2016 Postmortem

mnhtnbb

(31,399 posts) Fri Oct 12, 2012, 06:57 AM Oct 2012

No post-debate bump for Romney in NC AND Obama edging up.

FROM STAFF REPORTS

Mitt Romney apparently did not receive a bump in North Carolina after his strong debate performance last week, a new poll suggests.

A Rasmussen Reports poll released Thursday found Romney leading President Barack Obama in North Carolina by a 51-48 percent margin. The survey was taken Tuesday, about a week after the debate.

That is about the same lead Romney had in the last Rasmussen Reports poll taken before the debate. That survey, conducted Oct. 2, showed Romney leading Obama by a 51 to 47 percent margin.

Romney has held steady at 51 percent support throughout the fall, while Obama’s support has inched up from 45 percent in September to 47 percent a week ago and 48 percent now, according to Rasmussen.

Check out the margin of error, too: margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
OR Obama could very well be leading!

http://www.newsobserver.com/2012/10/11/2405968/poll-finds-no-post-debate-bump.html

5 replies

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No post-debate bump for Romney in NC AND Obama edging up. (Original Post) mnhtnbb Oct 2012 OP

I've long been a NC bear, even before the debate last week... smorkingapple Oct 2012 #1

As a resident of NC, I've had my doubts that Obama could pull it out this time. mnhtnbb Oct 2012 #2

exactly. barbtries Oct 2012 #3

Good news! Nt fugop Oct 2012 #4

NC still in play. Lots of Obama TV ads. Biden spoke here last week wishlist Oct 2012 #5

smorkingapple

(827 posts)

1. I've long been a NC bear, even before the debate last week...

Reply to mnhtnbb (Original post)

Fri Oct 12, 2012, 07:05 AM

Oct 2012

Just don't see that going blue this time and the debate cinched that outcome IMO. There's a reason you don't see Obama or Romney there that much. WOuldn't be surprised to see Obama pull out in final weeks to focus on VA and other states that offer better odds.

mnhtnbb

(31,399 posts)

2. As a resident of NC, I've had my doubts that Obama could pull it out this time.

Reply to smorkingapple (Reply #1)

Fri Oct 12, 2012, 07:08 AM

Oct 2012

Have to tell you, I'm getting more and more optimistic.

We've seen a lot of Michelle--who is LOVED.

It's all going to be about GOTV.

barbtries

(28,808 posts)

3. exactly.

Reply to mnhtnbb (Reply #2)

Fri Oct 12, 2012, 08:37 AM

Oct 2012

if enough people vote Obama will take NC. i will be hearbroken if this state goes red, even though i know he doesn't need it to win the election.

last sunday i registered 5 more democrats, all voting for Obama. yes we can.

fugop

(1,828 posts)

4. Good news! Nt

Reply to mnhtnbb (Original post)

Fri Oct 12, 2012, 08:38 AM

Oct 2012

wishlist

(2,795 posts)

5. NC still in play. Lots of Obama TV ads. Biden spoke here last week

Reply to mnhtnbb (Original post)

Fri Oct 12, 2012, 09:14 AM

Oct 2012

A different poll cited here in NC showed Romney only up by one about a week ago. Last week Biden was here in Asheville (which went for Obama last time with 70% of the vote and the county with 52% of the vote) and Romney spoke here last night. Our local ABC (Sinclair owned) station said they were showing Romney's entire speech, something they have never done for Dem candidates. I didn't stay tuned to see if they actually did that. But Romney could squeek out a NC win just by siphoning a few thousand from this area.

There are plenty of excellent Obama ads running but anti-Obama ads predominate especially since down ticket Repub candidates include in their ads virulent anti-Obama (and mostly false) content linking their their Dem opponents to Obama.

But the win for Obama was so narrow last time I would be surprised if he wins this time, especially since Repub Pat McCrory has a big lead for governor and down ticket Repubs are poised to win big also due to redistricting and weakness of Dems in fighting against this state turning red. I am sick over the Repub takeover since they have clear goals of privatizing, gutting environmental and energy and insurance regulations, hurting education and all the things that have made N Carolina so progressive for a southern state. I expect voter restrictions and an assault on women's rights also. The Repubs have made the most of the Bush recession to grab power while Dem politicians seem intimidated and not effective in fighting back. And the right wing influence of so many large churches can't be underestimated.

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