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TroyD

(4,551 posts)
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 10:40 AM Oct 2012

Gallup guy on Jansing & Co hints numbers may go up for Obama

Guy from Gallup just on Jansing & Co says polls are shifting back to Obama.

This could be the 7.8 Jobs Report, the lies the DNC attacked Romney for, or a combo of both.

From what he said, it sounded like last night's polling was very different from last week's.

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Gallup guy on Jansing & Co hints numbers may go up for Obama (Original Post) TroyD Oct 2012 OP
We know that Sunday was great for Obama TexasCPA Oct 2012 #1
I've been nervous about the shift to likely voter screen on Gallup fugop Oct 2012 #2
Gallup giveth and Gallup taketh away... regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #3
Eh, the media is bored if there is no horse race. Jennicut Oct 2012 #4
Gallup Got So Much Flack In 04 That They Had Three Or Four Prediction Models For That Race And 08 DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #5

TexasCPA

(527 posts)
1. We know that Sunday was great for Obama
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 10:43 AM
Oct 2012

I would expect Sundays to poll better for Democrats than Republicans since the Republicans trick people into thinking they are the party of Jesus. I didn't know that Jesus was a war monger though who thought all the poor people were just too lazy to work. It is nice to see that Monday was also solid.

fugop

(1,828 posts)
2. I've been nervous about the shift to likely voter screen on Gallup
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 10:45 AM
Oct 2012

If we can survive that shift, I think I'll breathe a little easier.

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
3. Gallup giveth and Gallup taketh away...
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 10:50 AM
Oct 2012

Because, no matter what may have happened to Obama's numbers since the weekend, Gallup is switching to their LV model starting today -- and the same spokesman also said that, with the new model in place, they're "almost even" (which I'm guessing means something like O+1). Of course, we can count on the Corporate Media ignoring the model switch, and touting it as "another big surge for Romney"...

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
4. Eh, the media is bored if there is no horse race.
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 10:56 AM
Oct 2012

They got tired of beating up on Mitt.

The more important info is that if Obama still has the lead with LV screen and Biden does well enough in the debate on Thursday, Obama's #'s may rebound. It is actually very encouraging news.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
5. Gallup Got So Much Flack In 04 That They Had Three Or Four Prediction Models For That Race And 08
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 11:06 AM
Oct 2012

Model One- Registered Voters
Model Two-Traditional Likely Voters
Model Three- Low Turnout
Model Four-High Turnout

Critics argued there was something there for everyone. As an aside I will be disappointed if there is a large gap ( >2%) between registered and likely voters as that indicates a lot of our potential voters are too lazy to vote. That's exactly what the Republicans want. I hope my Latino and African American brothers and sisters step up and vote. Latinos are some seventeen percent of the population and recent polls suggest they will only be six or seven percent of the electorate. They're better than that.

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