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WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:56 PM Oct 2012

What is most important about today's Gallup Poll...

is not so much the likely or even registered voter preferences, but Obama's job numbers. The voter preferences is over the course of seven days, so still includes Romney post-debate bumps.

The job numbers are 3-day rolling averages, which means that they are Sat, Sun & Monday as the new unemployment numbers came out. Today Obama's approval went up 2-points. It's hard to think that a president with a 53/42 job approval would be behind, and my guess is that going into this weekend and early next week we will see improvements for Obama in both the registered and likely voter categories as well--reflecting these job numbers. (Also a good debate by Biden would help!).

GALLUP DAILY
Oct 6-8, 2012 – Updates daily at 1 p.m. ET; reflects one-day change

Obama Approval53%+2 Obama Disapproval42%-2

6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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What is most important about today's Gallup Poll... (Original Post) WI_DEM Oct 2012 OP
A strong debate by Obama should put him back into the lead TexasCPA Oct 2012 #1
Definitely, and assertively correct Romney's 'misstatements' (read lies) WI_DEM Oct 2012 #2
Do you think it would help or hurt leftynyc Oct 2012 #4
Call him a liar with some humor TexasCPA Oct 2012 #5
I think you're right, my friend. And I hope it helps Tammy Baldwin as well... Liberal_Stalwart71 Oct 2012 #3
I wouldn't worry about the poll. Julien Sorel Oct 2012 #6

TexasCPA

(527 posts)
1. A strong debate by Obama should put him back into the lead
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:07 PM
Oct 2012

I think voters were turned off by Obama's perceived weakness in the past debate. He needs to come out stronger in the next debate to reassure the public that he is not a total wimp.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
4. Do you think it would help or hurt
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:30 PM
Oct 2012

to actually call Romney a liar? I'm torn over that. I'm more a fan of fact vs fiction as an argument.

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
3. I think you're right, my friend. And I hope it helps Tammy Baldwin as well...
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:28 PM
Oct 2012

Strong debates by Biden this week and Obama next Tuesday should help solidify those numbers.

Maybe the president has learned his lesson.

The president is sitting on an approval rating over 50%. It is indeed hard to believe that people approve of him but are not likely to vote for him. That's a ridiculous assertion, which leads me to believe that you're right: the Likely Voters are 3-day rolling averages that haven't fully captured the good news on the economy.

I have the same opinion of the new Reuters/Ispos that was just released.

Julien Sorel

(6,067 posts)
6. I wouldn't worry about the poll.
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:54 PM
Oct 2012

It's all part of the amazingawesomechessgrandmaster's Brilliant Plan. I know, because I read it here. If he goes out and has a great debate, that will be part of the plan; if he goes out and has a(nother) terrible debate, that, too, will be part of the plan. If more polls come out and he's behind, that will be part of the plan; if more polls come out and he's ahead, that will be proof of the amazingawesomebrilliance of the plan. If he wins the election, that will prove the plan was amazingincrediblechessgrandmasterly; if he loses, that, too will be part of the plan. Just trust to his amazingawesomechessgrandmasterlybrilliance, and all will be well.

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