2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSanders will need some serious upsets on March 1.
He will definitely win in Massachusetts and Vermont. Eleven states and over 800 delegates are up for grabs. If he can win at least three other states, he can stay in it for the long haul. If he cannot, he will be hurting soon. Wins rack up donations.
The following six states are the most likely he could pull three more out of, IMO:
1) Minnesota
2) Colorado
3) Virginia
4) Oklahoma
5) Tennessee
6) Georgia
I see little chance for him in the following states:
1) Arkansas
2) Alabama
3) Texas
bravenak
(34,648 posts)JRLeft
(7,010 posts)Tall task.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)VT, NH, ME, Colorado, and one or two more. Maybe oregon. Not enough.
JRLeft
(7,010 posts)away it's over.
I think its a wrap
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)Sanders is a slam dunk to win Maine.
He will win there
Not many delegates tho
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)That's fewer than New Hampshire or Nevada.
Hillary should have the solid lead in pledged delegates next week.
Rocky the Leprechaun
(222 posts)Bernie's already set up shop here in Colorado for months, and canvassing is underway, while I see nothing going on from the Clinton side on the Southeast side of Denver where I reside.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)Rocky the Leprechaun
(222 posts)She has probably lost more than won tonight. Seeing that she cannot prove that she has the financial capability She's gone to Texas already for an fundraiser and has a bunch lined up to get the dough and is having a hard time trying to convince people to buy expensive tickets to see Clinton. The donors are looking for a reason to continue to contribute to Clinton. Bernie has definitely exceeded expectations today, and it will be a great interest to see how much resources Clinton puts into South Carolina. She has to win by more than 22% to call it a win. Anything less than that, Clinton's already on her way to being finished.
Rocky the Leprechaun
(222 posts)Found this:
http://kdvr.com/2016/02/10/clinton-campaign-opens-denver-office/
Opened an office on Feb 10th, while Bernie's organization and campaign office has been here since November.
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Tick tock.
CorkySt.Clair
(1,507 posts)Virginia and Oklahoma also lean Hillary but Bernie is competitive.
His best hope is to win in Minnesota and Colorado.
californiabernin
(421 posts)We got this but we gotta get to work to do it!
After Tuesday, it only gets better!
rocktivity
(44,577 posts)rocktivity
BlueMTexpat
(15,370 posts)for Bernie. Hillary was only down by 7 there. With momentum from NV (even though tight, it was still a win) and and a good win in SC, she could possibly overtake Bernie there. After all, the same pollster that some were citing in support of Sanders being close in VA (most reputable pollsters have Hillary at least +17 there) had Hillary at +6 in Mass. We'll see.
Vermont certainly is a lock for him. Colorado may break for him, especially because it is another caucus, but Hillary could still eke out a win there as she has done in IA and NV. I HATE caucuses and much prefer primaries. Hillary is slightly ahead in OK right now, but it is very close there. She's predicted to do well in VA and I believe that she will. If momentum from NV and SC carries over, she should also do well in TN, GA and the rest of the south.
MN's SuperDs include Al Franken, who is very well-liked in the state and a staunch Hillary supporter, so I believe that she'll ultimately prevail there, but it could be close.
But who knows? This is all speculation at this point.