2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie Sanders says lower turnout contributed to his Nevada loss to Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders says lower turnout contributed to his Nevada loss to Hillary ClintonBy John Wagner February 21 at 9:57 AM
COLUMBIA, S.C. -- Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders acknowledged Sunday that he failed to turn out as many people in the Nevada caucuses as he hoped he would, a factor the Vermont senator suggested contributed to his loss on Saturday to Hillary Clinton.
About 80,000 people showed up for the state's caucuses, a significant drop-off compared to 2008, the last time there was a competitive Democratic race, according to officials at the Nevada Democratic Party. That year, 117,600 people participated.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/02/21/bernie-sanders-says-lower-turnout-contributed-to-his-nevada-loss-to-hillary-clinton/
Blue_Adept
(6,399 posts)A two-person race only brings out the die-hards. There aren't anywhere near as many voices as we need at this stage.
Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)I had not thought of that. This might explain why Republican turnout so far has been so much higher than Democratic turnout.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)How is he going to get single payer, $15 minimum wage, and free college if nobody shows up to the revolution?
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Is an empty campaign slogan that obviously has no basis in reality.
Sounds good on social media though.
Octafish
(55,745 posts)Keep doing what the Koch brothers want if you want an idea of where your life is heading.
Nitram
(22,845 posts)What does that mean in English?
Let me try. "You are doing what the Koch Brothers want. If you continue to do what the Koch brothers want, you'll be able to see into the future and know what kind of life you are going to have."
Am I close?
It's what George Herbert Walker Bush called "the vision thing."
Nitram
(22,845 posts)Lame.
Octafish
(55,745 posts)Why does that bother you?
Nitram
(22,845 posts)Your babble about Democrats "doing what the Koch Brothers want" bothers me.
Octafish
(55,745 posts)Certain Democrats in Washington have advanced the cause of the Koch brothers -- and those at the top of the economic heap.
Top 1 percent capture most of wealth gains
The wealthiest 1 percent of those in Tennessee, Georgia and Alabama captured nearly half of the states' income gains over the past generation and nearly two thirds of all income gains since the last recession.
Researchers for the Economic Policy Institute found that the wealthiest 1 percent of Americans earned, on average, 30 times more than the bottom 99 percent.
While the income gap was less in Tennessee, Georgia and Alabama where the wealthiest individuals were usually not quite as rich, tax returns indicate that even in the South the top 1 percent of wage earners captured nearly as much in income gains as the entire rest of the population.
The lopsided income growth was even more pronounced from 2009 to 2012 coming out of the worst economic downturn since the Great Recession.
"Unfortunately, the Great Recession was no great leveler," said Estelle Sommeiller, a socio-economist at the Institute for Research in Economic and Social Sciences in France and co-author of the study on income growth in America released Monday. "The top 1 percent is recovering, but the bottom 99 percent's income has actually gone down in the so-called recovery."
CONTINUED...
http://www.timesfreepress.com/news/business/aroundregion/story/2015/jan/27/top-1-percent-capture-most-wealth-gains/284825/
Here's something I hope really bothers you, Marty:
After his exit from the US Senate, Phil Gramm found a job at Swiss bank UBS as vice chairman. He later brought in former President Bill Clinton to the Wealth Management team. [font color="green"]What a coincidence, Gramm and Clinton are the two key figures in repealing Glass-Steagal.[/font color] Since the New Deal it was the financial regulation that protected the US taxpayer from the Wall Street casino. Oh well, what are a few hundred million in speaking fees compared to a $16 trillion bailout among friends?
It's a Buy-Partisan Who's Who:
President William J. Clinton
President George W. Bush Heh heh heh.
Robert J. McCann
James Carville
John V. Miller
Paula D. Polito
Anthony Roth
Mike Ryan
John Savercool
SOURCE: http://financialservicesinc.ubs.com/revitalizingamerica/SenatorPhilGramm.html
One of my attorney chums doesn't like to see his name on any committees, event letterhead or political campaign literature. These folks, it seems to me, are past caring.
Some of why DUers and ALL voters should care about Phil Gramm.
The fact the nation's "news media" don't should also be of great concern. Again, that bothers me.
treestar
(82,383 posts)that Bernie is so inspiring people who never voted before are going to turn up for the "Revolution."
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)hurt both candidates. and democracy.
CorkySt.Clair
(1,507 posts)That's a lot of disenfranchisement going on.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)in the history of the nh primary on either side?
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jon-orlin/bernie-sanders-won-the-mo_b_9228324.html
seems that there is a problem with caucuses, or perhaps with the other candidate......
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)but bernie is doing his part to bring voters and small donors into the fold imo
we don't have a reality tv star running, i guess that is the problem....
Orsino
(37,428 posts)He did rather amazingly well against the Clinton brand and money.
Matariki
(18,775 posts)Caucuses are intimidating to many first time voters.
We'll know after Super Tuesday. For now, they're tied 51-51
brooklynite
(94,679 posts)That's foregoing a lot of delegate-rich Primary States (VA, TX, TN, GA among others)
Octafish
(55,745 posts)Don't recall reading that memo, seeing how he's got a lot of support in those "delegate-rich Primary States."
brooklynite
(94,679 posts)Octafish
(55,745 posts)CHUCK TODD:
You know, its interesting. The guy who had the bigger super PAC of all time had to drop out of the race. Jeb Bush outspent everybody. He its arguably had more special interests supporting his candidacy. Isnt sort of the people already overturning Citizens United, isnt your message, and Donald Trump, who have done this without super PACs, isnt this already resonating?
SEN. BERNIE SANDERS:
No, well, in some ways it is. But I think, you know, if you looked at Jeb Bushs campaign, its more than just money. Its the nature of the candidate and the message and all that stuff. Look, but let me give you an example. Right now, we have raised, as I understand it, Chuck, more contributions from people than Hillary Clinton has. But shes now going into the super PAC that she has which comes from Wall Street and very wealthy individuals. She will be outspending us in the next number of weeks, precisely because of that super PAC. Do these things matter? Yes, they do.
SOURCE: http://www.politicususa.com/2016/02/21/bernie-sanders-schools-clueless-chuck-todd-impact-citizens-united.html
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)The states he is targeting have unusually low percentages of minorities.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)But the entrance polls showed a lackluster youth turnout. It was reported that a great number of people left before caucusing because of the long lines. Perhaps it was youth that had to return to jobs or classes?
It was also reported that Harry Reid had called the casino owners beforehand and asked them to give the casino workers time off with pay to caucus. That no doubt played a factor in their turnout.
Skwmom
(12,685 posts)HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)It appears the long lines were intentional...designed to suppress turnout, people had to get back to work or class.
Interesting that Sanders did well in the rural areas, which didn't have the long lines and presumably lesser youth demographics.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)at least at the caucuses. They need to rectify that.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)...they're just inexperienced, which hurts in a caucus. We'll have to see how things go with next few elections...could be the volunteers do better at GOTV than managing a rowdy caucus.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)that's on his campaign, for fucks sake. they need to get their shit together and learn the "rules" before they show up instead of making them up or wasting time bitching about them after. that's the problem with inexperienced people, they are shocked at how things are done, and waste time Youtubing nonsense instead of doing the work the day it is needed. they need to buckle down and show up, instead of complaining they are overwhelmed while arguing about how to break a tie.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)... that with all these vast numbers of enthusiastic supporters that were ready for a "revolution" this wouldn't be a problem.
So... looking at the evidence of the turnout numbers, and considering Bernie's own words (or his campaign spokesperson's words) it makes me wonder if the reports of the vastness of his support was exaggerated, or if the enthusiasm was over-estimated.
I suppose another explanation could be that his supporters may be feeling like it's a "lost cause" and that caucusing for Bernie wouldn't have any meaningful effect on the outcome.
It's impossible to know for sure, but it certainly is a mystery.
Note to Jury: No candidate or candidate's supporters have been smeared or attacked. The comments here are my opinion only and are derived from examining the available evidence and by analyzing the statement/s from Sanders and/or his campaign representative/s.
dchill
(38,516 posts)as "higher turn away." But I think you know that.
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)greatauntoftriplets
(175,748 posts)lunamagica
(9,967 posts)even motivated to vote?
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Probably had limited time to caucus before having to return to work or class. The long lines appear to have been a deliberate slow-down intended to depress turnout.
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)for his revolution, when they won't even bother to vote?
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Good luck with that plan. Insulting the working class isn't going to get them to support Hillary.
littlebit
(1,728 posts)If this really is a huge revolution why didn't they stay and vote? I made the time to go vote early here in TX and I am only in the state one day a week.
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)Sounds like he thought he could just buy his revolution.
frylock
(34,825 posts)Doctor_J
(36,392 posts)The republicans do it every two years and Hillary is doing it now.
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)Nitram
(22,845 posts)Just like the republicans. Why don't you provide evidence that Clinton is depressing the vote if you're going to make that charge?
Doctor_J
(36,392 posts)Nitram
(22,845 posts)Are all Bernie supporters conspiracy theorists? always looking or an ulterior reason why their candidate doesn't always win? It's the media, it's the DNC, it's sunspots. Get a grip, guys!
Doctor_J
(36,392 posts)Hillary will fare better in November if she and her supporters try to tell the truth for 9 months. I think it's byond their grasp though
Boldine
(86 posts)than Hillary.
Nevada was always going to be tough - Las Vegas, especially is for Clinton, and for an "outsider" like Bernie to come along and narrow the gap to single digits says a lot about his support. He may have lost this one, but Bernie is definitely not out.
One other thing, I sadly believe that Democrats are apathetic when it comes to voting and that is their downfall. I do believe that they see the signs and think oh my candidate is well supported, I don't need to go vote, I have things to do. And that goes for all races, not just he presidential - just look at 2014. Please go vote for who you believe in. (Disclaimer, I can't I am not a citizen, but I believe everyone should if they can.)
Nitram
(22,845 posts)Doesn't sound much like a revolution to me.
frylock
(34,825 posts)Hillary can't draw flies.
Gothmog
(145,479 posts)Last night further confirms the fact that the Sanders' revolution is not happening. No one has seen any evidence of the so-called Sanders revolution https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/02/10/sorry-bernie-sanders-there-is-zero-evidence-of-your-political-revolution-yet/
To succeed, Sanders might have to drive Americans who don't normally participate to the polls. Unfortunately for him, groups who usually do not vote did not turn out in unusually large numbers in New Hampshire, according to exit polling data.
https://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1484
...As for Sanders, he credited his victory to turnout. "Because of a huge voter turnout -- and I say huge -- we won," he said in his speech declaring victory, dropping the "h" in "huge." "We harnessed the energy, and the excitement that the Democratic party will need to succeed in November."
In fact, Sanders won by persuading many habitual Democratic primary voters to support him. With 95 percent of precincts reporting their results as of Wednesday morning, just 241,000 ballots had been cast in the Democratic primary, fewer than the 268,000 projected by New Hampshire Secretary of State William Gardner last week. Nearly 289,000 voters cast ballots in the state's Democratic primary in 2008.
To be sure, the general election is still seven months away. Ordinary Americans might be paying little attention to the campaign at this point, and if Sanders wins the nomination, he'll have the help of the Democratic Party apparatus in registering new voters. The political revolution hasn't started, though, at least not yet.
Without this revolution, I am not sure how Sanders proposes to advance his unrealistic agenda
Renew Deal
(81,869 posts)PatrickforO
(14,586 posts)will have to leave early because they only have 1.5 hours before they have to go back to work or else...
Lots of those people might have voted Bernie.
And, of course, we have the precinct in LV that closed before delegates were chosen. Seems like that has the potential to negate some Bernie votes.
Yep.
Not to mention the dirty, filthy race politics.
Yep. Establishment long knives are coming out.
Fuck them! I'm with Bernie until the convention and we'll have the bitter fight on the convention floor by God.
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)His ground game is lacking.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)Nitram
(22,845 posts)...and work for the campaign.
bravenak
(34,648 posts)SusanCalvin
(6,592 posts)NanceGreggs
(27,816 posts)How can this possibly be?
We've been told by Bernie and his supporters for months that first-time voters - those who had eschewed voting before, but were now all fired-up thanks to Bernie - would show up in droves to support him. We were assured that the polls would be proven wrong because they failed to tap-into the groundswell of new voters who Bernie would be bringing into the voting process for the first time.
Where ARE they? What went wrong - other than Bernie over-estimating his own ability to appeal to all of those voters he assured everyone were part of his "Revolution"?
Perhaps they were all busy posting about how John Lewis is a sell-out who has no principles, or leaving vile comments on the FaceBook pages of people who have the unmitigated gall to endorse HRC, or throwing every HRC supporter under that ol' bus. That's some heavy lifting right there - and actually showing up to support Bernie was deemed less important.
I'm sure there's an on-line poll somewhere that proves Bernie supporters are legion - and actual turnout to support him is absolutely meaningless.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Bernie revolution was a internets fiction
DrDan
(20,411 posts)WhaTHellsgoingonhere
(5,252 posts)Another Democratic primary with history in the balance only turnout is down from 2008. Meanwhile, the excitement generated by the R crazy train has translated to record high turnout. Bernie needs to get the non-(voters)traditional out. Hillary benefits from an uninspiring primary. Thus far, the latter is bearing out.