2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMost South Carolina primary voters had made up their minds over a month ago
According to the exit poll, 60% (or 3 out of 5) of South Carolina Democratic primary voters said that they had made up their minds on whom to vote for more than a month before casting their votes.
So it seems that a large percentage of South Carolina voters had already decided even before the Iowa Caucus and before the recent spate of announcements of Clinton endorsements by prominent African-American leaders like Reps. Jim Clyburn and John Lewis--at least, that is, if the poll participants are to be believed.
Another 25% (or 1 in 4) only made up their minds in the past week (that is, 8% on the day of the election, 7% within "the last few days," and 7% "the last week" .
Interestingly, although Clinton did better overall even with those who decided within the past month, the margin of her win among them was not as great as it was among those who had already made up their minds before that.
Clinton won 76-24 among those who'd decided more than a month ago, but only 61-38 among those who decided in the last month (but more than a week ago).
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/02/27/us/elections/south-carolina-democrat-poll.html
Looks like maybe Sanders was starting to pull off a few votes from the swayable pool in the last few weeks, perhaps after his strong showing in Iowa and New Hampshire suggested his candidacy was more viable than the beltway has generally allowed.
Mike__M
(1,052 posts)good news.
Interesting that there was no data for the "last week" through "just today" preferences; I'd like to see that trend.
(Also interesting that 97% considered "only Clinton" honest and trustworthy.)
TheDormouse
(1,168 posts)So I think you're misreading that.
Of the 29% who considerd only Hillary honest and trustworthy, 97% voted for Hillary.
Of the 17% who considered only Bernie honest and trustworthy, 92% voted for Bernie.
Mike__M
(1,052 posts)Herman4747
(1,825 posts)Barack_America
(28,876 posts)NWCorona
(8,541 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)That I like
TheBlackAdder
(28,225 posts).
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1344164
And William wrote "And I for one trust their judgement."
To which I replied:
Complacency and lack of objectivity -- One reason why things do not change.
So, it's good that people don't objectively research matters before voting?
That constitutes trustworthy judgment?
.
elleng
(131,176 posts)we are going to lose.'
Marco Rubio
Goes for BOTH parties.