2016 Postmortem

mhatrw

(10,786 posts) Sun Feb 21, 2016, 12:58 AM Feb 2016

Clinton is now up by 820 county delegates in Clark County & down by 199 county delegates everywhere

else in Nevada.

The same thing happened to Obama on 2008. In 2008, Clinton also won Clark County resoundingly, but lost the rest of Nevada. What accounts for Clinton's Clark County magic against both Obama in 2008 and Sanders in 2016?

15 replies

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Clinton is now up by 820 county delegates in Clark County & down by 199 county delegates everywhere (Original Post) mhatrw Feb 2016 OP

Hillary won Nevada. PM Martin Feb 2016 #1

It's an interesting question. Maybe don't be so dismissive. Joe the Revelator Feb 2016 #2

Answer: heavy union support...particularly from the casinos. brooklynite Feb 2016 #3

But who won Reno? Nevermind, it's a trick question DefenseLawyer Feb 2016 #4

It's the math. stopbush Feb 2016 #5

It was a joke. Have you been to Reno? DefenseLawyer Feb 2016 #6

No, but I lived in Vegas for 3 years. stopbush Feb 2016 #7

And I notice you never went to Reno. DefenseLawyer Feb 2016 #10

Why would I go there? stopbush Feb 2016 #11

HA! d_legendary1 Feb 2016 #12

I don't think magic is the right word..... Skwmom Feb 2016 #8

Hillary has won alcibiades_mystery Feb 2016 #9

I did not, but that is county delegate margin, not a popular vote margin. nt mhatrw Feb 2016 #13

Of course it is alcibiades_mystery Feb 2016 #15

Her big margins were the casinos. EndElectoral Feb 2016 #14

PM Martin

(2,660 posts)

1. Hillary won Nevada.

Reply to mhatrw (Original post)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:02 AM

Feb 2016

End of debate.

Joe the Revelator

(14,915 posts)

2. It's an interesting question. Maybe don't be so dismissive.

Reply to PM Martin (Reply #1)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:03 AM

Feb 2016

brooklynite

(94,679 posts)

3. Answer: heavy union support...particularly from the casinos.

Reply to mhatrw (Original post)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:04 AM

Feb 2016

DefenseLawyer

(11,101 posts)

4. But who won Reno? Nevermind, it's a trick question

Reply to mhatrw (Original post)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:06 AM

Feb 2016

There are no winners in Reno.

stopbush

(24,396 posts)

5. It's the math.

Reply to DefenseLawyer (Reply #4)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:11 AM

Feb 2016

Population of Reno: 230,000
Population of LV: over 2-million

She who wins LV wins NV.

BTW - one reason Obama got more delegates in NV in 2008 was due to the fact that they apportioned an extra delegate to the rural areas. The NV D party changed it this year and moved that delegate into Clark County to more accurately reflect where the population is centered in the state.

DefenseLawyer

(11,101 posts)

6. It was a joke. Have you been to Reno?

Reply to stopbush (Reply #5)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:14 AM

Feb 2016

I meant like, seriously, no one ever feels like a winner in Reno.

stopbush

(24,396 posts)

7. No, but I lived in Vegas for 3 years.

Reply to DefenseLawyer (Reply #6)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:16 AM

Feb 2016

DefenseLawyer

(11,101 posts)

10. And I notice you never went to Reno.

Reply to stopbush (Reply #7)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:20 AM

Feb 2016

I rest my case.

stopbush

(24,396 posts)

11. Why would I go there?

Reply to DefenseLawyer (Reply #10)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:22 AM

Feb 2016

You're right.

d_legendary1

(2,586 posts)

12. HA!

Reply to stopbush (Reply #11)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:41 AM

Feb 2016

Skwmom

(12,685 posts)

8. I don't think magic is the right word.....

Reply to mhatrw (Original post)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:17 AM

Feb 2016

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)

9. Hillary has won

Reply to mhatrw (Original post)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:19 AM

Feb 2016

White Pine County (50.5-49.5)
Lincoln County (60-40)
Nye County (58-42, with votes still out)
Mineral County (53-46)
Douglass County (54-46)

She is dominating in the most populous county in the state, Clark County, where she leads 55-45 with about 100 precincts left to count.

Her overall delegate win is at 52.7 to Bernie's 47.2 at 11:20 Central Standard Time.

I don't suppose any Bernie supporters predicted a 5.5% win by Clinton, veering toward 6% if the Clark County split holds and Washoe comes out the same as well.