a little bit) put on quite a show that got the troops really fired up. Bernie seems to betting that his passion and call to revolution alone will increase turnout even over 2008. So far it hasn't happened.
Has the Revolution perhaps fizzled before it even got started?
beam me up scottie
(57,349 posts)The desperation is really thick around here today.
But you gave it your best shot so...
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)kennetha
(3,666 posts)if by some miracle he were to do that, wouldn't be the same as igniting a revolution. Now would it?
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)This is just the beginning, and it is an impressive beginning.
Very soon, all of the snark will be drained out of the Hillary supporters.
djean111
(14,255 posts)MrWendel
(1,881 posts)they think He's better than Obama in everyway.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1241328
kennetha
(3,666 posts)Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)frylock
(34,825 posts)mak3cats
(1,573 posts)Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)I would expect nothing less from team nope, no change.
forest444
(5,902 posts)This isn't a Bastille Day or Third World-style armed revolution, which your "storm the barricades" dis clearly alludes to; but rather a political, and above all, democratic revolution.
kennetha
(3,666 posts)igniting a political revolution.
forest444
(5,902 posts)Thwarting the financial mafia's hand-picked, "inevitable" nominee is a necessary first step for starters, and the strongest single message voters can give that business-as-usual will no longer do.
There is no doubt that a President Sanders would have nothing short of a Herculanean task in any getting any reform past the bribed savages in the GOP - but it's our only real chance at getting anything substantive done.
frylock
(34,825 posts)Lucinda
(31,170 posts)That's the size of a mid sized town in Florida. Nice number for NH - but elsewhere? Not so much.
catnhatnh
(8,976 posts)do percentages confuse you intellectually?
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)And they both got delegates.
And I'll same the same thing in South Carolina if Hillary has a huge win. The percentages may be awesome, but when you look at total votes and the delegates they split, it wont be that big of a deal.
pangaia
(24,324 posts)Gothmog
(145,553 posts)I am not the only one wondering about the effectiveness of the revolution concept http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/01/bernie_sanders_revolution_isn_t_good_enough.html
Even with a viable political revolution, a President Sanders would have a hard time persuading or budging a Republican Housestill intact because of a powerful partisan advantage, cemented through gerrymandering and geographythat represents radically different, opposing values. The distance between his plans and their priorities is so great that its hard to imagine a world where the two sides can be bridged. You could pressure those Republicans through grassroots action, but they werent elected by the political revolution. Why would they listen?
Indeed, when you take disagreement and political pluralism seriously, it is difficult to even conceptualize the revolution that Sanders describes and touts as the key to success. Does it emerge in Americas conservative bastions? Does it overcome decades of conviction, habit, and organization, the forces that gave John McCain and Sarah Palin nearly 60 million votes in an election almost designed to give a historic victory to the Democratic Party? The truth is that, even under the best scenario for Sandersa growing economy, huge enthusiasm, and a weak opponentits hard to imagine a world where he beats Obamas total from 2008. Unless the revolution is truly thata movement that overcomes partisan barriersit, at most, leaves liberals where they were at the beginning of 2013.
President-elect Sanders would enter the White House with gridlock ahead of him. And if the conservatism and moderation of places like Virginia and Missouri are any indication, then he would also face a split in the Democratic Party, among lawmakers who backed him and his socialist label, and those who ran from it. His campaign promises to challenge the establishment. Would these moderate and conservative Democrats challenge the establishment too? If they dont, would Sanders challenge them?
forest444
(5,902 posts)But Hillary would face the exact same obstacles for even the mildest changes.
I for one would rather see a fight over real, substantive reforms. If one must fail, make it a noble failure - not the pathetic spectacle of seeing Hillary's weak-tea proposals be defeated by McCocaine and his gangsters merely because they have her name on it.
arcane1
(38,613 posts)People act like Clinton isn't going to face any challenges. And with her pro-corporate agenda, she will face challenges from voters and from other Dems.
Gothmog
(145,553 posts)"We need a political revolution of millions of people in this country who are prepared to stand up and say, 'enough is enough' ... I want to help lead that effort."
~ Sen. Bernie Sanders
That means that millions of people need to come out and so far there are fewer votes in Iowa and NH than 2008. Where are these millions and don't they need to vote. For the revolution to succeed, Sanders needs sufficient voters to gain the attention of the GOP in Congress which will be difficult since most republicans in the House are in gerrymandered districts and are safe from any sort of pressure from this "revolution."
Again, for Sanders to be viable and be able to keep his campaign promises, it might me nice if this revolution involves some actual voters
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)He said the way to make change is to have millions . . . if you can't get it straight, then how about asking somebody for help?
Gothmog
(145,553 posts)Without these new voters, Sanders can not hope to keep his campaign promises
Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)mak3cats
(1,573 posts)Databuser
(58 posts)On the ground in Texas....Feelin' The Bern
It IS a POLITICAL REVOLUTION
kennetha
(3,666 posts)Millions upon Millions of new voters, energized by the very sound of his voice, I guess. So far, as revolutions go, it's kind of a big fizzle. Even if he beats Hillary in a few more primaries, doesn't look like much of a revolution.
catnhatnh
(8,976 posts)So I'll await one single link to ANY speech where he claims he will "Call forth millions upon millions of new voters" and I'll even leave off the part where you claim they would be "energized by the sound of his voice". Because otherwise this whole post is just nonsense you made up.
Waiting....
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Databuser
(58 posts)No, REALLY think about it
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)A revolution about me really thinking about it.
Databuser
(58 posts)IF ya just think about it.....
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)pangaia
(24,324 posts)I tried for weeks.
kennetha
(3,666 posts)The Revolutionary Vanguard.
You know, the elite few, who speak on behalf of the masses at large, whose class consciousness is not yet fully developed enough to get them off their duffs and into the streets.
That must be the ticket.
Avalux
(35,015 posts)NowSam
(1,252 posts)Hillary is standing alone in cafeterias. but nice try.
kennetha
(3,666 posts)mak3cats
(1,573 posts)arcane1
(38,613 posts)kennetha
(3,666 posts)can't judge a revolution by rallies.
What % of people who eventually vote do you think actually show up a rally? And do you think they are representative of the voting population at large?
Maybe in small states like NH or IA, where candidates spend a lot of time, and do a lot of retail politics. But that isn't how the great masses of people are moved.
arcane1
(38,613 posts)Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)daleanime
(17,796 posts)but where are Hillary's transcripts?
cherokeeprogressive
(24,853 posts)Gothmog
(145,553 posts)No one has seen any evidence of the so-called Sanders revolution https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/02/10/sorry-bernie-sanders-there-is-zero-evidence-of-your-political-revolution-yet/
To succeed, Sanders might have to drive Americans who don't normally participate to the polls. Unfortunately for him, groups who usually do not vote did not turn out in unusually large numbers in New Hampshire, according to exit polling data.
https://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1484
...As for Sanders, he credited his victory to turnout. "Because of a huge voter turnout -- and I say huge -- we won," he said in his speech declaring victory, dropping the "h" in "huge." "We harnessed the energy, and the excitement that the Democratic party will need to succeed in November."
In fact, Sanders won by persuading many habitual Democratic primary voters to support him. With 95 percent of precincts reporting their results as of Wednesday morning, just 241,000 ballots had been cast in the Democratic primary, fewer than the 268,000 projected by New Hampshire Secretary of State William Gardner last week. Nearly 289,000 voters cast ballots in the state's Democratic primary in 2008.
To be sure, the general election is still seven months away. Ordinary Americans might be paying little attention to the campaign at this point, and if Sanders wins the nomination, he'll have the help of the Democratic Party apparatus in registering new voters. The political revolution hasn't started, though, at least not yet.
Without this revolution, I am not sure how Sanders proposes to advance his unrealistic agenda
artislife
(9,497 posts)Put a guillotine in the town square?
We will be satisfied for our first step to beat the other candidates. And we are aiming at hillary first.
Gothmog
(145,553 posts)Where are the promised voters?
artislife
(9,497 posts)They are coming out of the woodwork
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511242340
arcane1
(38,613 posts)Funny how every anti-Sanders article comes from the WP these days
Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)His ideas sound fine. They are generally what Democrats want, including Hillary: despite minor differences between them, their ultimate goals are very similar.
But electing Bernie as president should not be the starting point. It should be the culmination of years of building up a progressive coalition. Bernie has never done that.
mak3cats
(1,573 posts)And now that ignorance by the party elite (and I'm a long-time, frustrated progressive Democratic party person) has come home to roost. And I'm glad!
(And, by the way, there's only "minor differences" between Bernie and Hillary right now because she keeps changing to his positions. I haven't seen him change to any of hers. Doesn't that tell you something?)
kennetha
(3,666 posts)like 40 years, so of course he doesn't change his positions. he's got hardening of the intellectual categories.
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)Lucinda
(31,170 posts)dchill
(38,532 posts)If you can't see it, I can't show it to you.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)dchill
(38,532 posts)Thanks.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)It also explains a lot about your political choices - embracing things of no practical value.
dchill
(38,532 posts)do you not understand?
nolabels
(13,133 posts)Thanks for that
cali
(114,904 posts)weather in Ypsilanti. It's in the hundreds who packed into a Chicago bar as the campaign opened it's first Illinois office. It's on reddit where they've raised over $1.5 million and made 68,000 phone calls. It's in the 3 million contributions. Look around. You have to be willfully blind to be sneering.
And do try to improve your political "analysis". In 2008, dems were fired up after 8 years of Bush. Can you put 1+1 together here, ken?
Try.
mmonk
(52,589 posts)We all do. My life has screwed by what happened in 1999. We're not playing.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Is home trolling reddit.
It's a keyboard revolution.
cali
(114,904 posts)Or raising $1.5 million, or canvassing?
Grab a clue, zero.
https://www.reddit.com/r/SandersForPresident/
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)99Forever
(14,524 posts)... derp derp.
mhatrw
(10,786 posts)polly7
(20,582 posts)Gothmog
(145,553 posts)Sanders' plans for adopting his proposals depend on these new voters. Here is how Sanders thinks that he will be able to force the GOP to be reasonable http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/2/21/1483791/-Imagine-Bernie-Sanders-wins-the-White-House-Then-what
Thats a phrase Sanders uses often, but what does he mean by it? Sanders has said that if he wins the presidency, his victory will be accompanied by a huge increase in voter turnoutone that he thinks might end Republican control of Congress. But Sanders acknowledges that the House and Senate could, in spite of his best efforts, remain in GOP hands come next January.
Given that likelihood, Sanders offers an alternate means for achieving his political revolution. He says he knows that a Democratic president cant simply sit down and negotiate with Republican leaders and forge a series of compromises. Anyone who's observed the GOPs behavior over the course of Barack Obamas presidency would not dispute that, and in any event, no compromise with Republicans would ever lead to single-payer anyway.
So what then? How would a President Sanders get Mitch McConnell and Paul Ryan to pass any of his big-ticket items? This is the model he proposes:
What we do is you put an issue before Congress, lets just use free tuition at public colleges and universities, and that vote is going to take place on November 8 ... whatever it may be. We tell millions and millions of people, young people and their parents, there is going to be a vote ... half the people dont know whats going on ... but we tell them when the vote is, maybe we welcome a million young people to Washington, D.C. to say hello to their members of Congress. Maybe we have the telephones and the e-mails flying all over the place so that everybody in America will know how their representative is voting. [...]
And then Republicans are going to have to make a decision. Then theyre going to have to make a decision. You know, when thousands of young people in their district are saying, You vote against this, youre out of your job, because we know whats going on. So this gets back to what a political revolution is about, is bringing people in touch with the Congress, not having that huge wall. Thats how you bring about change.
The rest of the DK article debunks that concept that Paul Ryan or Mitch McConnell could be influenced by these new voters but we never get to this issue and Sanders himself admits that he will not bet elected without this revolution. So far we are not seeing any evidence of this revolution. Again, Sanders's whole campaign is based on this revolution and so it is appropriate to ask where these new voters are?
It is hard for me to take Sanders' proposals seriously including the ones you want to talk about unless and until we see some evidence of this revolution.
Again, where are these millions and millions of new voters?
arcane1
(38,613 posts)Of course, we all know how Clinton will get Ryan and McConnell on board: propose legislation they like.
What a "victory" that will be!!