2016 Postmortem

Chichiri

(4,667 posts) Tue Oct 9, 2012, 03:28 PM Oct 2012

No incumbent has ever lost with an approval rating of 49% or higher.

Today's approval for Obama is up to 53%.

Hopefully that gives everyone a sigh of relief. But if you still feel uneasy (which I think you should given Robme's novel strategy of never telling the truth), then here you go: https://my.barackobama.com/page/s/become-a-volunteer

9 replies

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No incumbent has ever lost with an approval rating of 49% or higher. (Original Post) Chichiri Oct 2012 OP

I think that's worth pondering HereSince1628 Oct 2012 #1

I Thought That Was The Case Too DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #2

Bush's approval rating was 34% weeks before the election... (34-56 to be exact). Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #8

That Makes A Lot More Sense DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #9

What's the lowest of the presidents who won? (n/t) FBaggins Oct 2012 #3

I Believe It Was George W Bush With 51% DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #4

Pretty close FBaggins Oct 2012 #5

What was Ford's? Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #6

53% But It Needs To Be Verified DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #7

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)

1. I think that's worth pondering

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 03:32 PM

Oct 2012

as is the notion that there IS a first time for everything.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

2. I Thought That Was The Case Too

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 03:37 PM

Oct 2012

I saw on another site that Bush Pere and Ford had approval ratings > 50% . Can somebody confirm that? Intuitively it doesn't make sense as Bush Pere only received 37% of the vote.

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

8. Bush's approval rating was 34% weeks before the election... (34-56 to be exact).

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 04:28 PM

Oct 2012

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

9. That Makes A Lot More Sense

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #8)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 04:30 PM

Oct 2012

Candidate's Approval Rating= Candidate's Share Of The Pop Vote

FBaggins

(26,743 posts)

3. What's the lowest of the presidents who won? (n/t)

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 03:38 PM

Oct 2012

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

4. I Believe It Was George W Bush With 51%

Reply to FBaggins (Reply #3)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 03:40 PM

Oct 2012

FBaggins

(26,743 posts)

5. Pretty close

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #4)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 03:45 PM

Oct 2012

Using Gallup's figure, he was at 47-49 at this point and hit 53-44 on election day.

Of course we could probably also say Truman. There wasn't any approval polling (that I know of) after June, but he was in the 30s at that point IIRC. A big part of eroneous headline.

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

6. What was Ford's?

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 04:09 PM

Oct 2012

He had an unusually high approval for a candidate who lost.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

7. 53% But It Needs To Be Verified

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #6)

Tue Oct 9, 2012, 04:21 PM

Oct 2012

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