The peer reviewed research suggests asking voters who they think will win is the best predictor of electoral success, ergo:

.

Cruz, maybe. Rubio, Kasich, no way in hell.

Thank you in advance.

cannot stand hugs.

Whoa dude...ease up

You need a nap.

I remain skeptical, and that is even without any more shoes dropping from the FBI, etc.

Hillary Clinton / Bernie "Prime Time" Sanders 2016

In this thread.

Get a grip folks.

Bernie does MUCH better in the GE than Hillary. That's the real grip.

What about Saturday? Or after super tuesday or months from now?

thank you in advance.

The teahaddists are only speaking to their true believers right now. Not the general public.

Lots of voters have no idea how radical Trump and Cruz for instance really are.

When the general starts Trump is going to have to explain to the general public his terrible racist plans to round up Hispanic folks, build a giant billion dollar wall and somehow deport 8 million or so people.

Cruz will have to explain to the general public why God almighty himself anointed him to be president and set up a theocracy in America. Also he will have to explain why he is even eligible to run for president seeing as how he was born in a foreign country.

And thats just the tip of the iceberg with these lunatics.

The public is going to react in horror to these fools and run to Hillary or Bernie if he gets the nod, to save us from these republican monsters.

IMO of course.

Has no idea how radical the republicans are at this time.
And the tea party loons will not let Trump or Cruz back off the insanity in the GE.

It's going to be an interesting race and God help us if the democrats don't win it.

put together a kick ass public relations campaign.

The republicans are already vowing to not appoint any justice the president puts up.

And it's a meager shot at that.

Trump is the disaster that will kill the Republican party for a generation.

“While Clinton has won the first two caucuses in the Democratic race — while losing New Hampshire, the only primary — it’s possible that Bernie Sanders will win every state caucus from here on out.

Here’s why I say that. The remaining Democratic states to hold caucuses are: Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, Nebraska, Washington and Wyoming. Other than Hawaii — where I’m not going to pretend we have any earthly idea what’s going to happen — those are a bunch of really white states that otherwise look favorable for Sanders and which he could win even if he slightly trails Clinton nationally.” ~Nate Silver

It's disappointing to see that Trump and he are tied, but prediction markets are extremely bad this far out, they only get better closer to the election, 3 months out they'll get more accurate.

My guess is that the votes split two ways between Rubio and Cruz, with Trump gaining the lions share the whole way. He's going to walk into the nomination and the Republican party is going to be at a loss for words. Attempting to broker the thing will result almost certainly in a Trump third party run.

How do you predict THIS election cycle? Were PPP and others prepared for Trump? or Sanders? Did anyone see this coming when the common wisdom maintained Hillary and Jeb were the shoe-ins for the nominations?

I think not. That is why I take Silver and the others with a grain of salt. If major league baseball changed the rules in 2017 so each team had eleven players in their batting order, how would the sportscasters predict what the winner of the World Series would be?

Ditto, this election.

Hillary Clinton will probably win the presidency. Trump simply has alienated too many groups of people.

If you put Clinton up against McCain of 2008 or Romney of 2012, she loses. But she's hit the lotto with this group of insane GOP candidates.

They just can't win for losing, but then again there are downticket races we need to win too..

Your statement is fact free. Just like climate change deniers, you base your statement that Hillary will win without any regard to actual data.
In polling for months now, Bernie wins against EVERY GOP candidate, but Hillary LOSES against every GOP candidate. In the latest Quinnipiac poll the only one she got more was Trump and it was 1 point higher. In that poll she ever lost to BUSH!
Whereas, as usual, Sanders beat all of them, beating Trump by 6 points.
So, if you're trying to make the "electability" argument, you might want to get out of the MSM/Hillary bubble and look at the facts.

Hillary got lucky thankfully If it was against McCain Romney or Rubio she would lose IMO but against trump she hit the lotto

I have been following Predictwise for some time.

after Hillary's huge win that's coming this Saturday in SC

99% to win possibly?

our next POTUS!!! GO HILLARY!!!