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cali

(114,904 posts)
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 06:59 AM Feb 2016

It's looking more and more like President Trump

As I've said from the beginning, Clinton will be the democratic nominee. But it seems more and more likely that trump will be the republican nominee.

It's a really poor matchup for dems. The kitchen sink has already been thrown at the asshole. Hell, he's even thrown it in his own face. He's still way ahead. He's still attracting a huge chunk of independent voters. He's a stah! And we live in a Hollywood celebrity obsessed culture. Being a celebrity lends credibility, amazingly enough.

Sure Clinton will pound experience. But the anti-establishment sentiment won't be converted by that. Donald Trump brings a lot of enthusiasm for him as a candidate, coupled with a lot of zeal to vote against Hillary.

Nothing is too low for trump. And while the Clinton machine does slimy well too, she doesn't do it as brazenly as trump.

Trump will easily win Florida. He will win Ohio where his anti-TPP rhetoric will resonate.

He stands a good shot at winning NH where Hillary just isn't liked or trusted and where far more republicans than dems turned out.

He will beat her in Iowa and Colorado.

Hill and the democratic establishment will deliver President Trump to us.

186 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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It's looking more and more like President Trump (Original Post) cali Feb 2016 OP
LOL. boston bean Feb 2016 #1
So do you think hillary takes Florida against the talking yam? cali Feb 2016 #4
Lol! "the talking yam". PotatoChip Feb 2016 #25
In all fairness, merrily Feb 2016 #84
"talking yam"??? hilarious secondwind Feb 2016 #32
All credit to Charlie Pierce cali Feb 2016 #39
In fairness, Pierce did not have stretch very far. merrily Feb 2016 #86
Trump is a given for Florida, they love him. n/t RKP5637 Feb 2016 #65
Because they would prefer President Trump to President Sanders Fumesucker Feb 2016 #2
I believe you are correct. But I still think Bernie can win the nomination peacebird Feb 2016 #27
I would judge, from this distance, Ghost Dog Feb 2016 #157
Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #3
I fear you're right. Broward Feb 2016 #5
That's what operating from fear will get you... MrMickeysMom Feb 2016 #6
Nonsense Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #7
Voting for Hillary is abandoning all progressive values, too. djean111 Feb 2016 #14
Again, nonsense Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #17
Well, it has not come to the GE yet, has it? djean111 Feb 2016 #21
This thread is about the GE nt. Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #66
This section of DU is about the primaries, not the GE. djean111 Feb 2016 #73
Actually, if you read my post Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #91
It is ridiculous Rebkeh Feb 2016 #85
This is actually, I believe, a playbook thing designed to keep Bernie's supporters djean111 Feb 2016 #88
Fail, indeed Rebkeh Feb 2016 #99
I will vote for Bernie in the primary and in the general. Hillary will never get my vote. peacebird Feb 2016 #30
Bye bye nt. Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #70
You going somewhere? n/t Dawgs Feb 2016 #74
Probably not. Registered in 2012. merrily Feb 2016 #90
So lemme get this straight-- VulgarPoet Feb 2016 #115
Not about the grievances Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #120
"With Hillary it is always I, I, I" Like with anyone who helps Trump win? Democat Feb 2016 #78
Could not agree more! marew Feb 2016 #176
It's not nonsense. kag Feb 2016 #63
So we should Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #71
We are making a decision on who to vote for, for the Dem nominee, based on issues, record, djean111 Feb 2016 #76
We basically agree on that Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #95
To be honest, I sincerely doubt that anyone at DU seriously thinks, at this point, that they can djean111 Feb 2016 #102
This is quite true. In a certain sense there is overlap in Bernie and Trump in that both RKP5637 Feb 2016 #77
"The presidential election is not about you" dana_b Feb 2016 #89
No problem with that Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #103
"Go ahead, feel free to chastise me for that attitude" dana_b Feb 2016 #110
Asking someone to vote for someone that will keep them from being unemployed is not being "pure"... cascadiance Feb 2016 #181
??? Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #183
No, YOU are talking nonsense! Trump is campaigning against H-1B visas. cascadiance Feb 2016 #179
+1000 Shadowflash Feb 2016 #34
+1 if Hillary thinks she can attempt to destroy Bernie's NWCorona Feb 2016 #132
Whatever DarthDem Feb 2016 #8
Don't you have that reversed? ChairmanAgnostic Feb 2016 #11
people won't vote for Clinton because of her record, not because people point it out too much MisterP Feb 2016 #175
glad you said it and not I PFunk1 Feb 2016 #9
She can't win in a GE. The right hate her, and the left are too apathetic on her to GOTV. GoneFishin Feb 2016 #10
the left...will vote for a democrat in 2016 beachbum bob Feb 2016 #24
Oh hell no. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Feb 2016 #56
Yep, this pengu Feb 2016 #60
Totally agree. They point us toward a cliff, then blame us when the steering can't turn GoneFishin Feb 2016 #148
What a serious misreading of the electorate! Beowulf Feb 2016 #72
"I don't socialize with Trump. The Clintons do." lostnfound Feb 2016 #180
nope! dana_b Feb 2016 #97
The left does not have a manority. zeemike Feb 2016 #105
the left is one small portion of democrats and progressives just like teaparty beachbum bob Feb 2016 #177
And liberals and progressives sit home when they have nothing to vote for. zeemike Feb 2016 #182
So some people tell themselves. GoneFishin Feb 2016 #144
The middle hates her. Barack_America Feb 2016 #67
A real concern, those that stay home and don't vote because they don't totally like the RKP5637 Feb 2016 #87
Really? So people who stay home and don't vote for Trump are also voting for the Dem nominee by GoneFishin Feb 2016 #149
It's all in the math! n/t RKP5637 Feb 2016 #163
trump will not be elected...even if bernie supporters throw a fit... beachbum bob Feb 2016 #12
"Throw a fit"... TCJ70 Feb 2016 #15
I heard all the same from hillary supporters 8 years ago beachbum bob Feb 2016 #18
"Thin skinned"... TCJ70 Feb 2016 #19
There are about 550 posters blocked by the Hillary group Jarqui Feb 2016 #68
It's not 2008 anymore. Things change. The electorate has changed. merrily Feb 2016 #98
This is funny Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #20
I think you're missing what I'm saying... TCJ70 Feb 2016 #75
Bernie's campaign is nothing but attacking Hillary? What nonsense! merrily Feb 2016 #100
Did I say it is NOTHING but negativity? Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #107
More nonsense. Poster, please. merrily Feb 2016 #112
a Landslide? Now, I do SERIOUSLY DOUBT that statement. Hiraeth Feb 2016 #173
Hillary supporters don't buy into your gloom and doom scenario. oasis Feb 2016 #13
Enough of this defeatist bullshit please geek tragedy Feb 2016 #16
His negatives are very high, but then again so are Hillary's... Human101948 Feb 2016 #52
If this is the case RoccoR5955 Feb 2016 #22
As will I. Rocky the Leprechaun Feb 2016 #119
That's it in a nutshell. RiverLover Feb 2016 #23
It seems that many on this board would conclude that Clinton's presidency was a utter failure. olegramps Feb 2016 #50
Yes really. RiverLover Feb 2016 #92
Firstly, Sanders is a nice person, bu no FDR. olegramps Feb 2016 #185
So you think that if Sanders is the nominee that dana_b Feb 2016 #104
I hope that you are right, but they very well may just stay home. olegramps Feb 2016 #184
Please he is disliked by so many different groups of people that he would be crushed in the G.E.. Botany Feb 2016 #26
Based on what? Vets? You must be joking. merrily Feb 2016 #114
my post was not about hillary or bernie it was about trump Botany Feb 2016 #135
No, not talking about Trump merrily Feb 2016 #151
Ah this thread is about Trump Botany Feb 2016 #154
stuff happens merrily Feb 2016 #155
I believe Botany was posting about Trump not Bernie nolabels Feb 2016 #136
Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Botany Feb 2016 #158
Let's do it !!!1!!!1!!! nolabels Feb 2016 #167
I couldn't disagree more strongly. Trust Buster Feb 2016 #28
Trump reminds me of Benito Mussolini .. same facial expressions as well. YOHABLO Feb 2016 #29
I totally agree with you laundry_queen Feb 2016 #31
President Trump... that will take some getting used to yourpaljoey Feb 2016 #58
If by some hook and crook, he ends up being the President. Rocky the Leprechaun Feb 2016 #121
I don't believe the kitchen sink has been thrown at him. ShrimpPoboy Feb 2016 #33
Are you paid by the GOP? Firebrand Gary Feb 2016 #35
+1 stonecutter357 Feb 2016 #42
It's not slander if it's true. Fuddnik Feb 2016 #51
Hardly slander when VulgarPoet Feb 2016 #124
I'm this close to hitting "Trash Forum" on GD: P Tommy_Carcetti Feb 2016 #36
This message was self-deleted by its author EV_Ares Feb 2016 #37
LOL ... You crack me up! NurseJackie Feb 2016 #38
I will so enjoy cali Feb 2016 #53
He'll also be running to her left on things like trade and Iraq pengu Feb 2016 #40
Trump is against free trade and illegal immigration. He will pound Hillary on this. bklyncowgirl Feb 2016 #41
He will also beat her here in NC. n/t PonyUp Feb 2016 #43
"The kitchen sink has already been thrown at the asshole." tarheelsunc Feb 2016 #44
That's somewhat reversed, Trump has proven he can say anything... Human101948 Feb 2016 #57
Trump won't lose any votes because his voter base eats that stuff up. tarheelsunc Feb 2016 #81
That's probably why Rubio is their nominee... Human101948 Feb 2016 #96
tell tom we , stonecutter357 Feb 2016 #45
silly and defeatist book_worm Feb 2016 #46
I don't think it'll be Trump. More likely Cruz or Rubio. Amimnoch Feb 2016 #47
Agree RealAmericanDem Feb 2016 #54
*grin* I'm looking forward to that as well. Amimnoch Feb 2016 #59
I thought that too but... CdnExtraNational Feb 2016 #82
They'll be happy either way. Well, the Goldman will. raouldukelives Feb 2016 #48
Paid for by www.donaldtrump.com leftofcool Feb 2016 #49
Your incessant fearmongering is getting tiresome. DCBob Feb 2016 #55
Is this the anger stage? Not sure... workinclasszero Feb 2016 #61
Once Bernie gives his concession speech, all but a hardcore minority will be on board Tarc Feb 2016 #62
You're deluded. Clinton is unelectable. (nt) w4rma Feb 2016 #80
You vastly underestimate the dislike for Hillary. BillZBubb Feb 2016 #133
Then President Trump will be on your shoulders Tarc Feb 2016 #166
Bullshit. It will be on the shoulders of those who disregarded her incredibly high negatives. BillZBubb Feb 2016 #168
Independents are a myth Tarc Feb 2016 #169
Your political acumen is ZERO. BillZBubb Feb 2016 #170
"Acumen" coming from a "feel the Berner" ? Tarc Feb 2016 #174
Don't forget about the fact that it's REALLY difficult for one party to retake bullwinkle428 Feb 2016 #64
The President who does get the third term usually has had it very bad exboyfil Feb 2016 #127
and trump has a lot going for him restorefreedom Feb 2016 #69
Clinton isn't going to win the nomination. As the primaries progress, demographics for Sanders get w4rma Feb 2016 #79
Yes she is Robbins Feb 2016 #116
FiveThirtyEight expects *all* the rest of the caucus states to go for Bernie. w4rma Feb 2016 #122
I've not put much stock in FiveThirtyEight as of late VulgarPoet Feb 2016 #125
FiveThirtyEight had a Clinton bias, not a Bernie bias. So if they are saying good things for Bernie, w4rma Feb 2016 #143
They are trying to fool us Robbins Feb 2016 #130
That's dumb. It's only a 4 delegate difference and Bernie *still* has the momentum. w4rma Feb 2016 #142
This has been my biggest fear all along randr Feb 2016 #83
This sounds almost like... Mike Nelson Feb 2016 #93
No. This is called analysis. I have said repeatedly I'd vote cali Feb 2016 #94
I've been surprised more republicans do not favor Kasich. I guess he's just too sane sounding. n/t RKP5637 Feb 2016 #106
Trump is making every crazy uncle sound sane randr Feb 2016 #111
He sounds sane on the surface, but, if you listen, he is an extremist. merrily Feb 2016 #117
I've heard that, that people in Ohio really don't like him. They say he sounds sane, but RKP5637 Feb 2016 #123
He won 64% in the 2014 exboyfil Feb 2016 #141
How you could read 'trump is preferable to Hillary" is beyond me randr Feb 2016 #108
No, its just reality. basselope Feb 2016 #160
70% of Republicans are against Trump.n/t asuhornets Feb 2016 #101
Actually moving closer to 60% randr Feb 2016 #109
I've seen 56% would be willing to go along with him with 42% against Jarqui Feb 2016 #118
Rubio/Kasich exboyfil Feb 2016 #145
Of course Robbins Feb 2016 #113
What you are saying is that four years of Trump exboyfil Feb 2016 #150
neither choice is good Robbins Feb 2016 #161
Nah. Hillary will be President Depaysement Feb 2016 #126
Even if she does win we still lose Robbins Feb 2016 #139
Only Bernie beats him in national polls. Waiting For Everyman Feb 2016 #128
Horrifying prospect, but I fully expect this will be the case. nruthie Feb 2016 #129
Only if the BS'ers throw a temper tantrum liberal N proud Feb 2016 #131
No! pdsimdars Feb 2016 #140
80% of the GOP will support Trump if he's the nominee EdwardBernays Feb 2016 #134
That's what the head-to-head polls keep saying pdsimdars Feb 2016 #137
If Bernie wins nomination the establishment will be purged... CdnExtraNational Feb 2016 #153
If it's so, I'm even more sickened at the thought of escalating the murderous polly7 Feb 2016 #138
..! And... KoKo Feb 2016 #171
Half of Democrats, most Indies and most Republicans want an outsider CoffeeCat Feb 2016 #146
November a loooooooooooooooong ways away, and i don't believe even a clairvoyant could be this clear nolabels Feb 2016 #147
"Being a celebrity lends credibility, amazingly enough. " KansDem Feb 2016 #152
Your analysis is pretty much right on. earthside Feb 2016 #156
I'm still fighting for Bernie, but I feel like I am almost at the acceptance stage of Trump as Prez basselope Feb 2016 #159
It's going to be a tough battle. NCTraveler Feb 2016 #162
Exactly amborin Feb 2016 #164
Bookmarking for November 8 onenote Feb 2016 #165
That's the master plan. mhatrw Feb 2016 #172
All the more reason for us to unite behind Hillary as soon as the nom is clear flamingdem Feb 2016 #178
HOW IS TRUMP EVEN A CONTENDER ian cameron dromore Feb 2016 #186
 

cali

(114,904 posts)
4. So do you think hillary takes Florida against the talking yam?
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 07:37 AM
Feb 2016

Do you see hill taking Ohio with her rah rah tpp history? Do explain.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
86. In fairness, Pierce did not have stretch very far.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:04 AM
Feb 2016

Colbert did a lot of yam jokes about Boehner before Trump went candidate.

peacebird

(14,195 posts)
27. I believe you are correct. But I still think Bernie can win the nomination
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:04 AM
Feb 2016

He is trnding upward and is within single digits if Hillary nationally

Response to cali (Original post)

MrMickeysMom

(20,453 posts)
6. That's what operating from fear will get you...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 07:59 AM
Feb 2016

However, getting out and working to make it happen will reveal much the opposite.

When it's a challenge, you have to have the spirit to see how much of a challenge from cheaters and corporatists enabled a POPULAR VOTE to surge.

Get out.

Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
7. Nonsense
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:02 AM
Feb 2016

Trump will only win if Bernie supporters abandon all progressive values and either vote for him or abstain from voting, AND if he we pull a substantial portion of the Hispanic vote, which is unlikely given his racism.

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
14. Voting for Hillary is abandoning all progressive values, too.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:39 AM
Feb 2016

I would be voting for war and the Third Way assault on social programs and for fracking and the TPP and increased H-1B visas. None of those things are "progressive values". That is why I support Bernie.

Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
17. Again, nonsense
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:46 AM
Feb 2016

If it comes to the GE, it's not about your preferred list of issues. (And even on those, she is more progressive than you give her credit for.) The winner-takes-all electoral system in the US means that the GE is always about two coalitions battling it out. In this election, if it's Trump vs. Hillary, it will be a coalition of right-wing racists and evangelical nutjobs vs. a coalition of pragmatically progressive values and racial inclusion.

Which side (of those two) are you on? The presidential election is not about you, and it is not about whether you love a candidate. I don't love Bernie, but if he's the nominee, I'll campaign for him and vote for him. Because I know which side I'm on, and it sure as hell ain't the side of the neo-Fascists who support Trump.

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
21. Well, it has not come to the GE yet, has it?
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:49 AM
Feb 2016

Maybe it would be best to not be asking progressives to abandon their principles until after the primaries, eh?

And, no, I do not think Hillary is one bit progressive about anything but herself being president. I don't believe a word she says, at this point.

This premature pledge-taking is getting ridiculous and off-putting.

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
73. This section of DU is about the primaries, not the GE.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:54 AM
Feb 2016

Maybe we need another section - all the directives to just assume Hillary has already won are just annoying and off-putting and don't accomplish anything odd.

Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
91. Actually, if you read my post
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:07 AM
Feb 2016

(the one you are responding to), you will see clearly that I do NOT assume that Hillary has already won.

If you have a problem with the topic of this thread, then take it up with the OP.

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
88. This is actually, I believe, a playbook thing designed to keep Bernie's supporters
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:05 AM
Feb 2016

disheartened and not voting in the primaries. Fail!

peacebird

(14,195 posts)
30. I will vote for Bernie in the primary and in the general. Hillary will never get my vote.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:12 AM
Feb 2016

I am not a single issue voter, and hillary is on the wrong side of every issue I care about.

Fracking.
Monsanto.
H1b visas.
Outsourcing.
Min wage.
IWR.
Syria.
GMOs.
Too big to fail.


"We came, we saw, he died" she laughed. Snipers fire and a corkscrew landing, repeated on video at least three separate times when it was already known to be a LIE.

With Hillary it is always I, I, I - this presidential run is all a out her, not We, The People. And if she is the nominee we will lose the White House. She cannot win. People do not trust her (with good reason, she shoots herself in the foot with her stupid lies). And no, she is NOT "likeable enough"

Young people will not bother coming out to vote for her. Progressives like me will not vote for her. I am done holding my nose and voting for the lesser of two evils.

VulgarPoet

(2,872 posts)
115. So lemme get this straight--
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:31 AM
Feb 2016

Someone gives you a massive list of grievances they have with your chosen political hack, and you block 'em.

...Isn't that what Bernie supporters are accused of?

Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
120. Not about the grievances
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:34 AM
Feb 2016

The problem I have is when people, here on this Democratic site, openly say that they will not vote for the Democratic nominee.

I don't demand loyalty pledges, but I do feel free to ignore people who are wiling to hand the election to the Republicans. If I wanted to engage people like that, I'd go to Free Republic.

Democat

(11,617 posts)
78. "With Hillary it is always I, I, I" Like with anyone who helps Trump win?
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:56 AM
Feb 2016

You are willing to help Donald Trump win the presidency and appoint the next Supreme Court justices so that you don't have to make a compromise.

It sounds like you may be just as "I I I" as Hillary.

If you really cared about the future, you'd do everything you could to defeat the Republican candidate.

I'd happily vote for Sanders or Clinton to help defeat a right winger.

Maybe you are too young to remember the Bush years and Nader's part in that.

kag

(4,079 posts)
63. It's not nonsense.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:45 AM
Feb 2016

I was speaking a few days ago with a couple of friends. Both female, both independent and only marginally in tune with politics. Both were intrigued by Bernie in a favorable way. Both were similarly intrigued by Trump, also favorably. They didn't seem to care much for any of the other Republicans. But both despise Hillary. They were of one voice in saying that if Bernie is the nominee they would "probably" vote for him over Trump. But if Hillary is the nominee they would "absolutely" vote for Trump.

I know it's only anecdotal, but it gave me pause.

Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
71. So we should
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:53 AM
Feb 2016

make a decision about the Dem nominee based on the idiocy of your friends?! Sounds to me like they're already Trump voters who will abandon Bernie anyway if he's the nominee, once the GOP attacks start.

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
76. We are making a decision on who to vote for, for the Dem nominee, based on issues, record,
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:56 AM
Feb 2016

and principles. Not a coronation and a Trump boogeyman.

Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
95. We basically agree on that
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:10 AM
Feb 2016

even if we're coming from different sides in the primaries.

The one using a Trump boogeyman was the OP. My point was indeed that arguments about how Hillary might lose to Trump in the GE, or how someone's friends say they will vote for Trump if Hilary is the Dem nominee, will not convince me to switch to Bernie. I vote on experience, issues, etc., and not on a trump boogeyman.

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
102. To be honest, I sincerely doubt that anyone at DU seriously thinks, at this point, that they can
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:14 AM
Feb 2016

persuade anyone to switch support. My support for Bernie is based on my hatred for the Third Way, war, fracking, the TPP (and TPIP), cluster bombs, and Wall Street influence. Nothing on earth is capable of persuading me to vote for someone who is FOR those things. I just could not do that.

RKP5637

(67,111 posts)
77. This is quite true. In a certain sense there is overlap in Bernie and Trump in that both
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:56 AM
Feb 2016

are anti-establishment. Millions and millions of people are totally fed up with establishment type candidates. Hillary represents the establishment, no matter what she says, even though she might not all the way, but voter perception is she does, and they think she will continue the SOS.

Trump, is like the American Idol candidate. The 2016 GE election will be interesting and quite concerning/scary at the same time. I know so many people that are tired of the Clinton's and they are not some far left wing types. In fact, many are conservative type democrats.

dana_b

(11,546 posts)
89. "The presidential election is not about you"
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:05 AM
Feb 2016

wow - and you may wonder why some people don't vote. Why should anyone vote if it's not about them? It may sound selfish but I do vote for my and my family's interests. I think most people do.

Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
103. No problem with that
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:16 AM
Feb 2016

I vote for my interests, and that of my family, too. AND for the interests of the nation, and that of the world.

What an election is not about is one's own purity list or one's own hurt feelings.

I have never, in any post, demanded loyalty pledges from people to vote for Hillary, but if people indicate they will sit the election out or vote for the GOP if she is the nominee because they do not deem her "pure" enough, then I do respond. And I myself always, always pledge to vote for Bernie if he's the nominee. It will hurt like hell if Hillary loses, but the election is not about me or about my hurt feelings. It's about the people who will lose healthcare if a GOP president, alongside a GOP-controlled Congress, dismantles the ACA. It's about the minorities who will suffer if someone like Trump gets in. Etc.

Go ahead, feel free to chastise me for that attitude. I'm a progressive. I care about what happens to other people.

dana_b

(11,546 posts)
110. "Go ahead, feel free to chastise me for that attitude"
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:22 AM
Feb 2016

Nope - won't do that. I understand your POV and have voted for the lesser of two evils many, many times before.

 

cascadiance

(19,537 posts)
181. Asking someone to vote for someone that will keep them from being unemployed is not being "pure"...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:30 PM
Feb 2016

It is called voting intelligently for your own well being, which is what most people APPROPRIATELY do! That is why we have a democracy. And we want a democracy that works for people, and not to choose between two corporate servants that have different ways of screwing you to benefit themselves, that has lead our country and so many other countries in this world to get in to the screwed up states we are in, and we are told "No We Can't, we must vote for which overlord that will screw us less!".

If voting for a candidate that doesn't align himself with the overlords to force you in to that choice, then sorry, most people are going to vote to have a more "pure" system. If you don't like that Democrats will likely lose with Clinton when they work FOR the economic royalists instead of against them in the ways that FDR had traditionally done strongly when he was the leader of this party, then you had better accept that the party is going to vastly change or properly DIE if it continues the direction that the Koch Brothers paid the DLC and the Clintons to start on when it started its downward path!

Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
183. ???
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:00 PM
Feb 2016

I don't see how your comment is a response to the topic we've been discussing, which is a hypothetical matchup between Hillary and Trump.

 

cascadiance

(19,537 posts)
179. No, YOU are talking nonsense! Trump is campaigning against H-1B visas.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:22 PM
Feb 2016

... while she's supported this American worker SCREWING program (not to mention screwing the workers in it that are made in to indentured servants). Who's the voter going to think in this instance who's for the American worker? I think Trump will get more voters flocking to him worried about their jobs than voting for her who they will CORRECTLY perceive has been conveniently with institutional power paying off corporate media, etc. to AVOID confronting her on this issue that she back in 2007 "strongly supported". So she will really have no way to not appear to be aligned with the Tata and Infosys corporate entities that are scamming all workers with this program and who've sent her and her husband a lot of campaign donations, etc. in recent years.

Quite frankly on this issue alone, it is an incentive for me not to vote for either one of them, as I can't really in good conscience vote for either of Clinton or Trump, especially since my IT career has been trashed over the last decade or so from both free trade programs and H-1B programs making our industry in to a contract job industry that pushes many American workers aside, especially as they grow older.

Sorry, but many like me aren't going to vote to screw ourselves more! That's the way it is!

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)
132. +1 if Hillary thinks she can attempt to destroy Bernie's
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:51 AM
Feb 2016

Character and still get his supporters on the fear of trump is nonsense.

PFunk1

(185 posts)
9. glad you said it and not I
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:22 AM
Feb 2016

Because I agree with you.

The coming together to "Voting for the lesser evils" thing will not work this time as Hillary campaigning has already PO'd enough of Bernie's base enough that they won't vote for her even if he himself says so. And indies and other see her as a corrupt corporate DINO. That leaves only her base. And that's not enough to combat the repugs who will unite just to beat her. Combined with a low turnout due to having two candidates no one else in inspired by (DWS democratic party dirty tricks took out the one who did inspired them) and bingo, welcome president Trump.

The only good thing about this is will will force a shake-up of the democratic party and/or a lot of folks becoming democratic independents. But hey, that's my .02 cents.

 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
24. the left...will vote for a democrat in 2016
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:56 AM
Feb 2016

even if its Hillary because allowing a Trump or a Cruz or Rubio is 1000x more disgusting prospect....I saw the nader voters not give a crap if bush got elected but compared to the these 3, bush was "reasonable"....so no...in the end, the left will not allow a hateful racist bigot to enter the whitehouse unless they hate america more than they hate hillary.....and if a trump or cruz or rubio gets in....the left will be 100% responsible for it and america will deserve what we will get. Believe me, america will be forever changed..people on the left can put the own selfishness above voting for hillary....but they can't stand and whine about how awful the gop president is....THEY would have given him to america...knowingly

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
56. Oh hell no.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:40 AM
Feb 2016

"and if a trump or cruz or rubio gets in....the left will be 100% responsible for it"

HELL, NO.

If centrists demand that Hillary be the nominee and Hillary can't get the votes to win, the fault lies squarely on Hillary and her supporters who demanded it be their way, or the highway.

They've been warned often enough that a large chunk of people simply won't vote for her in the general, and if they ignore that and make her the nominee, it's their own damn fault for sticking their heads in the sand, NOT anyone else's.

pengu

(462 posts)
60. Yep, this
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:44 AM
Feb 2016

She's completely unacceptable to a large swath of both the left and indies. Nominate her and it's YOUR FAULT when we lose.

GoneFishin

(5,217 posts)
148. Totally agree. They point us toward a cliff, then blame us when the steering can't turn
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:07 AM
Feb 2016

Last edited Mon Feb 22, 2016, 02:04 PM - Edit history (1)

sharp enough to keep us from going over the edge.

They insist on making a shit sandwich then bitch because people don't like their cooking.

Beowulf

(761 posts)
72. What a serious misreading of the electorate!
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:54 AM
Feb 2016

This isn't 2008. Sanders supporters recognize that our country is an oligarchy. Unless you are filthy rich or a large corporation, politicians simply aren't interested in doing anything about your issues. The Clintons are the embodiment of the problem. You propose addressing the problem by offering more of the problem. And you have the gall to blame the rise of Trump on us? I don't socialize with Trump. The Clintons do.

The stump speech writes itself for Trump. "Hillary is a bought and paid for candidate. I should know because I have given money to her. She takes my calls. She's done favors for me. She came to my daughter's wedding. I'm too rich to be bought."

Nothing progressive can happen if we don't address the oligarchy who have a chokehold on this country.

dana_b

(11,546 posts)
97. nope!
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:10 AM
Feb 2016

We have a real chance to change things up this time. We have a candidate who is anti Wall Street/big banks, against unnecessary war, pro single payer healthcare and has as clean of a record as you can find in D.C.

So nope - if Hillary is nominated and then she loses the GE, I blame those who didn't support the TRUE progressive in the first place. We will not take the blame for the country going down this time. WE are trying to do something about it. Hopefully others will join us.

zeemike

(18,998 posts)
105. The left does not have a manority.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:18 AM
Feb 2016

The largest group is independents. And I suspect they are not as afraid of Trump as you think
At least not as much as they are of Hillary.

If Hillary loses this election the only one responsible is Hillary...no more victim blaming.

 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
177. the left is one small portion of democrats and progressives just like teaparty
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 06:52 PM
Feb 2016

is a portion of republicans.....I place nader supporters, bernie supporters in the "left" category.....I have been independent my whole life but support democrats, progressives and liberals because the alternatives are disasters for america....

America is not a teaparty conservative country....they influence the elections only when democrats, liberals, and progressives sit home and not vote

zeemike

(18,998 posts)
182. And liberals and progressives sit home when they have nothing to vote for.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:50 PM
Feb 2016

Which is where we are if Hillary is the one.
She has made it clear that she will seek no change and I believe her.

But Democrats and the GOP neither have a majority...both are in the 30% range...independents are at 40% range. They will decide the election. And that does not favor Hillary.

Barack_America

(28,876 posts)
67. The middle hates her.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:49 AM
Feb 2016

And that is where the problem lies, just as it did in 2008. So yes, President Trump it may be, as incredulous as that sounds.

RKP5637

(67,111 posts)
87. A real concern, those that stay home and don't vote because they don't totally like the
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:05 AM
Feb 2016

candidate. They sit home and pee their pants feeling warm and cozy while the republicans win. I will vote for whomever the democratic candidate is. If one does not do that, they are voting for a republican presidency by default.

GoneFishin

(5,217 posts)
149. Really? So people who stay home and don't vote for Trump are also voting for the Dem nominee by
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:12 AM
Feb 2016

default? What baloney.

If they can't earn peoples' votes then they won't get them. Voters don't owe any politicians anything.

 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
12. trump will not be elected...even if bernie supporters throw a fit...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:28 AM
Feb 2016

unless there are completely hateful of our country and I don't they are.....hillary will win a landslide..

TCJ70

(4,387 posts)
15. "Throw a fit"...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:39 AM
Feb 2016

...or be disgusted by Hillary's Republican campaign tactics. It's unnecessary the bridges she's burned so far.

 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
18. I heard all the same from hillary supporters 8 years ago
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:46 AM
Feb 2016

that they would take their ball home and NOT support Obama if he was the 2008 nominee....some didn't but the great majority did vote for him....I see it and read all over DU...politics isn't bean bags and I find Sanders supporters to be about the thinnest skin people around here as they ban anybody with a contrary opinion immediately and go out of their way to report post that "hurt their feelings"....all proving how thin their skin is when discussing politics....in todays would, thin skin doesn't work and differently doesn't serve bernie too well either

TCJ70

(4,387 posts)
19. "Thin skinned"...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:47 AM
Feb 2016

...or expect better from our candidates? Throw the sink at the Republicans...at least they deserve it.

Jarqui

(10,126 posts)
68. There are about 550 posters blocked by the Hillary group
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:49 AM
Feb 2016

more than twice as many than are blocked from the Sanders group.

I think you have the thin skin thing backwards and the number of bans prove it.

Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
20. This is funny
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:48 AM
Feb 2016

Bernie supporters attack Hilary left right and center, day in and day out, even repeating right wing nonsense. And Bernie's whole campaign rests on that negativity.

But it's Hillary who is negative when she dares to criticize St. Bernie. Yeah, right.

TCJ70

(4,387 posts)
75. I think you're missing what I'm saying...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:55 AM
Feb 2016

...I don't judge a candidate by their supporters or surrogates. I'm talking about only things she's said. No candidate can wrangle the internet. It's not a fair way to judge anyone.

Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
107. Did I say it is NOTHING but negativity?
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:20 AM
Feb 2016

No. He has plenty of substance, even if not always the details in numbers that I'd like to see.

But Bernie himself, and his campaign in general, and his supporters overwhelmingly, are all waging an extremely negative campaign against Hillary, twisting her every word, suggesting that she has changed her votes based on campaign contributions. The reason why you don't see that as negative campaigning, is because you simply believe it to be the truth.

oasis

(49,389 posts)
13. Hillary supporters don't buy into your gloom and doom scenario.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:35 AM
Feb 2016

Funny how the impossible was somehow possible with your guy in the driver's seat.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
16. Enough of this defeatist bullshit please
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:42 AM
Feb 2016

If you really dread Trump so much, I'm sure you'll put work into preventing him from winning office.


You vastly, vastly overrate his appeal outside the racist reptilian core of the Republican Party.

RiverLover

(7,830 posts)
23. That's it in a nutshell.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 08:55 AM
Feb 2016

You'd have to be delusional to think at a time when the majority is against status quo establishment politics, they would ever elect Hillary Clinton. And in addition to her top of the establishment heap status, she is also the least trusted & least liked.

Sounds like a winner!

olegramps

(8,200 posts)
50. It seems that many on this board would conclude that Clinton's presidency was a utter failure.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:36 AM
Feb 2016

Hilary was an important part of that presidency and his most trusted confident his entire political career. If she is such a despicable person as many on this board have concluded, then I suppose that they will enjoy Trump's Fascist presidency when he turns the country into a police state rounding up millions of illegals and shipping them across the border after he gets done banning Muslims from to our melding pot nation. What is sad is that he actually has a following, if not being down right frightening.

After what we have gone through during the presidency of Bush and his pack of neo-cons from the PNAC, I would gladly welcome eight years of "Clintonian" policies. Having them back in the Whitehouse would be reassuring that the nation is in good hands as compared to any Repukian. The very thought of Trump, Cruz or wishy-washy Rubio being president should be enough to make any Democrat vomit.

As much as I admire Sanders and his unbending consistency of supporting the working class, I have to conclude that he can not attract the votes of the minorities that are crucial to win. I also can only conclude that his wide-sweeping policies are not feasible within the present political climate. Yeah, they sound great, but really?

RiverLover

(7,830 posts)
92. Yes really.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:08 AM
Feb 2016

FDR did the impossible, proving its possible.

Bernie is our new FDR.



Its a tough climb with the media working against him, but the country is ready for change.

Why do you think most of US voted for Obama??

olegramps

(8,200 posts)
185. Firstly, Sanders is a nice person, bu no FDR.
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 04:57 AM
Feb 2016

The reason people, especially the young and Black community voted for Obama was their hope for change. It soon became apparent that the Republicans were determined to oppose any measure that he proposed. People are sick of he gridlock in Washington, but many don't want to admit that it is totally the responsibility of the Republicans. Their hatred runs deep for Obama and is in my estimation greatly racially motivated.

If Sanders is president, and that is highly doubtful despite the sentiments of this board, the gridlock will be just as great as that which Obama was faced with. If Trump is the Republican nominee, and that appears to be a real possibility, he will smear Sanders as a wild eyed communist who will destroy capitalism. Lastly, aren't many who are supporting Sanders just a bit delusional in actually believing that he can achieve anything more than Obama was able to do? The fact of the matter is that the Republicans have been able to secure a intensely devoted constituency by building a grassroots base starting with local government, evangelicals and statehouses. It will take a massive effort for the Democrats to regain control of congress and until they can do so, little progressive legislation will ever materialize.

dana_b

(11,546 posts)
104. So you think that if Sanders is the nominee that
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:17 AM
Feb 2016

the minorities will vote for Trump or not vote at all??

I think you're wrong. I think that they would come out in droves for him.

Botany

(70,516 posts)
26. Please he is disliked by so many different groups of people that he would be crushed in the G.E..
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:04 AM
Feb 2016

women
blacks
Hispanics
catholics
Vietnam vets
and the list goes on and on of groups of people he has pissed off.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
114. Based on what? Vets? You must be joking.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:30 AM
Feb 2016

He did fine with Hispanics in Nevada. Plenty of women are for Bernie. African Americans are not going to vote Republican.

The only info we have right now about how Sanders would do in the general are head to head polls, in which he does considerably better than Hillary.

Botany

(70,516 posts)
135. my post was not about hillary or bernie it was about trump
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:54 AM
Feb 2016

"He did fine with Hispanics in Nevada." If the he you are talking about is Trump
that would be a tough deal because the republican primary in Nevada hasn't been
held yet.

 

Trust Buster

(7,299 posts)
28. I couldn't disagree more strongly.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:08 AM
Feb 2016

Trump has a ceiling amongst Republicans let alone the entire electorate. He represents the poster child for what the RNC's 2012 postmortem analysis urged the party to avoid in 2016. The African American, Latino and female vote will largely vote Democrat if Trump were the nominee.

 

YOHABLO

(7,358 posts)
29. Trump reminds me of Benito Mussolini .. same facial expressions as well.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:10 AM
Feb 2016

and we all know of his demise. Not pretty.

laundry_queen

(8,646 posts)
31. I totally agree with you
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:13 AM
Feb 2016

there are a ton of people on DU yukking it up over Trump.

I bet President Trump will have the last laugh if Hillary is the nominee.

I think Bernie would be in tough against him, but at least it would be outsider vs outsider

Hillary doesn't even have a chance imo.

Agree with everything you've written, here and on other threads.

 
121. If by some hook and crook, he ends up being the President.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:35 AM
Feb 2016

I'll be calling him President Rump for the rest of his term.

ShrimpPoboy

(301 posts)
33. I don't believe the kitchen sink has been thrown at him.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:16 AM
Feb 2016

Not even close. The GOP is treating him with kid gloves.

Firebrand Gary

(5,044 posts)
35. Are you paid by the GOP?
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:19 AM
Feb 2016

Because your entire modus operandi is slandering Hillary, it's becoming rather pathetic, really.

VulgarPoet

(2,872 posts)
124. Hardly slander when
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:38 AM
Feb 2016

her record would state that she is for:

Destroying the environment via fracking, the reprehensible shit Monsanto has done, H1b visas denying trained Americans STEM jobs, outsourcing jobs to the third world to deny even MORE Americans jobs, a minimum wage keeping a middle-class from regrowing, keeping people trapped in a cycle of poverty, the destruction of Syria under her watch as SecState, bailing out her fucking corporate overlords with the PEOPLE'S TAX MONEY-- it isn't slander. It's issues that me, and people like me not only cannot ignore, but will not condone in the White House.

Response to cali (Original post)

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
53. I will so enjoy
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:38 AM
Feb 2016

emphasizing her loss to you. I suspect you'll decide to vanish when hilly loses.

bklyncowgirl

(7,960 posts)
41. Trump is against free trade and illegal immigration. He will pound Hillary on this.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:28 AM
Feb 2016

Trump even sounds at times like he could be in favor of some sort of single payer health care system on this and other issues he's a shape shifter one day pro abortion rights the next against. People can see in him what they will.

He excoriated Bush on the Iraq War in terms that would make Michael Moore green with envy. What makes anyone t hink he won't do the same to Hillary who voted to authorize it?

Yeah, I could see him winning over blue collar Democrats, especially white men and plenty of women as well who've seen their jobs and their husbands jobs go overseas. Hillary seems to be doing her best to drive the youth vote away. Leaving the only truly reliable groups supporting Clinton will be blacks, Hispanics, committed Democrats and those liberals who see through Trump's promises.

Will it be enough?

tarheelsunc

(2,117 posts)
44. "The kitchen sink has already been thrown at the asshole."
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:29 AM
Feb 2016

Republicans and Democrats alike have been throwing the kitchen sink at Hillary for the past 10 years! Trump's message can win him the Republican nomination but it's not going to win him the general election.

 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
57. That's somewhat reversed, Trump has proven he can say anything...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:41 AM
Feb 2016

as evidenced by his remarks on Mexicans, McCain, 9/11, the Pope and much, much more.

And he knows he is bulletproof, "I could shoot someone on Fifth Avenue and not lose any votes."

So it is actually Trump that has thrown the kitchen sink at the American people and come out grinning.

tarheelsunc

(2,117 posts)
81. Trump won't lose any votes because his voter base eats that stuff up.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:01 AM
Feb 2016

Unfortunately for him, his voter base is not big enough to win a general election unless Democrats just don't vote.

Look at all those hypothetical general election polls Sanders supporters love to look at. They show Clinton has a sizable advantage over Trump, much more so than over any other Republican. If Trump is the nominee, Clinton is guaranteed to win unless Democrats stay home in protest.

 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
96. That's probably why Rubio is their nominee...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:10 AM
Feb 2016

because you are absolutely right that Trump has about 35% of the electorate. The rest find him abhorrent.

 

Amimnoch

(4,558 posts)
47. I don't think it'll be Trump. More likely Cruz or Rubio.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:32 AM
Feb 2016

Trump has never broken 37% on polls.

The field is narrowing. Trump has peaked at just over 36% of the vote.

Trump is the out-flyer in their election. All of the other candidates are vying for the same Base. Trump has tapped into, and built his base, but as the other candidates drop out, Trump is not going to get much of the support they had.

It's looking like it's eventually going to come down to Cruz or Rubio, and when one of those drop out, just about the entire support the one had will swing over to the other.

Bush has dropped out now, his support is going to anyone BUT Trump. As more drop out, and their base consolidates, Trump isn't going to get much of it.

At this point, if I was a betting person, I'd bet on Cruz or Rubio. I'm hoping it's Cruz, I think he'll be easier for Bernie or Clinton to beat out. I'd also kind of enjoy seeing him "Birthered".

RealAmericanDem

(221 posts)
54. Agree
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:38 AM
Feb 2016

I think there is a good chance that Rubio passes Trump if the other repubs drop out soon. The good news is that Trump will go after Rubio in an epic battle leaving Rubio mortally wounded and Hillary will be the next president.
 

Amimnoch

(4,558 posts)
59. *grin* I'm looking forward to that as well.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:44 AM
Feb 2016

They can't damage their brand enough for my satisfaction.

After 8 years of a Democratic Party president in office, this should have been an easy year for them to take the White House back.

I'm sooo thankful they ran this clown car of jokes and satire for our amusement and paving the way for our candidate (either one) to renew our hold on the White House.

 

CdnExtraNational

(105 posts)
82. I thought that too but...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:01 AM
Feb 2016

Trump's celebrity has the possibility of expanding his base with new voters in state after state if he continues momentum. Winner take all states also play into his hand. I can see a Trump nomination after all. In the end Republicans will unite to vote against Hillary.

raouldukelives

(5,178 posts)
48. They'll be happy either way. Well, the Goldman will.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:35 AM
Feb 2016

And to them, that is the beginning and the end. Everything else, as shown by decades of evidence, is just shifting with the tides in order to put a smiling face on the head of neoconservative dreams.

The most important thing is that Bernie loses. The rest, they could truthfully care less. The homeless, disabled veterans, the mentally ill, all baggage to them. As long as they are still allowed to profit off them and their continued suffering, all is well in Hillville.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
62. Once Bernie gives his concession speech, all but a hardcore minority will be on board
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:45 AM
Feb 2016

When he goes out on the road campaigning for Hillary, most will rally around. If you wash to be a 2016 version of P.U.M.A., that's your deal, but don't be so deluded as to think your numbers will amount to much.


BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
168. Bullshit. It will be on the shoulders of those who disregarded her incredibly high negatives.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 01:46 PM
Feb 2016

It will be unprecedented for a candidate with unfavorable ratings as high as she has to win a major party nomination. She'll lose because she can't win enough independent voters in the GE, not because of me or any Bernie supporters.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
169. Independents are a myth
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 01:58 PM
Feb 2016

The only (extremely remote) case where Hillary loses the g.e. is if too many of Camp Sanders decide to take their ball and run home in a huff.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
174. "Acumen" coming from a "feel the Berner" ?
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 03:36 PM
Feb 2016

Yea...

Enjoy those 25-30 point blowouts March 1st...

bullwinkle428

(20,629 posts)
64. Don't forget about the fact that it's REALLY difficult for one party to retake
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:46 AM
Feb 2016

the WH after holding it for 8 years. History is absolutely working against the Democratic party in that respect, without regards to Hillary or Bernie.

The ONLY time this has taken place in the "modern" (i.e., post-FDR, presidents limited to 2 terms) era was with Poppy Bush, and he turned out to be a one-term punching bag.

I think overall voter turnout in the first few primaries and caucuses are clearly proving this.

exboyfil

(17,863 posts)
127. The President who does get the third term usually has had it very bad
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:48 AM
Feb 2016

Adams
JQ Adams
Van Buren
Hayes
Taft
Hoover
GHW Bush

I guess McCain should be thankful for 2008. The bubble popped in time for him to not be holding the bag. Wonder what it would have been like for Gore?

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
69. and trump has a lot going for him
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:50 AM
Feb 2016

thst will draw people voting on economic reasons. lets see..,they can vote for a pro tpp, pro job killing, pro hb1 visa/slave labor aficionado with major legal problems, or they vote for the guy who is against tpp and says he will put the screws to china.

yeah. slam dunk for trump.

 

w4rma

(31,700 posts)
79. Clinton isn't going to win the nomination. As the primaries progress, demographics for Sanders get
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 09:57 AM
Feb 2016

better. He has the positive momentum and Clinton has the negative momentum. Obviously the sooner we reach critical mass the better.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
116. Yes she is
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:31 AM
Feb 2016

the caucus states are fixed for her.nevada proves blacks won't listen to bernie.majority are detmined to vote for her no matter what.

 

w4rma

(31,700 posts)
122. FiveThirtyEight expects *all* the rest of the caucus states to go for Bernie.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:36 AM
Feb 2016

Although, they aren't sure about Hawaii.

VulgarPoet

(2,872 posts)
125. I've not put much stock in FiveThirtyEight as of late
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:41 AM
Feb 2016

before Iowa, he had a good I dunno, three high-profile eff-ups or something.

 

w4rma

(31,700 posts)
143. FiveThirtyEight had a Clinton bias, not a Bernie bias. So if they are saying good things for Bernie,
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:02 AM
Feb 2016

they are probably on target.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
130. They are trying to fool us
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:50 AM
Feb 2016

into thinking we still have democracy.the deme stablishment has the caucus system fixed.what happened In Iowa and nevada
will happen in every state with caucus.

Plus since clinton won black vote in nevada 76 to 22 it's pointless in any state with large black population.Bernie can only win
20 something of the black vote.best case sceniros for SC is white vote and minority of black vote causes bernie to only lose by 10%

soon they will be able to say she won 3 out of first 4 contests and he only won state next door to vermont.

If bernie would have lost nevad aby only 1 or even 2 points we haad a chance but lost by 5.

establishment has won.

 

w4rma

(31,700 posts)
142. That's dumb. It's only a 4 delegate difference and Bernie *still* has the momentum.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:00 AM
Feb 2016

And as long as Bernie is going UP in the polls, then Bernie will reach his critical mass and win.

If they were trying to fool you, they'd be trying to demoralize you. Maybe you should think about that. Because Bernie is still on track to winning it all.

randr

(12,412 posts)
83. This has been my biggest fear all along
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:02 AM
Feb 2016

I agree that the Trump machine will take advantage of the animosity toward the Clinton's and turn it into a victory waltz into the White House. Bernie is the only candidate we have that may sway some Trump supporters who are hell bent on their own "revolution".
As we can see from the turnouts so far, the Bernie crowd is not up to getting their asses to the polls. So much for high hopes.
I still hope Bernie can some how pull this out and we are given the chance to finally pit the light against the dark and see if all the myths and fables are right. Will the good guys win in the end? And is this the end?

Mike Nelson

(9,959 posts)
93. This sounds almost like...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:08 AM
Feb 2016

...Trump is preferable to Hillary! ...whatever, I disagree. Hillary would trounce Trump. I don't care what early polls say... The only one who would possibly defeat her is Kasich and the Republicans don't seem aware of his strengths with the general electorate.

RKP5637

(67,111 posts)
106. I've been surprised more republicans do not favor Kasich. I guess he's just too sane sounding. n/t
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:18 AM
Feb 2016

RKP5637

(67,111 posts)
123. I've heard that, that people in Ohio really don't like him. They say he sounds sane, but
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:36 AM
Feb 2016

that's where it ends. I find Cruz and Rubio quite scary too. In fact, the whole herd of them is bizarre. Often I'm scared that in the US that so many people seem to love these types.

exboyfil

(17,863 posts)
141. He won 64% in the 2014
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:58 AM
Feb 2016

gubernatorial election.

He may be on everyone's VP list if he will take it. He is essentially running for Vice President right now focusing on the mid-West which is what at least two of the three candidates left need. Haley may think she will be Rubio's VP, but I think it will be Kasich.

He took Medicaid expansion so he appears in that regard to be a pragmatic person. On the flip side the PP defunding is a huge negative.

randr

(12,412 posts)
108. How you could read 'trump is preferable to Hillary" is beyond me
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:20 AM
Feb 2016

You need to take an objective look at history and wrap your head around the fact that humans choose psychopaths as leaders over and over. History is written in the blood they have spilled.
There is a very real dislike of the Clinton brand that runs too deep through middle America and it will be hard for her to overcome the momentum Trump is building. We are also held captive by international events. Any world disaster or terrorist attack will work for the Republicans.
I would love to see Kasich get the GOP nod as he has just sealed his defeat by cutting Planned Parenthood funds. A guarantee that women will move to the Hillary camp. His nomination will also pour a bucket of cold water on the Trump minions.

 

basselope

(2,565 posts)
160. No, its just reality.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:31 AM
Feb 2016

Trump beats Hillary quite easily b/c Hillary doesn't have a solid voting block that will support her, leading to low voter turnout for the Democrats.

Jarqui

(10,126 posts)
118. I've seen 56% would be willing to go along with him with 42% against
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:32 AM
Feb 2016

But Rubio's numbers are 70% willing to go along - 28% against

I read some recent polling that showed when they whittled down the Republican field to two candidates Rubio and Cruz beat Trump. Another poll showed twice as many would pick Cruz or Rubio as a second choice over Trump. So Trumps lead is going to get tighter as candidates drop out.

I think the GOP are going to have to thin the field soon. And Rubio seems most likely to eventually be their candidate (the establishment choice). A Rubio-Clinton match up is not a good contest for Hillary. Rubio +4.7 nationwide
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_rubio_vs_clinton-3767.html
but it gets worse for Hillary on a state by state basis

Kasich +7.4 really clobbers her
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_kasich_vs_clinton-5162.html

exboyfil

(17,863 posts)
145. Rubio/Kasich
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:03 AM
Feb 2016

and it will be difficult to beat. Whoever Clinton picks as VP better pick someone to bring in Florida and pray she holds Pennsylvania.

On the other hand in a two way debate with Rubio he might just come off as the puppy he really is (I am seeing potentially a Dan Quayle vibe here). If that happens then Clinton has the advantage.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
113. Of course
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:27 AM
Feb 2016

the dem establishment has it fixed for clinton.moving dem party even further to right to slam bernie has shown the truth of dem
party and ailenated people.

Trump will run to left of clinton on trade,iraq,and war.He could even run to elft of her on health care.

Trump is populist while she is for staus quo

I will be staying home with CLinton as nominee but truth is we lose no matter what

Trump winning means GOP will have complete control for years to come.with citizen united and gerrymandering republicans will
never lose congress again.the dem establishment won't do anything to stop them.they will make speeches and beg ordinary citizens for money but won't offer much reistance to them.

Even if Clinton were to win it would be a 2000 or 2004 like race and she would just barely win.Like bill clinton she would sign a lot of gop bills.don't fool yourselves clinton vs GOP is laregly for show.she agrees with them on a lot.the clintons hand out with bushes and she loves kissinger.republicans keep congress and dems get massacured in 2018 insuring gop controls redistricting in 2020 insuring gop control of congress till at least 2032 even with a 2008 meltdown they can't lose.

Trump will get gop to fall in line.clinton is disliked by independents.

the bernie supporters dismissed as racists,sexist,and tea party won't seem so unimportant when she loses.

I won't be only bernie supporter who stays home.some may hold their noise and vote for clinton but others will stay home or vote green.

Clinton or trump progressives and country lose.people can't say they weren't warned but supporting clinton no matter what blinded them.

exboyfil

(17,863 posts)
150. What you are saying is that four years of Trump
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:12 AM
Feb 2016

is the better long game.

I tend to agree at this point so long as the world isn't a smoking ruin after four years.

I don't see Trump losing any Romney states except possibly North Carolina. Trump immediately puts Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin in play. Iowa is lost with Hillary the nominee.


Florida?

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
161. neither choice is good
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:32 AM
Feb 2016

we lost when deme stablishment fixed it for Clinton.

People dismiss trump winning at their own risk.

Some voters might actully see trump as more for the little guy than Clinton.

Depaysement

(1,835 posts)
126. Nah. Hillary will be President
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:47 AM
Feb 2016

Book it. TPTB don't want Trump. They want HRC. They can pat themselves on the back for their "progressiveness" in electing a woman President - unquestionably a great achievement - while protecting their class interests and keeping the TPP, National Security State and war machine humming at a neocon pitch.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
139. Even if she does win we still lose
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:56 AM
Feb 2016

GOP keeps senate.she won't win an obama size victory it will be similar to 2004 victory.she will sign many of things GOP congress
pass.unions continue to be destroyed.social safety net slashed.more war.

Dems get killed In 2018 assuring GOP controls redistricting after 2020 insuring gop controls house till at least 2032

top 1% continue to make off like bandidts while the 99% get poorer.

Waiting For Everyman

(9,385 posts)
128. Only Bernie beats him in national polls.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:49 AM
Feb 2016

Bernie beats ALL the Repubs in national polls, but establishment Dems don't care.

And Trump will have the huge turn out we're already seeing for him as the excitement candidate, AND on top of that he'll have a double dose of Repub turn out just to vote against HRC because they hate her so much. So expect to see this turn out he has now increase a LOT if she is the nominee.

If it's Trump against Hillary, Trump will win in a landslide. And establishment Dems don't need to cry to us about it because they know ahead of time, and still are making that choice to go ahead with stacking the deck in the primary any way they can to nominate her.

I'll betcha she gets indicted afterwards. It wouldn't shock me a bit.

liberal N proud

(60,336 posts)
131. Only if the BS'ers throw a temper tantrum
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:51 AM
Feb 2016

And either vote for the extreme from their dream or don't vote which is voting for the extreme from their dream.

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
140. No!
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:57 AM
Feb 2016

It is not Bernie's fault that she is unelectable against the GOP candidates by the American public according to almost every poll since the beginning.

EdwardBernays

(3,343 posts)
134. 80% of the GOP will support Trump if he's the nominee
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:52 AM
Feb 2016

says this CBS poll from last week:

http://www.scribd.com/doc/299653554/CBS-News-poll-Trump-maintains-commanding-lead-over-GOP-field

20% of Dems would defect for Trump

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/265330-some-dems-would-defect-for-trump-poll-shows

I have also seen numerous polls that say independents, which are now a third of the electorate, break to trump at about a 10% greater rate than to Hillary.

And of course Hillary is completely undermining the support of all the Sanders supporters with her slimeball campaign tactics and general dishonesty.

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
137. That's what the head-to-head polls keep saying
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:54 AM
Feb 2016

but the "electability" crowd don't seem to look at the data. It's been pretty much the same since the beginning, Bernie wins against the GOP and Hillary loses.

 

CdnExtraNational

(105 posts)
153. If Bernie wins nomination the establishment will be purged...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:17 AM
Feb 2016

If Hillary wins nomination the establishment continues to solicit money...

Nevermind the GE, the choice is clear!

polly7

(20,582 posts)
138. If it's so, I'm even more sickened at the thought of escalating the murderous
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 10:55 AM
Feb 2016

'wars' all over the ME and Africa - though I fully believe Clinton is itching to do the same. After all, her foundation has received millions/billions? from weapons makers and foreign 'allied' donors. I was so hoping for a sane voice (Sanders) to finally stop the west's part in the horror and suffering in all those places we have no business in in the first place. Warmongering seems to be quite popular with American people though (no offence to those against it) - so either, or, it probably makes no difference.



Hillary's record as Secretary of State is among the most militaristic, and disastrous, of modern US history. Some experience. Hilary was a staunch defender of the military-industrial-intelligence complex at every turn, helping to spread the Iraq mayhem over a swath of violence that now stretches from Mali to Afghanistan. Two disasters loom largest: Libya and Syria.

Hillary has been much attacked for the deaths of US diplomats in Benghazi, but her tireless promotion of the overthrow Muammar Qaddafi by NATO bombing is the far graver disaster. Hillary strongly promoted NATO-led regime change in Libya, not only in violation of international law but counter to the most basic good judgment. After the NATO bombing, Libya descended into civil war while the paramilitaries and unsecured arms stashes in Libya quickly spread west across the African Sahel and east to Syria. The Libyan disaster has spawned war in Mali, fed weapons to Boko Haram in Nigeria, and fueled ISIS in Syria and Iraq. In the meantime, Hillary found it hilarious to declare of Qaddafi: "We came, we saw, he died."

Perhaps the crowning disaster of this long list of disasters has been Hillary's relentless promotion of CIA-led regime change in Syria. Once again Hillary bought into the CIA propaganda that regime change to remove Bashir al-Assad would be quick, costless, and surely successful. In August 2011, Hillary led the US into disaster with her declaration Assad must "get out of the way," backed by secret CIA operations.

http://www.commondreams.org/views/2016/02/05/hillary-candidate-war-machine

KoKo

(84,711 posts)
171. ..! And...
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 02:35 PM
Feb 2016

We don't yet know what Trump would do. But, his calling out of Bush II and his statements against the Iraq invasion do seem to be sincere. There was no reason for him to attack Bush and put "9/11" on the table, given that he's running as a Republican and South Carolina is a big "rah rah" military state. OTOH he wants to use pig blood dipped bullets to kill ISIS! Most of the Red Southern states were big Bush II/McCain/Palin supporters and have either military installations or they manufacture for military in some way and one would have thought going after Bush & 9/11 would be a huge turn off for any Repub voters. His railing against the TPP and all our other trade agreements is also puzzling.

Who knows if he believes what he says...but, why take a chance and say it unless he thinks he can sell it, and so far he has. His behavior is so bizarre, though, one wonders if he has some personal problems going on. I've even wondered if his "Trump Businesses" are in danger of collapse and running for President was his way of getting out of what was coming. A narcissist, like him, would probably see running for President as just another "Business Venture,"challenge.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
146. Half of Democrats, most Indies and most Republicans want an outsider
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:06 AM
Feb 2016

They're sick of being fucked over by corrupt politicians.

This is the tipping point.

If the Democratic party can't deliver an outsider who isn't an entrenched, corrupt, corporate shill--then we most certainly will have a President Trump.

The polls bear that out. Common sense bears that out.

Look at Republican turnout vs Democratic turnout. Hillary will depress Dem turnout. Republican turnout is all ready through the roof, and just wait--if Hillary is the nominee. The Republicans will have record turnout, just to vote against her.

The DNC-Democratic Establishment-DWS wing of the Democratic party is a complete failure. They completely misread the electorate and the what is happening outside their own bubble. They are the Enron of political organizations.

nolabels

(13,133 posts)
147. November a loooooooooooooooong ways away, and i don't believe even a clairvoyant could be this clear
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:07 AM
Feb 2016

The whole thing seems so murky, with what seems like thousands of subplots.

But what the heck, fight the good fight and see where it gets

earthside

(6,960 posts)
156. Your analysis is pretty much right on.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:25 AM
Feb 2016

I live in Colorado.

Mrs. Clinton will not beat Trump here in the general election.

The thing is Hillary in not a very good liar -- the now famous video of her talking about her truthfulness proves it.

And ... Trump is a pretty good liar ... and proving to be a much better campaigner that everybody thought he would be.

Trump in many ways is Hillary's worst nightmare because he has a way of not letting the "First Woman President" thing intimidate him. He just plows right on and will treat Hillary just like she is any other politician (which she is and even more so).

On the other hand, I think Sanders as an opponent would flummox Trump, at least somewhat ... Bernie is all about principle and staying-on-message. Trump will have a much more difficult time driving Sanders into a corner.

A Hillary nomination will also drive down voter turnout so much that the Latino vote won't matter as much. By the time the Trump campaign and the Repuglican machine get done with Hillary, you'll have more than half of America believing that she was in the Oval Office side study with Bill and Monica. Who is going to make any effort to get to the polls to vote for that?

 

basselope

(2,565 posts)
159. I'm still fighting for Bernie, but I feel like I am almost at the acceptance stage of Trump as Prez
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:29 AM
Feb 2016

In reality... Trump as president is better for me personally.

There is no way on earth I would vote for him.

The country would be going to hell a little bit faster than under Clinton, but hell is hell.


 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
162. It's going to be a tough battle.
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 11:54 AM
Feb 2016

Last edited Mon Feb 22, 2016, 03:33 PM - Edit history (1)

We have people on our own team using right wingers like Rep. Conaway to take down great progressives like Gutierrez simply because he endorsed Clinton. Lots and lots of ratfucking going on within the party right now. It's all good and we will have a common enemy after the primary. People will no longer find the need to support failed investigations by people like Gowdy and Conaway in order to smear democrats.

Bring on the Trump. If he is who we have to go through to win then lets have at him.

onenote

(42,714 posts)
165. Bookmarking for November 8
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 12:46 PM
Feb 2016

It's far far from certain that Trump will get the repub nomination and if he does its pretty certain the repub party has a real turnout problem no matter who the Democratic nominee is.

First, Trump's support in the repub race continues to fall below 40 percent according to most polls. The primaries coming up in March are almost all proportional. Even if Trump was to garner 40 percent of the delegates from those primaries and swept the winner take all primaries, he'd likely fall short of the number of delegates needed to win the nomination outright. At that point, the repub establishment has a choice -- find a way to swing the nomination to Trump and, in so doing, lose a many repubs that cannot stand the idea of a Trump presidency, including a number of "establishment" repubs as well as supporters of Ted Cruz, who hate Trump with a passion because of his attacks on their candidate. Or they can try to swing the nomination to Cruz, in which case they have a similar problem with establishment repubs and the Trump fan base. Or they can push it to Rubio, who will keep the establishment votes but may have some number of Trump and Cruz fans decide to sit it out. The repubs could lose the election with any of those choices, but they'd prefer not to have Trump be the standard bearer so they will do everything they can to keep him from getting the nomination even if it means his supporters walk.

As for predicting the outcome of the GE before March 1, before nominations are settled, before VP choices are made, before head to head debates occur between the two parties' nominees, before eight months of campaigning, before whatever international or domestic events that might transpire over the next eight months have transpired -- well, that's just pure speculation.

flamingdem

(39,313 posts)
178. All the more reason for us to unite behind Hillary as soon as the nom is clear
Mon Feb 22, 2016, 06:55 PM
Feb 2016

It's up to the sane people to protect our country.

Bloomberg might run to spite the Donald, they HATE each other.

186. HOW IS TRUMP EVEN A CONTENDER
Tue Feb 23, 2016, 09:02 AM
Feb 2016

Politics will continue to amaze me as Trump edges ever closer to success EVEN given his own actions. Is Trump an Anti Vote or is it people are so disenfranchised with "politicians" that a billionaire business man seems a better choice.

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