2016 Postmortem

Bubzer

(4,211 posts) Sun Feb 21, 2016, 12:48 PM Feb 2016

Bernie Could Sweep Remaining Caucus States

Nate Silver, the statistician behind the famed FiveThirtyEight blog who predicts election wins with almost unerring accuracy, claims that Sanders has the ability to win every state caucus held after Nevada, and that Sanders’ loss in that state may be the beginning of a big winning streak for him in the remaining caucuses.

...

The next two states to caucus are Colorado and Minnesota, with both states set to vote on Super Tuesday. Most recently, polls coming out of Colorado show that Sanders has managed to pull out ahead of Hillary Clinton, who once held a double-digit lead in that state. The Washington Free Beacon poll reported Sanders holding 49 percent of support, compared to Clinton’s 43 percent.

...

The race for the Democratic nomination and, ultimately, the White House, is far from being over for the Vermont senator, and Sanders is looking at his narrow defeat in Nevada as a victory of sorts, saying that the narrow margin has made him certain “we’re going to see the results of one of the great political upsets in the history of the United States” in July.

9 replies

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Bernie Could Sweep Remaining Caucus States (Original Post) Bubzer Feb 2016 OP

The Cubs could win the pennant next year GreydeeThos Feb 2016 #1

The difference? The cubs dont have over 4 MILLION individual donations from backers who want change. Bubzer Feb 2016 #3

Yes but... brooklynite Feb 2016 #2

All states are important.... and it will serve Clinton well to observe more of a 50-state strategy. Bubzer Feb 2016 #5

but he won't Robbins Feb 2016 #4

Why? Because she won Nevada? Don't get disheartened. Bubzer Feb 2016 #6

we have seen this story twice now in iowa and nevada Robbins Feb 2016 #8

I would suggest channeling that frustration into action. There's a whole lot of people out there. Bubzer Feb 2016 #9

I'd wager that Silver is right, but there's a problem. kstewart33 Feb 2016 #7

GreydeeThos

(958 posts)

1. The Cubs could win the pennant next year

Reply to Bubzer (Original post)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:39 PM

Feb 2016

Bubzer

(4,211 posts)

3. The difference? The cubs dont have over 4 MILLION individual donations from backers who want change.

Reply to GreydeeThos (Reply #1)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:48 PM

Feb 2016

That, and I doubt people look to the Cubs as a force for revolutionary change.

brooklynite

(94,679 posts)

2. Yes but...

Reply to Bubzer (Original post)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:45 PM

Feb 2016

...the flaw in the Clinton campaign last time was that they didn't contest Primary States at all, and Obama racked up huge numbers of delegates. Clinton has learned from her mistake and will be involved in each race; even if Sanders win, she'll take a bigger share of delegates than last time.

Meanwhile, Sanders seems to have acknowledges that he's not going to be competitive in the Southern States with large African-American populations. That was a huge part of Obama's winning formula; if they go to Clinton, that'll be a big boost.

Bubzer

(4,211 posts)

5. All states are important.... and it will serve Clinton well to observe more of a 50-state strategy.

Reply to brooklynite (Reply #2)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:51 PM

Feb 2016

Last edited Sun Feb 21, 2016, 02:32 PM - Edit history (1)

I haven't heard Sanders say he's not going to be competitive in the Southern States at all. He does say that Hillary is doing well there. He also says he's not giving up there.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)

4. but he won't

Reply to Bubzer (Original post)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:50 PM

Feb 2016

caucus states are fixed by establishment for clinton.

Bubzer

(4,211 posts)

6. Why? Because she won Nevada? Don't get disheartened.

Reply to Robbins (Reply #4)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:53 PM

Feb 2016

We've got a whole bunch of states coming up that will be win after win for Bernie.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)

8. we have seen this story twice now in iowa and nevada

Reply to Bubzer (Reply #6)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:58 PM

Feb 2016

it won't change.caucus states are fixed.everyone will forget how bernie did with latinos yesterday and it will be back to bernie only has angry white men memo.

Bubzer

(4,211 posts)

9. I would suggest channeling that frustration into action. There's a whole lot of people out there.

Reply to Robbins (Reply #8)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 02:31 PM

Feb 2016

Education is the enemy of disinformation... we must be the inoculant to all that viral propaganda!
Hillary and her oligarch buddies only win if we stop fighting.

kstewart33

(6,551 posts)

7. I'd wager that Silver is right, but there's a problem.

Reply to Bubzer (Original post)

Sun Feb 21, 2016, 01:55 PM

Feb 2016

Caucus states comprise only 10% of the total delegates. Bernie needs a lot of help from the primary states.

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