2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie is claiming a delegate tie. Is he right?
After a virtual tie in Iowa, a huge win in New Hampshire, and a close loss in Nevada, here's where Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders stand in the pledged delegates that will choose the Democratic nominee...
We're tied! Hillary and Bernie have 51 pledged delegates a piece.
Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton are tied in pledged delegates
Not many people would have expected the race to be this tight. There are 26 more caucuses and primaries in the next three weeks, including South Carolina this Saturday and eleven states on Super Tuesday.
Momentum is on our side, and with your help, we can break this tie to win the Democratic nomination and the White House.
Make a $70 contribution to Bernie right now to send a message that our movement has what it takes to win. People should not underestimate us.
Let's win.
In solidarity,
Jeff Weaver
Campaign Manager
Bernie 2016
I think he's referring to (actually he admitted) pledged delegates. Superdelegates are, by nature, AFAIK, unpledged, and I think this is where she whips him, however - by their very nature - they could easily go for Bernie.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)are 51 apiece. It's a tie.
onecaliberal
(32,863 posts)Skinner
(63,645 posts)Pledged delegates are tied at 51-51
http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-primary-delegate-count/
w4rma
(31,700 posts)Incorrect
w4rma
(31,700 posts)Votes cast in Iowa: ~171,000 Sanders: 49.6% ~84,816; Clinton: 49.9% ~85,329
Votes cast in New Hampshire: Sanders: 60.4% 151,584; Clinton: 38.0% 95,252
Votes cast in Nevada: ~80,000 Sanders: 47.3% ~37840; Clinton: 52.7% ~42160
Jefferson23
(30,099 posts)Response to Tab (Original post)
stopbush This message was self-deleted by its author.
Fearless
(18,421 posts)brooklynite
(94,596 posts)After SC (which Sanders appears to have bailed on) the pledged delegate numbers will be solidly in Hillary's corner.
Stand and Fight
(7,480 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)calguy
(5,313 posts)trying to feed anything positive to his supporters. I think he knows it's going to be slipping away after Saturday and even more so after March 1.
cui bono
(19,926 posts)In 2008 Hillary had a lot of the superdelgates' support until Obama started winning and showed his viability, at which point they switched to Obama.
At this point the delegates are split and Bernie has more of the popular vote. If this continues and the superdelegates go against the popular vote to tip this to Hillary there will be a revolt and fracture in this party that will not be overcome for the GE. Especially now that we've learned many of them are Lobbyists.
.
Beacool
(30,250 posts)That will change on Saturday and on March 1.
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)First, the actual delegate count, including superdelegates, is 502 to 70. Bernie fans don't want to consider superdelegates, for obvious reasons, but they do count.
Second, one of the delegates from Nevada has yet to be allocated, so Bernie could end up one delegate ahead of Hillary when that's done. Or one delegate behind.
Third, looking at the demographics of each state, the expectation was that Bernie would win Iowa by at least 6 points, win New Hampshire by at least 29, and only lose Nevada by 3 or less (that's according to Nate Silver's report). Instead, he lost by a hair in Iowa, won by only 22 points in New Hampshire, and lost Nevada by 5. So when you just look at the numbers, it's a tie, but when you actually analyze them, he's solidly behind.