2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton’s Lead Has Evaporated in Nevada and Her Supporters Are Panicking
HillaryWorld is feeling the Bern.
BY TINA NGUYEN
For months, pundits have marked Nevada in the win column for Hillary Clinton, who was thought to hold an unassailable lead with the states large Hispanic population. But according to a new poll, Clinton might not win Nevada in the landslide that everyone predicted. In fact, she might not win it at all.
Somehow, while everyone was focused on the showdown between her and Bernie Sanders scheduled to take place in South Carolina next week, the gap between the two Democratic rivals had quietly narrowed from 23 points in December to a gut-rendering one point in a CNN/ORC poll released on Wednesday, just three days before the caucus.
Allies in Clintons orbit are panicking, according to The Hill, as the campaign prepares for the possibility of losing a state that one Democrat strategist called tailor-made for Clinton. Latinos have long been considered a key part of Clintons supposed minority firewall, which her campaign is relying on to fend off Sanders, whose victories in in New Hampshire and Iowa were driven by white voters, but political observers everywhere will now have to revisit that assumption. I dont get it. I dont think anyone expected this race to look like this, one former Clinton aide said.
http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2016/02/hillary-clinton-nevada-bernie-sanders
Hope Vanity Fair passes the smell test
morningfog
(18,115 posts)roguevalley
(40,656 posts)matter how much your platform doesn't help them just because. This is hubris being handed back to HRC, the presumption that she could take them for granted. They like all other Americans will vote for their own best interests and she doesn't supply that.
artyteacher
(598 posts)virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)stillwaiting
(3,795 posts)Response to virtualobserver (Reply #3)
AZ Progressive This message was self-deleted by its author.
reformist2
(9,841 posts)EmperorHasNoClothes
(4,797 posts)Just a thought.
Maedhros
(10,007 posts)Jane Austin
(9,199 posts)Um. Maybe she meant "gut rending".
Vanity Fair should have proof readers.
kath
(10,565 posts)Doesn't anyone know how to use the English language anymore?
senz
(11,945 posts)Given its name, I thought it was Donald Trump's reflection.
UglyGreed
(7,661 posts)Please forgive me everyone!!!!
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)Everyone take video and pictures! TRUST NO ONE....ESPECIALLY FROM THE CLINTON CAMP.
PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE
Divernan
(15,480 posts)More from OP link:
No matter how Nevada shakes out on Saturday, anything less than a Clinton blowout could be disastrous for her campaign, especially in a state that was once so obviously one-sided that no one had bothered to poll there since December 2015. Even if Clinton ekes out a narrow win, much like she did in Iowa, the fact that Sanders was even close will prove that his minority outreach is working, giving him added momentum going into the South Carolina Democratic primary one week later. Or, as one friend of the Clintons put it in more colorful, relatable terms to The Hill: The shit will hit the fan.
The surprising surge of Sanders in Nevada has only added to speculation that much like Barack Obama in 2008, the crotchety Vermont senator could present a strong challenge to Clintons once-inevitable nomination, if not snatch it from her outright. Statistics guru Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight has even laid out a numerical path to a Sanders victory, projecting how much he needs to outperform expectations to secure the nomination. In Nevada, assuming she holds a 12-point lead nationally, Hillary should be winning by 15 points. That may not be happening anymore. If it doesnt, that could mean Clinton is in for one hell of a fight.
Tina Nguyen is a political reporter for VanityFair.com. Follow her on Twitter @Tina_Nguyen.
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Hill's campaign team will be putting on their Haz-Mat suits in 10. . .9. . . 8. . .
Persondem
(1,936 posts)a couple of new polls have been released. That's up from a 50/50 tossup a few days ago.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/nevada-democratic/
UglyGreed
(7,661 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)UglyGreed
(7,661 posts)you may want to kick some of my other threads up like the one on FRACKING YEAH!!!!!!
Persondem
(1,936 posts)UglyGreed
(7,661 posts)and others like fellow DU member grntuscarora who has been hurt by fracking....... carry on.