2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNevada may be HRC's last causcus victory-Nate Silver
I don't know if this has been posted but its very very interesting:
http://www.bustle.com/articles/143154-bernie-sanders-nevada-caucus-loss-wont-matter-if-you-believe-nate-silvers-huge-prediction
Hillary Clinton was named the winner of the Nevada Democratic caucuses on Saturday with more than 78 percent of precincts reporting. But her First-in-the-West win might very well be the last caucus victory her campaign will see in the States, according to Nate Silver's respected analysis website FiveThirtyEight, which claimed it was possible Sen. Bernie Sanders could win every state caucus held after Nevada.
Despite votes still rolling in, Clinton was named the projected winner of Nevada's Democratic caucuses, holding 52.1 percent of the vote to Sanders' 47.8 percent, with 79 percent of precincts reporting. Shortly after Clinton was named the projected winner, analyst and Fivethirtyeight editor in chief Nate Silver claimed Sanders' loss in Nevada just might actually be the beginning of a big winning streak regarding the remaining caucuses.
According to Silver, Sanders could quite possibly come out the victor in caucuses slated to be held in Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, Nebraska, Washington, and Wyoming despite losing both the Iowa and Nevada caucuses. So, why the potential for success given his history of caucus defeat?
Polling data shows Sanders fares better in white and liberal states and all but one of the remaining states set to hold caucuses this year have predominantly white populations, according to Silver. Further contributing to Sanders' staying power is the fact Clinton claimed only narrow victories in both Iowa and Nevada.
Impressions are everything and if she can't win about ten states coming up she's right back in the can where she was before. Go, Bernie!
Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)brooklynite
(94,596 posts)...unlike 2008 when the Clinton campaign basically ignored Caucus States, they'll compete in each and take a share of the delegates.
Response to roguevalley (Original post)
stopbush This message was self-deleted by its author.
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)minority population and to believe that all communities everywhere support Clinton would be a fallacy I believe. We shall see. He will compete hard in every state.
GO BERNIE!
msongs
(67,417 posts)AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)Get rid of it
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)And suppress turnout. What is there to love in a democracy?
Jitter65
(3,089 posts)Does anyone know which states are open primaries and which are closed?
jwirr
(39,215 posts)hate her are going to cross over?
SMC22307
(8,090 posts)Idaho, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, Nebraska and Wyoming are rural with lots of hunters -- that could hurt her as well. A couple of those states have more men than women, which might factor in as well.
I'm thoroughly enjoy this race.