2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThis election is similar to 2004 with a few exceptions
In 2004 John Kerry ran out of money towards the end of the campaign and had to pull advertising in states like Colorado where we wanted to compete. In contrast, Obama will have all the money he needs and will not have to pull advertising from competitive states.
George W. Bush "won" that election by getting 11% of the black vote and 40% of the hispanic vote. This allowed him to eek out a 3 million margin. 8 years later the country is even more diverse and there is no evidence Mitt Romney will match these numbers with minority voters.
In 2008 Obama won by 9.5 million votes. It's not like 1976 where Jimmy Carter won by fewer than 3 million votes or 2000 where the election was basically a tie. Obama has more of a base to work from.
All Obama has to do is get 270. At this point I would run ads from the GOP primary where Newt Gingrich and others called Mitt Romney a liar.
gateley
(62,683 posts)AndyTiedye
(23,500 posts)Republicans will be counting the votes in most of the "swing" states, and will swing some of them their way.
Can we win if they steal Florida, Ohio and Wisconsin outright? What if they also steal Pennsylvania?
How can we stop them?
CTyankee
(63,912 posts)to stymie these attempts...