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270 to Win Presidential Election Simulator shows Obama winning! (Original Post) courseofhistory Oct 2012 OP
Link, please! yellerpup Oct 2012 #1
What is there track record on past Presidential simulations.This shit means nothing bigdarryl Oct 2012 #2
Not very good... LP2K12 Oct 2012 #3
The President has been on top for 99%+ of the year. onehandle Oct 2012 #4
Electoral Vote also see the President ahead Maeve Oct 2012 #5
It has Obama winning LA!?!?! And without it, he's at 268. n/t jenmito Oct 2012 #6
Romney would love to have Obama's position in the race Ira Oct 2012 #7
Not suprised. The President will get well over 270. bushisanidiot Oct 2012 #8
 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
2. What is there track record on past Presidential simulations.This shit means nothing
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:20 PM
Oct 2012

If they don't have a past track record

Ira

(51 posts)
7. Romney would love to have Obama's position in the race
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:44 PM
Oct 2012

The average of 30 online Electoral College opinion maps (with tossups) is currently:
Obama 253
Romney 190
Tossups 95

There are 14 online Electoral College opinion maps which toss out the tossups and assign all electoral votes to either Obama or Romney, disregarding the margin of error in the polls. The current average (without tossups) is:
Obama 314
Romney 223
Tossups 0

The average of three online Electoral College odds makers (Intrade, Iowa Electronic Markets and Betfair) currently show Obama with a 68% probability of winning and Romney with a 32% probability of winning.


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