2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum270 to Win Presidential Election Simulator shows Obama winning!
http://www.270towin.com/simulation/Click the link and watch the electoral map fill in. Even with Romney winning many swing states, Obama still wins the electoral vote.
yellerpup
(12,253 posts)Thanks.
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)If they don't have a past track record
LP2K12
(885 posts)This thing is all over the place. It bounces high and low, but always for Obama.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Rmoney is toast.
Maeve
(42,282 posts)jenmito
(37,326 posts)Ira
(51 posts)The average of 30 online Electoral College opinion maps (with tossups) is currently:
Obama 253
Romney 190
Tossups 95
There are 14 online Electoral College opinion maps which toss out the tossups and assign all electoral votes to either Obama or Romney, disregarding the margin of error in the polls. The current average (without tossups) is:
Obama 314
Romney 223
Tossups 0
The average of three online Electoral College odds makers (Intrade, Iowa Electronic Markets and Betfair) currently show Obama with a 68% probability of winning and Romney with a 32% probability of winning.
http://peanutgallerypolitical.blogspot.com/
bushisanidiot
(8,064 posts).