Sanders Gaining Support Among Latino Voters --> AGE GAP + TURNOUT is key

I thought this was interesting --

HUFFPOLLSTER: Bernie Sanders Might Be Gaining Support Among Latino Voters
He lost Nevada to Hillary Clinton but might be disrupting her “firewall.”

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/bernie-sanders-latino-voters_us_56cb0ebae4b0ec6725e31c52



ENTRANCE POLLS SAY SANDERS WON LATINOS IN NEVADA - Entrance polls found that 53 percent of Latinos were supporting Sen. Sanders (I-Vt.), compared to 45 percent supporting former Secretary of State Clinton.

Pollster cites Latino age gap as reason for Sanders advantage - Anita Kumar: "The company that conducted the entrance polls of Nevada’s Democratic caucuses showing Hillary Clinton lost the Hispanic vote stood by its research Sunday in the face of an aggressive push back by the former secretary of state’s campaign. ‘Like any other poll, each campaign is going to try to pick out data that helps their cause,’ said Joe Lenski, executive vice president of Edison Research….He said Sanders’ numbers were driven by dramatic differences in Hispanics by age. According to the poll, Sanders won Hispanic caucus-voters aged 17-29 by 83-12 percent, and Clinton won those aged 30 and older by 65-34….Ultimately, there is no way to ever know for sure who won the Hispanic vote because official voting results don’t break down votes by race." [Miami Herald]

There’s evidence that Sanders is gaining among Latinos nationally - Mark Blumenthal and Jon Cohen, prior to the caucus: "While our national surveys have shown little discernible trend among all Democrats since the Iowa Caucuses, the movement among Latino voters suggests that a critical part of the so-called firewall of support that Clinton's campaign had hoped to rely on among non-white Democrats may be crumbling…. [A]mong Hispanic voters, what had been a two-to-one or better Clinton lead for the past six months has narrowed dramatically in the two weeks following the Iowa Caucuses. Where our surveys had shown Clinton leading by 20 percentages points or better during December and January, her advantage had reduced to just three percentage points (46 to 43 percent) on our most recent week of tracking (from February 8-February 14)." [NBC]

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(this is the most interesting part right here. The POLLSTER goes on to say that 'turnout is key to the nomination for Sanders, and that traditionally turnout decreases after the early primary states. but to me, the Sanders' campaign has never felt like that. This has always felt like a "slow Bern," if you pardon the pun. it's an outsiders thing. something you have to catch on to.

Bernie doesn't get prime time coverage on cable. The Party doesn't support him. He's the orphan that somehow got a Golden Ticket to be in this race. He brings his own voters, and that's frustrating the DNC/HRC, b/c they can't find his voters by polling, or "in the VAN." So, they're unpredictable which kinda screws a data-driven campaign. And, primaries are generally difficult to poll anyway. We're seeing them focus on controlling outcomes in other ways.

Sanders brings new voters to the election, same as Trump. HRC does not. I think it's worth it to find out who these new voters are, and what they want. We're going to see that this hurdle outlined below is not a hurdle for the Sanders campaign.)

/end nashville_brook message...