.

And, unlike Nate, they also nailed Iowa and NH:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/02/nevada-d-and-south-carolina-r.html

It predicts the winner.

But we do both -- the winner and the actual percentages. And we nailed it -- AGAIN!

here's a quote from him today:

NATE SILVER 5:35 PM
While Clinton has won the first two caucuses in the Democratic race — while losing New Hampshire, the only primary — it’s possible that Bernie Sanders will win every state caucus from here on out.

Here’s why I say that. The remaining Democratic states to hold caucuses are: Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, Nebraska, Washington and Wyoming. Other than Hawaii — where I’m not going to pretend we have any earthly idea what’s going to happen — those are a bunch of really white states that otherwise look favorable for Sanders and which he could win even if he slightly trails Clinton nationally.

Clinton is probably favored in the territorial caucuses in American Samoa, Guam and the Virgin Islands, however, as territorial caucuses tend to heavily favor “establishment” candidates.

Which happened to be Gravis. Gravis is quite possibly the worst pollster, but even a broken clock is sometimes not totally wrong. Anyone touting a Gravis poll as a good prediction isn't to be taken seriously.

who gave them a 5% chance of winning even into the sweet sixteen...

wait, which forum am I in?

#538AlwaysLate